Kent Sorenson: The tea party hero who lost everything
politico.com
politico.com
It focuses more on the incarceration aspect than the pure political side of it, and his views on jail after experiencing it first hand are very interesting.
The commonplace quid-pro-quo political dealings are also pretty shocking, especially when you contrast the minimal punishment those involved received (Kent included) against the people he met whilst in jail.
"Sorenson, the Republican state senator and Tea Party superstar with a clear path to Congress, had heard about disparities in sentencing. He had read about the statistical inequalities and crooked economics that are foundational to the American prison system. He had watched the demonstrators on television chanting about the devastation wreaked on minority communities by mass incarceration. And he didn’t buy any of it."
This, in microcosm, is one of the biggest problems we face: large numbers of citizens who believe in things that are not true, and the subsequent normalization of conspiracy theories and the disparagement of defending truth as mere political disagreement. Sooner or later, the truth will win, whether it's about the conditions of our prisons, or the laws of economics, or the consequences of climate change. The longer we try to deny this the less pleasant it will be when it happens.
There are quite a few stories about people who publicly had a strong opinion about something and quickly changed their view once they got first hand experience with that matter.
Studies have shown that people trust pundits with gumption, not well-thought out or balanced ideas. Superforecasting, one of my favorite books, discusses this at great depth: the people with the greatest foresight and ability to predict future political events are the least trusted or respected, since they often don't have clear and easily-identifiable positions, but rather make all sorts of caveats and restrictions on their beliefs. This makes their arguments more complicated and less easily broken down during a shouting match on live TV, so viewers don't believe them as much and instead focus on the pundits with the clear, singular, loud opinions instead. Unfortunately, those pundits are often wrong, their opinions lack nuance, and their political forecasts are worthless.
I know you did not explicitly argue against this idea but I do think you inferred that his position was correct and decried others for "conspiratorial" thinking.
It's good to remember that we are all vulnerable to this sort of half-baked thinking. Even though most people think they're the only rational person in the room.
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> The problem of racial and ethnic disproportionality in imprisonment appears to be less about criminal justice practitioner racism but rather societal inequities that foster higher rates of serious, especially violent, crime among blacks and to a lesser extent, Hispanics. These inequities include racial segregation and isolation and the resulting concentration of disadvantage in black and Hispanic communities. Such structural disadvantage, in turn, has long been linked to higher rates of violent crime.[1]