Green Dot: The $2 Billion IPO You’ve Never Heard Of
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Fortunately they will cut you a refund check if you ask for one on the phone. Note to (monetary) gift givers out there: cash is still king.
Anyone know of competitors to green dot?
...I'd like to hear about some alternate business models being used for these services.
They later left NetSpend to found MPOWER Group in 2007. Our company was acquired by one of the MPOWER companies this year, and we couldn't be happier about the leadership and long-term vision here. The Sosa brothers are extremely genuine people. This time they're taking a closer look at banking and underserved markets, and it's a great time for the right kind of innovation in this industry if you ask me.
Last ~2 years have been spent building out product and a multinational infrastructure, I think you'll start hearing more about MPOWER in the near future as they ramp up marketing and social media efforts here in the States.
http://www.mpowerlabs.com http://www.mangomoney.com http://www.revworldwide.com http://www.yapsend.com
(I'm not making any statement about the legitimacy of the government blocking private currencies... I'm just pointing out that the historical evidence has been that the government won't tolerate private electronic money.)
By "private" I meant "allows anonymous users" not "owned by someone other than the government." which is very unclear. I've been up all night working and my grammar is degraded.
As of November 2009 the company's website states "As e-gold Users are aware, by agreement with relevant authorities including the U.S. Department of Justice, e-gold has suspended all e-metal Spend activity subject to meeting certain licensing requirements. As a result, e-gold Users have been unable to engage in any transactions, including exchanges, that would require either receiving or making an e-metal Spend from the accounts they control. We are, however, working diligently to develop a means by which account Owners will be able to access the value in their account".
Could someone start a legit service like this today?
I personally believe the e-gold guys were working in good faith to produce an alternate currency, one that functioned like cash, but that was backed by actual gold. However, it is generally agreed that the majority (or at least a significant portion) of the business transacted with e-gold was illegal in nature, and much like cash, once you spend your e-gold, you can't call up the e-gold company and tell them to reverse the transaction. you have to get the other party to return the money, and much like cash transactions in the real world, that can be quite difficult. In fact, the anonymous and electronic nature of e-gold made it better suited for many criminal activities (especially fraud) than cash, as the fraudster never had to actually meet his mark.
Obviously, all this caused a lot of complaints. Add in the fact that the anonymous nature of E-gold meant that most people weren't paying taxes on the transactions in question, and the government was going to step in and shut them down.
Now, I'm no lawyer, but I'd bet that if you set up something like e-gold tomorrow and made it non-anonymous, that, by itself, would make the thing largely acceptable. You would probably need to set yourself up as a bank or something, and you would probably need to set up something to make it easier for your customers to figure the taxes they owe, (and for the IRS to figure the taxes they owe) but I think the big barrier was anonymity.
As a secondary step, some sort of dispute resolution protocol like paypal has would probably also help, but I believe that is secondary to the first concern.
-Barriers to entry are pretty low. Walmart has already lowered fees from $9 to $5 for a new card and from $5 to $3 for monthly maintenance. NetSpend, AccountNow, Russell Simmons' RushCard are all in this business and more competitors appear to be sprouting up. Blackhawk Networks (owned by Safeway) just announced they are entering this business.
-50% quarterly churn rate. That means every 6 months Green Dot has to find an entirely new customer base to replace the one that left. My guess is the rate is high because of the monthly fees.
-A lot of people will be wowed by the company's massive growth rate (722k stores in 2006, 3.1M stores in 2009). But it is all almost entirely due to Walmart adopting their product. I am not sure if depending on Walmart for your future success is entirely beneficial, they have a reputation for bringing costs to the bare minimum. The variable costs for issuing a new card are so low that I think this is a major possibility.
-Then there is the outrageous valuation. 46x earnings, 25x book value. This is a pretty pricy company and I think competitors are going to pounce on their space, bringing down margins and customer activations. A 10% drop in pricing with a 30% drop in customer activations makes the company barely profitable.
In Jan 2011 the lock up on insider sales goes away. I expect during that time we'll see a ton of selling.
Also if you want to learn about this industry here are some great resources:
paybefore (magazine)
www.cfsi.org (Center for Financial Services Innovation)
"This article was not very well written IMHO. The big exit was for the Tech Coast Angels investors who had over 100x. Criticizing Zappos for their 1B+ exit vs Green Dot's 2B exit is an awful argument. Not only are they both in the low billion dollar range, but Sequoia forced Zappos to sell. This was widely publicized in Tony's blog post about it.
I've heard Steve speak give a keynote, and he had a standing ovation. Truly an inspiring entrepreneur. He deserves every cent he earns from the IPO."
The cost of that -- $2-6/mo -- is too damn high, and is the basis of the profit of this company.
Give cash. Help sink this entire business model.
Them offering prepaid (or even straight-up credit) cards to end users directly would be a huge shift in how and why they do business.