Extreme temperatures 'especially likely for next four years'

At least the article indicates what kind of prediction there is :

>>> He cautions that this should not be seen as a prediction that Europe will definitely have more heatwaves, the US more forest fires, South Africa more drought or the Arctic more ice melt. The likelihood of these events will increase, but his model is on a broad global scale. It does not predict which part of the world will experience warming or in which season.

In other words, something might happen. Or might not. But if it does, I definitely predicted it!

I guess it's hazardous to your career to project any further out than that. Given the various positive feedbacks(1) at play, however, I can't think of a realistic argument for why anything would get better in four years.

1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change_feedback

From what I understand about the current science... it wouldn't matter if we could end emissions instantly today. It's already in motion and there's nothing we can do to stop it. All we can do is to try to not make it worse.

Just checked that the Solar cycle only has marginal influence of less then .2 degrees: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_cycle