UBiome received $83M in Series C financing
techcrunch.com
techcrunch.com
- There are no actions to be taken based on microbiome data
- There's no government oversight to the quality of their sequencing or bioinformatics
- The reviews don't indicate the kits are useful https://www.highya.com/ubiome-reviews
Maybe a good comparison would be if Theranos gave you a 'subjective wellness score' instead of standard test results
I remember when uBiome launched out of UCSF. I remember thinking “ok, they’ll sequence your microbiome and then...what exactly?”
To be honest, the microbiome space is interesting and may hold promise for therapeutics - and maybe uBiome will be a leader in it.
But there is a very good chance that nothing will come of this whatsoever.
[0] https://arstechnica.com/science/2018/09/probiotics-if-you-do...
Well, to be fair, one of the working hypotheses about human mating behavior is that one of its goals is to equalize the biome of the female (bacteria, viruses, etc.) to that of her partner before she gets pregnant.
So, husband and wife having the same biome is not surprising.
And, even if you have the same biome, your systems will almost certainly react differently depending upon the expressed receptors.
Congratulations. You now understand why the folks trying to monetize microbiome are regarded as snake oil salesmen right now.
I'm sure there are broad strokes that are valid. You have a lot of bacterium X--that isn't good. You completely lack bacterium Y--that isn't good. Your overall diversity is low--you probably should try to correct that.
However, once you start getting into "you need specific bacterium X to solve specific problem Y", that's likely snake oil.
Biological systems are annoying like that. For any treatment X, there will be some, generally tiny, fraction of the population that responds to it.
The problem is finding a treatment that works in either 1) the vast majority of the population or 2) a readily identifiable minority of the population.
Microbiome work is probably going to produce some cool results, but it will take time to get there. Running experiments on people is time consuming and expensive.
Look at Better Business Bureau and Customer Reviews, https://www.bbb.org/us/ca/san-francisco/profile/clinic/ubiom... https://www.highya.com/ubiome-reviews
Congrats to uBiome, but honestly, the microbiome space is so nascent, this is an incredibly risky play. I haven't seen any data so far to suggest the microbiome plays a major role in disease. It's entirely speculation at this point.
As for the science around the microbiome role in metabolic, developmental and autoimmune disorder is observatory at best. I’ve yet to see a paper that took a human, changed their microbiome and observed X effect (beyond the obvious bacterial infection example).
But more to your point, using the mg data from their "healthy" population along with the open-label data in the literature seems like a good way to construct RCTs, no? Data from open label studies isn't speculative... it's just not phase 3.
In case you're curious, here are two papers on UC: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28214091 and https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29052237
But also, it's not getting any easier to raise money for a real biotech, where you have to have scientific validation and might hurt people; it's easier to raise money when you're a blockchain biotech, and are promising whizzy vaporware that interacts with customers only in unregulated ways that can't be validated.
There is just a ton of money right now.
Even for companies like uBiome whose business strategy is “we’ll sequence your microbiome and <waves hands around furiously>”
It's only just started, but there is now a light at the end of the genetic/gene-therapy tunnel. With the approval of the first CAR last year (and it's success at curing children of leukemia), there's now a very real environment to produce valuable inventive biological products that are not just chemicals or antibodies.
Kite and Juno sales for ~$10B each earlier this year has done quite a bit for the field. Vapor always follows the good money, but it's not just that the money is cheap.
maybe those offerings will be in the future?
what are your thoughts on the data they did provide?
Is this company real? Who knows. Do I trust the VCs to do real due diligence and verify that it is? Nope. Not a chance in hell.
The indicators for Theranos was the lack of interest from folks like A18Z and Sequoia. Similarly the top investor here is not a household name. If this was the bees knees, I'd be expecting the big folks in this round.
Is it possible this company is on the up-and-up and this is all going to pay off handsomely for everyone? Sure, it's possible. Do I have every right and reason to be skeptical and doubt that there's something here? Based on past experience, yes.