Not sure how significant permanent drop in price would be handled, as I understand it would cause cascade liquidation and massive loss for all parties involved (issuers and holders of DAI).
Not sure how significant permanent drop in price would be handled, as I understand it would cause cascade liquidation and massive loss for all parties involved (issuers and holders of DAI).
I'm also struggling to understand the incentive for people to overcollateralize to receive tokens notionally equivalent to dollars and how that's convenient
There are financial incentives to create and destroy DAI. A user of DAI doesn't need to collateralize, he just buys DAI.
DAI demand will grow, if the use cases grow. It is also a good safe heaven for crypto traders.
To your second point, the collateralized loan allows for very very low interest margin investing. You can use the DAI to invest in something, sell it at a higher price, repay your loan, and make money on the difference.
I love how we've come full circle to uninsured fractional reserve banking.
It's analogous. (More accurately, it's a carry trade.) If Ethereum crashes more than 33% (given 150% overcapitalisation) the token breaks the buck. Betting your less-liquid assets won't fall below your more-liquid liabilities is maturity transformation and presents the classic risks of fractional-reserve banking.
And the positions are set up to where you can borrow less than the maximum amount of DAI per ETH, to make your position more resistant to price drops.
The same thing happens with banks. It turns into a run when this forced liquidation drives prices down further which in turn fuels further redemption requests. It’s very possible to start the day 150% capitalised and end 20% because you sold 10% which tanked the market.