They need to keep up with security patches (for obvious reasons) but the six month limit has them scared. The consensus seems to be that they don’t believe they can keep up with an upgrade schedule that fast and are thus forced to pay for support from someone or hope that the community backports security fixes far enough for the rate at which they feel comfortable upgrading.
It doesn’t sound like they actually know what their upgrade rate would be, but they’re sure that it’s much slower than six months.