What do they believe in now? I still thought calorie-in/out was the truth. I'd love to see some articles.
The average person gains an extra 1 to 2 pounds a year. It takes 6,000 calories to gains 2 pounds. This is about ~16.5 calories a day. About a fifth of a slice of bread.
This is an imbalance of energy, on a 2000 calorie diet, of less than 1%.
The whole point of something like calorie counting is so that this is no longer some automated, subconscious process.