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I wouldn't want to make that assumption without further information.

If you are right, a lot of highly trained and paid people have made a grave mistake in their throughput estimates and might still be lying about it.

On the other hand there could be bottlenecks they know how to solve but are waiting for the tooling to be done.

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Within last 1.5 years highly trained and paid people have made something like 5-7 large mistakes in their Model 3 throughput estimates in a row already. Few more is not that surprising.

They are constantly facing bottlenecks that take them by surprise while they are learning to mass manufacture. Tesla is small volume luxury car maker that attempts to transfer into mass manufacturer with NIH attitude.

Tesla has had an insane learning curve to climb. Making a car... just think of how many different subsystems exist. A lot of them could be offloaded to contractors but they chose to do as much in house as possible( which also aligns with Musk's character).

Tesla's only been making cars for a decade before they started on the Model 3. So it's understandable that they totally need to learn how to make a car, it's just so hard...

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