Why Kodak Died and Fujifilm Thrived: A Tale of Two Film Companies
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Fuji was in a similar place, of course, but they were already making high-end cameras and they were selling well. I use a GW690ii from 1985 regularly and it has one of the best lenses I've ever used. They did not forget how to manufacture those over the intervening 30 years, and there is plenty of market for lenses. (Though I would still worry. Tiny cell phone cameras are becoming better and better every year, and that's really a function of the sensors, which they buy from Sony.)
Ironically, Fuji did kind of screw over the film photography community recently. They stopped making 4x5 Velvia 50. They stopped making Acros 100. Now everyone is using Kodak or Ilford film. But it's because they could afford to, getting someone to buy a new digital camera every couple years is way more profitable than making chemicals for a super niche industry. Kodak still doesn't understand that, but they do get some of my money as a result ;)
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-eastman-kodak-idUSTRE7BN0...
At the time the CEO was quoted “Mr Whitmore, who has been under pressure to restructure Kodak, said Eastman Chemical would be spun off as an independent public company...”.
The entire digital camera industry was worth about 18 billion in 2017[3]
Even if they captured 100% of the market (which would have been basically completely impossible), it would have been a massive disaster for them as a company, and to the hundreds of thousands of people they employed in photo processing.
[1] https://www.photosecrets.com/the-rise-and-fall-of-kodak
[2] http://www.in2013dollars.com/1993-dollars-in-2018?amount=310...
[3] https://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/4514578/digital-c...
Yes, cellphones contain a camera, but the similarities end there.
Smartphones replaced compact cameras for a huge portion of casual photographers but as you point out it's not like camera makers could easily pivot into making smartphones (some of them probably could have if they had anticipated the trend enough, but by the time the iphone came out it was probably already too late to catch up).
> Steven Sasson invented the first self-contained digital camera at Eastman Kodak in 1975.
I'm not trying to trash the achievement of constructing that device, it was a marvel of engineering, but I think it must have created a misconception in the company that they had a special competence in this area that they really didn't have.
I remember Kodak supporters constantly turning to this as the reason why Kodak would succeed, while it was visibly failing. They did develop a CCD sensor business, but they divested themselves of it in 2011 as part of a strategy that "it would sell assets that are not central to its transformation to a profitable, sustainable digital company".
If they hadn't made market strides with a CCD by 2011; I'm pretty sure that means they missed the mark entirely. If they had beat Sony's digitization of Minolta; or figured out mirrorless first would have been there best out prior to 2011.
Nokia as a company is still doing well, in fact
Cellphone sensors are their biggest limiting factor. Specifically, the size. Apple already seems to have squeezed as much "photo" as it can out of its sensor+image processing combination, and is using its image processing for other things (3d photos, fake bokeh).
35mm is pretty much done too in terms of large advancements in basic photo IQ. Nikon's very first full frame camera (the D3) was already 90% of the way there, and for the last 10 years they have been squeezing that last 10% out. Fujifilm isn't even competing there - they have gone for a larger sensor out of the gate.
95% of Fujifilm's money is from smaller sensors. The niche "medium format" stuff aside, most of their cameras are APS-C.
Read about the Olympus scandal for how another film company hung around. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Olympus_scandal
So like what those pesky Japanese did when they gave 1 trillion to the financial sector? Or 1 trillion to Detroit car companies? Or tons of subsidies in agriculture and across all kinds of sectors? Oh, wait...
In any case, both of those were niche films for pros and a few prosumers.
The way I saw it, Kodachrome was more for consumers who just wanted to press a button and have it done. And Fujichrome was for people who took the process much more serious. Because they could do more with the "inferior" product than relying on the one-size-fits-all commercial process.
Velvia was the reason I found a Fuji developer studio in the first place - all cameras would take 35mm, but find a location which would develop it was a challenge of its own.
I'm not a big film photo geek (probably under 100 rolls over a decade), but once you found someone who could push/pull develop your colour film, that makes the choice of film sticky.
Came for the contrasts, stayed for the contrast fix-ups - once I found a place which did Velvia 50 & Ilford 50, that's all I bought.
B+W was either Kodak or Ilford from what I remember though.
It's a classic case study best told in the book, "Who moved my cheese?" Walking away from the consumer business would have been an abrupt about-face and forced a massive shift within the sales and marketing teams... they very people responsible for maintaining the Kodak brand.
It was reviewed to have better colour than pretty much any other digital camera at the time.
The death of film (and Kodak) is oversold though. There is still quite a variety available new, and Kodak Alaris still makes a bunch of their classics including TriX and TMAX100 and 400. TMAX P3200 and Ektachrome was just rereleased. Ilford has a lot of B&W films, Maco is manufacturing Rollei, Agfa, and other films. Foma, Adox are still making great films. Fuji has, sadly been scaling back, but they still make slide film and color negative film (and lots of instant film.)
Very few film cameras are made, mostly because there is a glut of used cameras that can be bought cheap, few manufacturers could compete (and volume would be very low.)
My hope is that at least for the foreseeable future, the film market has stabilized into something sustainable, since I love the film process and that's all I shoot.