What we get is culture clash, where people are essentially born with different values, customs, and ways to behave in society.
There is very good internet lore, which sort of describes this phenomenon called "The Eternal September":
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eternal_September
What Europe is experiencing right now, is essentially the same as what the internet experienced during Eternal September; the ability and capacity to assimilate has been exceeded, and therefore yes, there is a very real possibility of destruction of the western culture and values.
As for stopping the bombing and destruction of these countries, you simply cannot argue with that proposition.
It's actually quite perplexing that politicians are putting so little effort into solving the root cause, instead preferring the virtue signalling easy route, without seemingly any thought to the actual cultural and societal consequences of their actions.
When I went to school there was a pretty high number of second generation muslim immigrants, but even there you already saw their strict values eroding. Where their parents were mostly strictly religious, most kids (not all) went partying and drinking, didn't care about wearing veils. A girl from back then, became my neighbour last year and she couldn't care less about religion anymore, they have decent jobs and live life like everyone else here. I'm certain not every immigrant or their kids will adjust as fast, but it's a matter of time, if not this generation, the next. What 'strict' values will my neighbours kid still have from their 'home' country? They won't even be brought up with their religion anymore.
> the ability and capacity to assimilate has been exceeded Has it? Can this be quantified in some way? Just like my anecdote, is this a personal feeling? As I don't feel that way at all.
I certainly wouldn't take that happening as a given. If you bend over backwards to attempt to accommodate their culture in the west, you aren't giving any incentive to join your culture and worldview.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/1540895/Young-Britis...
Replace X with anything that you would find inappropriate in your current country - forced marriages, India's caste system, etc and I think you'll see what I mean.
I don't see how it would be possible to believe this at all, given the abundant examples to the contrary.
I don't really think that my comment was "racist". Just talking about how culture affects genes and vice versa. Was it not bad that the old European nobles were inbred as well?
Probability calculus, not calculus in the sense of integration and differentiation.
>So I don't understand your notation
P(x) is the background probability of x. P(x|y) is the probability of x given y.
>I'm not sure if this would compound over generations
It's already had plenty of time to compound over generations, to whatever extent it does.
>the chance for birth defects goes from around 1% to 3-4%, about the same as a woman in her late 30s/early 40s having a child.
Indeed, which shows how silly your theory is. I mean, are you really suggesting that a slightly higher incidence of e.g. cystic fibrosis in Pakistani communities somehow makes it more difficult for them to integrate? That's such utter nonsense that you shouldn't be surprised if people infer some kind of malicious intent behind your comment.
I'm not sure what you mean, most westerners don't make a habit of marrying their cousins.
Because of this compounding it means that the risks would be much higher than 3-4%, which is what we see in the data.
>I mean, are you really suggesting that a slightly higher incidence of e.g. cystic fibrosis in Pakistani communities somehow makes it more difficult for them to integrate?
It seems as though birth defects aren't the only way that inbreeding negatively affects offspring. It also appears to lower intelligence[0], while also increasing mental health issues.
[0] - https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2FBF01068128
This is pure speculation on your part, as far as I can see. Do you have any data to back this up? It's also not the case that all Pakistanis routinely marry their cousins generation after generation. (The prevalence of cousin marriage is very variable within different Pakistani communities.)
>It seems as though birth defects aren't the only way that inbreeding negatively affects offspring. It also appears to lower intelligence[0], while also increasing mental health issues
You're cherry picking an old paper with a bad methodology. The result could easily be explained by the IQ of the parents being correlated with their likelihood of entering into a cousin marriage. As IQ is largely inherited, this would then lead to a difference in IQ between the two groups of children, even when controlling for SE status.