385 Feet of Crazy: The Most Audacious Flying Machine
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I don't know if ultimately there is a big enough market but I can at least see theoretical potential there, and just in general it often works better to try to carve out a specialized niche with higher margins then take the 400kg gorillas head-on at their greatest strengths. And if the medium/medium-heavy launchers work then this doesn't have a total joke payload either, 3.4 to 6 tons to LEO isn't just cubesats.
It'll be interesting to see how it goes at any rate whether it pans out or not. It's ambitious and it could offer a niche but new additional mission capability.
Of course economics still matters here even for the military, it still will be weighed against conventional satellites and spy planes and so on. But a sales pitch of:
>"We can pick up your bird from anywhere with enough runway, fly it to somewhere it can be launched at any time with minimal to zero worries about weather, other air traffic, or bothering (or even being visible to) populated areas, and hit any azimuth (no population overflight concerns either)"
seems like it might be worth something at least. It's certainly somewhat different beyond cost at least, even if it doesn't matter to most. The AF has their own robotic spaceplane project after all, seems like there is at least some interest in this kind of area?
If this does come to fruit in real life, it wouldn't be the first time that ideas from his books have become reality 10-20 years later.
I don’t know a whole lot about spy satellites, but the existence of things like spy planes and accurate ICBMs suggests the latter.
[0] https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2018/08/20/virgin-galacti...
The layers of complexity here can't be worth it economically. Is this a solution in search of a problem?
Point in case, note the size of the Pegasus orbital rocket [2]. Or the orbital anti-satellite missile, sized like a typical cruise missile, all thanks to air launch [3] from a typical fighter jet.
Now that SpaceX is able to recover the first stages from some launches, the cost of first stage is a bit less of a factor, but still there are other considerations, like ability to launch from any decent runway vs having to maintain a dedicated facility, unusable for any other commercial purposes, far away from humans due to incredible amount of noise rocket engines create.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air_launch_to_orbit
https://spaceflightnow.com/2018/06/08/airplane-with-pegasus-...
Think of the airplane part of this as an efficient, highly reusable first stage with poor performance.
Also, by launching from an aircraft over an ocean one can avoid many of the ground realities of rocket operations. Land-based sites much deal with shipping notices and noise issues. Stratospheric can fire these things in different directions, to different orbits, without worry. They might also be able to launch multiple rockets on a single flight, a totally new service that might hit an unexplored market.
Lastly, politics. Stratolaunch could travel the world to launch rockets from basically any big airport. So if the Saudis want to launch something without the hassle of US/Russian security checks, they can have Stratospheric show up to handle the launch locally. There are probably enough countries wanting to launch something locally for prestige alone.
Or... someone just wants to have the biggest airplane in the world (paging Dr. Freud) and this is the way to make that happen.
No, because stratolaunch as a US company is subject to ITAR, and its rockets will be built with ITAR restricted tech.
That statement is misunderstood. Google "rocket ISP". Rocket engines work less efficiently at lower altitudes, and cannot be properly optimized due to the rapidly changing pressures between sea level and the near-vacuum at altitude. They burn extra fuel due to this inefficiency. And since rockets are at their heaviest in the lower atmosphere, even little inefficiencies really add up. Atmospheric drag is next to nothing in the equation. Even speed isn't the issue. It is about how they cannot design an efficient engine bell to cover the initial climb.
So if you can get above the thickest part of the atmosphere, say attached to a giant goofy-looking airplane, before you light off your engine - rather than having to push your way through that same thick air on your own - you need less propellant, overall, to reach orbit, which means you can devote a larger fraction of your launch vehicle's mass to payload.
Space shuttle was 3 g - 1 from gravity = 2g net acceleration, but that's kept low for passengers. Even then 2 g net ~= + 44 MPH every second.
So, first 15 seconds your going under 660 MPH which is not that fast, but you get ~1.4 miles up. Because drag increases with speed very quickly the next bit is harder, but you very quickly get above what an aircraft could take you with ~5.6 miles at 30 seconds. Note: Higher g's mean more drag in denser atmosphere, but less gravity drag it's a meaningful trade-off.
However, aircraft's velocity is very useful essentially saving those first 15 seconds of full burn, but comes at the price of needing more structural elements to support the hanging rocket.
When you watch a SpaceX launch they actually have to really dial down their acceleration to get through Max-Q, the highest dynamic pressure, due to air resistance. Air resistance is a function of speed SQUARED and the density of air. By starting the rocket that much higher, I believe they are essentially removing that inefficiency- by the time they're moving fast enough for it to matter, there isn't enough air for it to matter.
There's also the whole tyranny of rocketry equation. The first foot of elevation gained is the hardest and the first mile per hour of speed is the hardest. Starting even a little bit higher and faster is a big win over taking off from sea level.
And as others have said, they've got incredible flexibility here. Whatever orbit you want to be in, the launch will take place in that orbit. A lot of traditional rocket launches have 'instantaneous' launch windows where missing by 1 second is a no-go because the ground is only in the right spot at one moment.
Most important of all: let them try! If this whole thing is a bust, it's private enterprise and you and I lose nothing over it while getting to see an enormous jet. And if it does work, we all win from the increase in availability of satellites and access to space.
To use the example of the Falcon 9 again, consider the second stage with a dry mass of 4 tonnes, 107.5 tonnes of propellant, and an exhaust velocity of 3.41 km/s. With a 5 tonne payload the stage can achieve a delta-V of: ln((107.5 + 4 + 5)/(4 + 5)) * 3.41 km/s = 8.7 km/s. Now, if we substitute the first stage sea level exhaust velocity of just 2.76 km/s the overall delta-V is 7.1 km/s, and to get to the same delta-V (8.7 km/s) now requires a mass ratio of 23.4:1, resulting in an effective payload of just 0.8 tonnes, less than 1/6th as much as the original payload!
In actuality the overall performance differences won't be quite as severe but this does point out the potential for a rocket launched from higher altitude to have equivalent performance to a much larger rocket launched from sea level.
Another major advantage is operational flexibility. You can launch from a wider variety of launch locations, which might make it easier to launch in a more timely manner, or could make it easier to launch certain kinds of payloads (which don't need to be shipped around the world, the launcher can come to you). And potentially it makes it possible to launch from more equatorial locations, gaining a slight orbital mechanics advantage.
However, all of this comes at some pretty steep costs. With this design it's harder to make incremental changes to the vehicle. One of the classic mechanisms for improving launcher performance is stretching stages, but that's out of the question here. You can't make the rocket bigger without making the carrier aircraft bigger as well.
Additionally, and most damning, the tradeoff here is a bad one. On the one hand you have a sea level launched rocket which needs to expend more propellant to reach orbit. However, propellant is dirt cheap, it's the cheapest part of a launch pretty much. Especially for a LOX/Kerosene rocket the propellant isn't even going to crack 7 digits in terms of cost, even for a big rocket. With high altitude launch some dirt cheap propellant is saved at the cost of an inordinately expensive carrier aircraft, and a very complex and dangerous flight profile (you need to have a piloted aircraft takeoff with a fully fueled rocket). Moreover, you've now cut off all of the most straightforward avenues for incremental improvements of the launch system: you can't make any part of it bigger without starting from square one with a new iteration.
And in a world where reusable rockets are becoming ever more commonplace this makes even less sense.
Single engine out isn't probably much of a concern as there are two redundant engines per side.
I'm just speculating though.
If we assume that 7800-8000 m/s is required for low earth orbit, how much does stratolaunch plan to shave off? How much Delta v is saved in the current small rocket setup with the pegasus dropped from an ex commercial airliner at approximately the same altitude?
If you start at 40,000 feet, you can accelerate largely sideways and reduce gravity losses without running into the atmosphere too hard and needing a stronger structure.
Can't wait to see videos of it in action.
It is. Just that it's the first such pair of aircraft that stay parked next to each other in all regimes, not just the one.
Apparently not! I learned from the video embedded in the article (just before the paragraph starting with "The Next Steps") that Scaled Composites has already built one: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scaled_Composites_White_Knight...
and from there I found a wikipedia category about them: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Twin-fuselage_aircraf... including another Burt Rutan design: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rutan_Boomerang
The Stratolaunch is just so much bigger.
thank you wired for warning, i will make sure not to open any link anymore