New Planes That May Change Travel
cntraveler.com
cntraveler.com
However, for the sake of the argument if any iterations of these existing planes is worth citing as a "newer" plane then IMO it is A350-1000ULR which is going to operate the longest flights ever from Australia to New York/Johannesburg/London/Brazil https://www.ausbt.com.au/airbus-mulls-ultra-long-range-a350-...
Baggage isn't. Leg-room isn't. Food isn't. Even "the most convenient airport" is often not important to passengers' purchasing decisions.
It's hard to blame the airlines when they're just responding to incentives the passengers are giving them. And tickets are cheap, right? Can't complain too much about price competition, and I don't think you should really complain at all about a la carte pricing. It's the fairest way to do things (and it's what we all ask of our cable companies -- "I don't want to pay for sports/luggage, just give me HBO/beer!")
Which, interestingly enough, is at least in part an API problem.
Was at a talk by some people from IATA and ThoughtWorks a while back, and apparently the standard ticketing APIs that at least all the third party booking agencies use simply don't have room for innovative features.
So for example, I think it was Air New Zealand that had a product where you could buy the middle seat to keep it empty. But that wasn't something that could be represented in the APIs, so you could only book it on their own website.
If that's the case, then Southwest should be able to innovate very easily in this area, because they don't use third-party ticketing. They could have separate zones with more or less legroom.
https://www.airnewzealand.com.au/economy-skycouch
But you're right, the average GDS can't cope with this.
Flying used to be really expensive, its just not now.
I challenge this (I have been flying since 1967 and have multiple millions of frequent flyer miles).
I will agree that the typical flight quality of an economy passenger today is worse than it was in the 1970s. But consider:
1 - many more people are able to fly today than could so in the days of regulation.
2 - The market, not the shareholders, has chosen the feature/price point they want: ultra-ultra-low-cost airlines (Ryan/Spirit) don't dominate the market; a plurality of flyers are willing to pay a bit more to get more than that, while attempts at launching higher levels of default service have suffered. So it isn't that people always choose the cheapest (or all we'd have is Spirit). At the same time you can pay more for the full-service experience if you want (business, called first in the US).
3 - The whole experience is safer and more comfortable than it used to be. An original 747 was spacious, but prone to accidents, more stops because there was no long range flights (Sydney-London is 24 hours with one stop now; in the late 70s it was 36 hours with four refueling stops). And the business and international first are a lot more comfortable; business today costs about what coach did in the 70s.
My first flight was on a VC-20 (I have a BOAC junior log book -- signed by the captain of each flight! -- of every flight I took between 1967 and 1975) and I flew 747 in 72 and frankly I'd not want to fly that way again. Oh yeah, planes had smoking sections into the late 1990s (and later in Russia, Korea, parts of Africa, and probably other places I didn't fly).
What has gotten worse is the histrionic rubbish before you board. What a waste of human life the TSA is.
I do agree with you completely about the security theater aspects of the TSA
What I meant to say was that yes, you had more room in a 747, but overall passenger flight safety these days is amazingly high in an absolute sense and a massive improvement over flight safety of the 60s and 70s.
I have been hearing that for a long time with every new airplane that gets introduced. The truth is that coach will always asymptotically suck.
Or when, like happened to me, you get involuntarily relocated from the exit row seat you paid extra for? (Without compensation, since it was done by the flight crew during boarding and not in advance. Thanks, Singapore Airlines!)
It's fantastic, all airlines should introduce it.
The end result is the same either way for the person in front me, so I feel no guilt in using them. I also make a point to never recline my own chair.
I'm tall enough that in coach my knees make full contact with the seat in front. I just keep them that way for the first half of the flight, and the person in front of me assumes the seat recline is broken.
And if they manage to recline anyway, I make sure to hold my food or drink or reading material directly above their head while I eat, since they're pretty much in my lap anyway.
[1] https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/12/health/obesity-study-10-p...
Airbus's A321: 141 Economy Seats in sets of 3x, or 23 rows on each side of the aircraft. 31" pitch.
If we take out one row of 3x seats, that's 1.34 inches of additional pitch, if we take out two, that basically turns it into Delta's Economy Comfort (34" pitch). So how much is six seats going to cost?
I grabbed a random Atlanta -> New Orleans on an A321, total one way ticket cost for 6x tickets is $561. If we split that between all the remaining 21 rows/63 seats on one side of the aircraft, that is $9/seat.
For $9/seat we could all be sitting in economy comfort. Based on $93.5 one way, that is less than 9% surcharge.
Heck, sell one side of the aircraft at 34" pitch and $9 more, and the other at 31" pitch and $9 cheaper. Everyone wins.
I'd pay $9 more. I cannot afford to pay $405 which is the cost of business class by the way.
PS - These are back of napkin figures, not an academic study. Take with a pinch of salt.
It also reduces stress on boarding, reduces some fees the airline pays, and while staffing cost per passenger increases, the airline's profit per passenger increases in kind.
Plus a lot of airlines don't even offer an Economy comfort class, and even fewer do on all of their aircraft.
The biggest likely impediment to this isn't the economics or business, it is that reseller sites only focus on price. They won't even tell you what the seat pitch/width is, they'll just tell you that seat A is $135 and seat B is $150.
Of course, the real thing is that customers are voting with their wallets, and they generally prefer as cheap as possible.
Anyway, he's been complaining a lot about sitting in the back seat of our car. The car in question, a Model S, is, as I understand it, known to have fairly good back seat legroom, and we don't ride with the front seats far back.
The point is this: in so many ways, it's fucking glorious to be short.
I can sit on Caltrain or a jetliner and work fairly comfortably with my laptop. That's an epic, life-long advantage.
In trade? Well, I have to ask my wife or son to get things down from the top shelf.
Totally worth it.
The contribution of tall mothers to height in sons is deceptively large, because women are quite short compared to men. Using your figures and some stylized assumptions:
American mean male height 70 inches.
American mean female height 66 inches.
Father 67 inches = 70-3
Mother 70 inches = 66+4
Heritability of height 0.8
Expected value of son's height is (70) + ((-3+4)/2)*0.8, or 70.4 inches, taller than either parent.
Reversing the heights of the parents gives the same result for the son (it's a substitution of (0+1) for (-3+4)), but people are much less surprised by a son who's slightly taller than his average father than they are by a son who's much taller than his father and even taller than his very tall mother.
I've never encountered anything worse than the back seat of a 4th gen Altima. Something about it it just nauseating Given a choice between an old pickup with no AC and manual steering in the summer and rear seat of a 4th gen Altima I'd take the truck almost every time.
-- Louis CK
I, too, think about the Louis C K quote every time I fly.
You can appreciate the miracle of tap water while still wishing your shower stayed hot longer!
[0]https://www.google.com/maps/dir/Philadelphia,+Pennsylvania/W...
Afaik airlines constantly lose money and the only time they make up for the whole year are xmas and national holidays such as thankgiving and independence day. In fact even when you buy xmas time ticket in 2030, it will be accordingly overpriced.
I don't know if I'm getting older or just my values are changing, but I stop thinking of the money spent and start simply enjoying more comfortable travel.
Pretty much every commuter flight already has an announcement beforehand that overhead bin space will be extra tight and gate checking is available if you don't mind waiting 15 minutes for your bag when you get to your destination.
The higher the wings flex, the less efficient they become since the lift vectors aren't perpendicular. So, a more rigid wing is more efficient but also heavier. And you need some flex to ride turbulence, though active control surfaces can help.
Boeing has moved back to very flexy wings like it started in the jet era with the B-47 but Airbus tends towards more rigid.
A few years ago I took a trip in a DC-10 and those wings were like planks of aluminium, they didn't flex at all.
Yes, but that's one of the only routes it will fly. With the Concorde, we discovered that flying supersonic jets around population centers is a big deal-breaker because of the supersonic boom.
Given how few of these routes you can actually fly, I expect Boom will come to the same realization that the airline industry did 20+ years ago; you can't make money on supersonic.
Those are basically the four major global economic centers. And among those four, the only link that this service can't provide is Europe <-> East Asia.
Really? Most of those routes are either trans-arctic or trans-Siberian.
Not necessarily.
For example, Southwest Airlines got its start by moving businesspeople around Texas. It only started leaning on tourists later.
Do you know a good way to check, for a particular flight route, how much of it would be eligible for supersonic flights?
The only places in between with enough space to get up to supersonic and subsequently drop out in time for population are a few chunks of Nevada, Utah, New Mexico, and Colorado. Look at a night time satellite picture of the US to see how infeasible flying over most of the eastern US is.
I grew up in fly-over land, and military training flights based out of the Dakotas used to go overhead; we would get the occasional boom.
(Also, once in a while doing my farm-kid chores driving a noisy piece of machinery across a hay field I would get buzzed by a jet sneaking up from behind me flying at a very low altitude. It was always startling because I never heard them coming over the noise of the tractor. I'm sure I made a pretty good surrogate for an enemy tank...)
So for super-sonic flight, that path might be modified to be off-shore enough to keep sonic boom over the ocean, but follow the East coast closely enough that an airport capable of accommodating the plane for an emergency landing is always within a reasonable distance. (Bonus points for being able to fuel up and take off again.) It isn't simply a problem in spherical geometry.
- Boom. Boom supposedly targeted a 10x noise reduction for its sonic boom compared to Concorde, but whether or not it can convince the FAA remains to be seen. - Lack of bodies that could reliably fill seats at the ticket prices. Boom is targeting current business class ticket prices, and the plane is half as big as the Concorde; 55 seats is around the size of a current premium class cabin. - The wrong ocean. Flights across the Atlantic are not that long; six hours is a reasonable night's sleep from NY-London. On the other hand, the Pacific is massive; even Seattle-Tokyo is 12 hours. When Concorde was built, Asia wasn't rich and they could only convince Air France and BA to buy them; today JAL is investing in Boom, and there are probably people willing to pay a premium to halve 12+ hour flight times from the West Coast to Shanghai, Beijing, Seoul, Tokyo, Singapore, etc.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air_France_Flight_4590#/media/...
Do you associate DC10's the same way? (The debris were from a DC10).
Apart from being a chain of events vanishingly unlikely to repeat, I doubt all other aircraft would come away from the same scenario fatality free.
Almost every plane out there has had at least one bad accident. And every single time measures are taken so that type of accident doesn't happen again.
It looks like they are hoping to make money by having a more efficient, slightly faster and smaller aircraft than Concorde. It also has more range which they hope will open up transpacific routes which Concorde could not do. Their goal is to make it profitable for airlines to charge about the same as they do for a business class ticket.
They also suggest that their aircraft will make a much smaller sonic boom. Possibly quiet enough to be tolerable over land routes. That would obviously be a huge game changer.
Their still building their technology demonstrator, so I'd take all their claims with a big grain of salt. They want to fly their XB-1 in 2019, so hopefully we'll have a much better idea of how well this work next year.
Same old song.
These airplanes run on jet fuel, and require a pair of human pilots to operate. This means that these planes have a high operational cost.
Meaning that the airline companies will eventually cram everyone into the smallest space they can. Everyone will be miserable in economy. But if you upgrade for just $100, then you can get another inch of legroom in economy-plus!
For the Boeing 787 to be bragging about better fuel efficiency.. Well.. so what? That is really irrelevant to me, because I am paying the same amount for the ticket, or more. And they still cram everyone into the maximum amount of misery possible in economy class.
And for the planes that are bragging about being able to fly 20 hours.. Can you imagine the horror of flying internationally in economy? And trying to get some sleep during the flight?
I can. Welcome to our new future of flying. Nothing but misery ahead. Unless of course, you want to splurge a little more on First Class tickets.