Why bother with the audit trail if you can’t verify the voters themselves?
Why bother with the audit trail if you can’t verify the voters themselves?
But it's also public info, right! What if someone else just walks up and gives my info??
Then I won't be able to vote. I'll have to file a provisional ballot and a complaint that someone stole my vote. These sorts of things are tracked and it turns out it's very rare.
As a means of altering an election outcome, it just does not scale. Even to fraudulently elect a town dog catcher, you would need hundreds of people to fill out fraudulent ballots, one by one by one. Where are you going to get those people from? Why would they spend their time doing that? What's in it for them? What incentive would that have to keep it a secret?
Can you see why it is dumb to worry about this kind of vote fraud?
What if someone (perhaps a political campaign or party) with some kind of vested interest and a whole lot of money broke off a couple hundred dollars for a few hundred people?
Seems like there's money and possibly NDAs involved, in that scenario.
What if someone (perhaps a political party member) with some kind of ends-justify-the-means mentality thinks its for the greater good if they go around voting fraudulently? What if that person convinces a few other like-partied folks that it's for the best and they go along with it?
There's certainly many possible scenarios for people committing some form of election fraud.
If those people are OK with committing a felony for a few hundred dollars, ok, but I doubt most people would even entertain the idea.
It's a huge risk, a personal risk, and takes a large number of people who all have to be trusted.
And then any NDA they sign will be made irrelevant as soon as one of them gets immunity for testifying against the organizer in what would inevitably become a RICO case.
You think there's such a thing as an NDA enjoining silence about a criminal conspiracy?
NDA would not solve this problem because people would only sign the NDA after they were recruited. (And NDAs cannot compel silence about criminal activity anyway.)
> There's certainly many possible scenarios for people committing some form of election fraud.
Sure, and there are lots of scenarios where a voter ID law doesn't stop them either, like if the criminal masterminds pay a few hundred dollars to have some fake IDs made. Did you think of that scenario?
What there is not is evidence that this happens more than rarely, or is a problem for American elections.
Meanwhile there is tons of evidence that restrictive voting laws prevent legitimate votes from being cast. In short, voter ID laws cause far more vote irregularities than they prevent.
FUD about voter fraud has been debunked over and over again, sometimes even by Republican officials. It's hard to do and just doesn't seem to be happening.
From a sheer systems design standpoint, it’s one of those things that seems like a reasonable thing and the opposition has never made a lot of sense to me.
From an audit trail standpoint, if we are taking measures to better ensure integrity of elections it seems like you would want to do both. Do it with whatever measures are necessary to ensure that people who would have difficulty obtaining an ID have some means to do it.
It just seems like if we have a goal of removing questions about election integrity, we should go the whole way.
From a "systems design standpoint" it's adding a feature for a high cost that that isn't needed and makes the result of the system worse as fewer people will participate. Overengineering at the expense of the user.
In a perfect world I understand your point and in an ideal system everyone would be easily able to get the ID they need. In reality some people will find it harder than others to obtain the ID. The difficulty could be raised in areas where people in power wish to suppress the vote by limiting supply and people with less free time or money may not be able to get it.
Making it even harder for people to vote is undemocratic and there is no reason to add this extra layer because there isn't really a problem that is solved by it. If there was strong eveidence then the trade-off might be acceptable but this really isn't the case. There is also a high added cost to the system. The discussion only exists because fewer voters generally means proportionally higher turnout for republicans and this is why they are cynically suggesting it.
The true intentions of the populace in an election would be effected much more by the number of people who are excluded by a voter ID system than they ever would be by the statistically insignificant levels of direct voter fraud.
I genuinely hope this helps you understand the other point of view.
If getting a state-issued picture ID was free, easy, and convenient, I don't think nearly as many people would object to the requirement. But somehow that's never mentioned by those that want to "ensure election security". Because for far too many of those people, what they actually want is fewer minorities and low-income people voting.
I agree this is inadequately discussed/addressed.
It might still be remarkably expensive overall to implement, but voter IDs could be handled at the local level, as voter registration often is, with similarly lightweight documentation requirements. Ideally, registration and ID application/issuance (for the next election) would be mandated for every polling place.
It could have the added benefit of being an additional/secondary piece of identification (technically even government-issued), something that can be out of reach of someone low on income and/or time, even once they've obtained the state ID.
Handling this at the local level introdces opportunities for limiting supply in areas where it is beneficial to the local party in charge to suppress the vote.
> Ideally, registration and ID application/issuance (for the next election) would be mandated for every polling place.
Why? What is the benefit? Voter fraud of this kind in minimal so what justifies the added cost?
> It could have the added benefit of being an additional/secondary piece of identification ... something that can be out of reach of someone low on income and/or time, even once they've obtained the state ID.
Why should people need a secondary ID? The issue is that low income people don't always have ID and you're suggesting the could need two forms of ID to vote. What makes this easier to obtain for low income people than other forms of ID?
That may be true but has nothing to do with my original point, which I perhaps didn't make clear enough originally, is that the lack of discussion around ease and cost of IDs tends to result in the tacit assumption that the only suitable IDs would be existing, state-issued ones, whereas easier, cheaper options could be mandated.
> Why? What is the benefit? Voter fraud of this kind in minimal so what justifies the added cost?
I'm making no assertion as to the underlying benefit of requiring IDs in the first place, but lighter weight documentation requirements would be easier than a state ID and presumably cheaper. Co-location with polling places would make it at least approximately as easy/available as the voting itself (far more so than a state DMV).
> you're suggesting the could need two forms of ID to vote
I'm doing no such thing, and it's an uncharitable reading of my comment to accuse me of it, considering I pointed out an added benefit. Opening a first bank account would be easier with two forms of photo ID.
This wasn't clear thanks for clarifying. But I have little faith that a new form of ID would be any easier to obtain than current options. Ideally we'd just make the current state IDs easier to obtain but even then they still shouldn't be necessary for voting if we truely want to count the opinion of as many citizens as possible.
It's hard to see how having yet another option could make getting any ID overall more difficult, but, of course, merely easier isn't adequate.
It has to be so easy and frictionless (in addition to being free) as to avoid voter suppression. As such, it would have to be at least as easy as current voter registration (which itself is not necessarily easy enough to begin with).
I have more faith that, if this is possible, it would be doable by augmenting existing election bureacracies to include photo ID issuance, than retrofitting existing DMV bureacracies (and adding locations?!). (I also think that even just attempting a DMV retrofit is likely to end up being a boondoggle/moneypit of breathtaking proportions, at least for the larger states [1])
[1] Witness http://articles.latimes.com/2013/feb/14/local/la-me-dmv-proj...
Voter ID laws will help prevent people impersonating one another and stealing each other's votes. But they also prevent legitimate voters from casting votes, if they don't satisfy the voter ID requirement. If the latter effect is larger than the former effect, your voter ID law has introduced a net negative impact on the U.S. election system.
Because the goal of an election system is to accurately count legitimate votes, not just to not count illegitimate votes.
> It just seems like if we have a goal of removing questions about election integrity, we should go the whole way.
Election integrity is also compromised if citizens are not permitted to vote.
If you'd like to better understand the opposition to voter ID laws, Google can do a lot for you. The ACLU is not a bad place to start, though:
https://www.aclu.org/other/oppose-voter-id-legislation-fact-...
Nothing about giving citizens IDs at 18, nor existing or easy pathways to get a voter ID if you don't have one. Nothing about registering for IDs at the polls, nor programs to ensure that vulnerable populations like the elderly have IDs. There's no assurance given that polls won't enforce ID requirements until a majority of voters have IDs, which should be the default stance of such laws.
Voting is an important right and I'd expect our elected representatives to treat it with deference.
In an odd and absolutely unrelated coincidence, republicans who push these laws also close dmv’s in minority areas, change their hours to make it harder for working class drivers to access them, and instruct dmv personnel to obscure the fact that id’s are free.
Yeah, and scaling voter fraud up in many if not all states is _extremely_ hard. You need at least:
- a priori knowledge of who is registered but will not vote at each voting location; even one double-vote could blow your operation
- a large number of people who are willing to actually cast the fraudulent ballots
- logistics to shuttle your malicious voters between voting locations to cast their multiple ballots, without raising suspicion.
a priori knowledge of who is registered but will not vote
You can indentify large numbers of such candidates with high accuracy even without complex programming, let alone anything approaching AI, and the number of prospects can be huge in registrars which don't purge dead/moved voters. There is often an order of magnitude more unvoted ballots than the vote margin for most offices and measures.And generally, the party central committees get both registration data and turnout data for the entire county for free.
If your manipulation is spread across counties, and flips what would have already been a close election, it would almost certainly be undetected. Even if it was detected, the winning party (who doesn't even have to be in on the con) will defend the result. And without ironclad evidence of malfeasance, courts will be hesitant to give the appearance of overturning an election result.
It's critical that we have real security in our elections.
> One person committing voter ID fraud can feasibly vote a handful of times.
But a bus full of people driven around committing voter ID fraud can alter voter totals.
...unless you make even a single mistake in your assumption of who will keep the secret or who will not vote so you can vote in their place.
That seems incorrect.