It seems fundamentally problematic, but is there any alternative workable system that wouldn't have unintended consequences?
It seems fundamentally problematic, but is there any alternative workable system that wouldn't have unintended consequences?
What seems to help with this Japan is that zoning and building codes are top down from the highest level of government, so they can adjust supply according to flows of people. E.g. Tokyo builds as many units of housing as people who move into the city. (Among other differences.)
This is the only way to effect a society where housing is "not an investment". Otherwise you're looking at local governments that are wholly captured by a constituency tilted toward, effectively, cronyist voters furiously determined to keep their property as valuable as possible.
But I dont see why we should disincentivize people from buying multi-family homes and renting them out. Being a landlord is not free, and its not a charity. Landlords need an incentive to provide services like maintaining the property, renovating and dealing with the headaches of owning property. If property did not offer any financial return, less people would buy multi family homes or they would put as little effort into maintaining the property.
But given the way my mom still talks up real estate there's probably some more room for tamping down.
Maybe what happened with Detroit helped too.
It works very well. The fact house prices in America/many Western countries increase with time is an anomaly that applies to no other item as far as I know, barring the odd historical/valuable antiques. But nobody can predict their value 10 years from now.
Also is brand new outweigh renovated?
Example in the US is smaller suburban houses that happen to be located near commuter rail stations. They are torn down and replaced with new, bigger houses. The neighborhood across the tracks from my house is another example: Doctors and professors have bought and "renovated" all of the smaller houses.
I notice something similar with hotels. My experience in a hotel is 100% proportional to the age of the hotel. The newer the better. Hotel owners rarely renovate unless they are in super prime downtown locations. They just let the hotel deteriorate while lowering their room rates while someone builds a new hotel next door.
After a few decades of ownership, it is not unheard of for people to move out of their house, tear it down and replace it with a new one, and then move back in. I guess they rent a place to live while this is happening.
In Japan particularly, this is a legacy of the poor quality of houses built in the early 20th century and the period after WWII when everything was slapped together as quickly as possible. They really were worthless after a decade or two because they were not built to last.
This seriously damages the incentives for maintaining existing homes, because they are going to be worthless in 10 years, why bother?
Many of the houses near me are torn down and replaced after being purchased, so the price is more reflective of the cost to acquire the land.
The mold issue isn't unique to Asia. Parts of the southern US have a preference for new homes due to mold, termites and storm damage.
Moreover that, in China, there are close to no second hand cars. Second hand market is microscopic.
The same is true witch apartments. It amazes me to see rich Chinese simply abandoning their old apartments when they move to new ones. Personally met a family with 4 apartments, who simply left each of their old apartments collecting dust.
To tamp down on that concept would be really difficult. You'd probably have to artificially limit the ROI of home sales, which would likely increase the number of renters. Then what? Rent goes up, so you have to artificially limit the price of rent. So how do you choose the limit?
Then once you've chosen the rent limit, will RE firms have an incentive to build?
Free markets work pretty well for settle prices. The problem is that not everyone can participate equally. If we artificially brought people out of poverty instead of artificially fixing housing markets, the housing problem would be a lot less severe.