In Texas, a new power plant could redefine carbon capture
arstechnica.com
arstechnica.com
and so far I've found it to walk a great balance between accessible and rigorous. The articles seem to be well and reliable sourced, which provides good launching points for further investigation.
Anyway, just wanted to pass it forward, per se.
Super interesting stuff.
China for one example is getting an extraordinary amount of their electricity from coal. They're consuming more coal than the rest of the world combined. You are largely not going to be able to fully replace that with PV in the next 20-30 years. It can potentially be replaced with natural gas, nuclear and a combination of traditional renewables.
The US is in the same boat, albeit with a much lower level of coal consumption and a vast domestic supply of natural gas. All coal plants should be shut down in the US by continuing to transition to natural gas, while we keep building a lot of wind and solar, and at least maintaining our nuclear output (ideally we'd double that, but...).
The administration is now proposing that grid operators be forced to buy electricity from coal and nuclear plants that are now in the process of being shut down. The excuse is "national security".
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-06-01/trump-sai...
As far as renewables go we have options including wind power which are already cheaper than natural gas plant: https://cleantechnica.com/2016/12/25/cost-of-solar-power-vs-...
So both from economic and ecological viewpoints, natural gas is a bad idea.
Switching to gas is just trading one version of disaster for another. Instead of your world being razed by Godzilla you spend lots of money so it gets razed by Hedorah instead.
Here's one recent take on the issue: https://reneweconomy.com.au/a-100-renewable-grid-isnt-just-f...
Note that last bit: as we shift to a transport fleet consisting of more and more EVs, the possibility of using storage to balance out demand vs supply becomes more likely, without huge investment in utility scale static batteries.
Still not ideal, of course. But it absolutely has its place as a transition fuel as we work to decarbonize our energy production.
Methane is not a transition fuel, it is simply a smoke and mirrors truck replacing some of the CO2 emissions of coal with methane emissions from well to furnace. Methane is far worse than carbon dioxide, we should not be following plans to increase methane emissions for a token reduction of CO2 emissions.
https://thinkprogress.org/colorado-wind-batteries-cheap-12e8...
Of course, gas plants can also function continuously, and for baseline, nothing beats nuclear. But burning gas for energy is far better than just releasing it unburned in to the air, or flaring it for no productive purpose.
As we get more large-scale batteries online, the variable output of things like wind and solar will matter less, and they will be able to provide an ever-increasing percentage of our energy mix. This is well underway, but it is a huge task that will take a long time to complete.
Solar is particularly good at addressing daily peaks because those peaks generally happen during the day. Wind is good at relatively steady production around the clock because there is almost always wind blowing somewhere.
Coal is pretty terrible because it takes hours to react to changes in demand. This is why we have the term “baseload”: the rest of the industry must be highly dispachable to work around the high thermal mass (and resultant low responsiveness) of coal plants.
In addition coal plant tends to be large monolithic production, so the loss of one plant represents a significant proportion of supply. Coal is thus a net hazard to power reliability.
E.g. http://www.naturalgasintel.com/articles/114565-bakken-natura...
Nigeria flares something like 700 million cubic feet of gas every day due to lack of transport infrastructure.
Why would environmentalists have a problem with flaring versus using the heat from combustion to do something? Environmentalists would be in favor of putting a price on the CO2 emitted from burning or perhaps limiting oil production that leads to flaring.
As I understand it, the new research needed to make this happen is on making new components work (like the high pressure supercritical combustor they mention in TFA). The process complexity isn't anything remarkable.
As for PV: we are nowhere close to having feasible mature solutions for large scale day-to-day (or even intra-day) energy storage. Take the "world record" Tesla system in Australia that gets talked about a lot. In the hypothetical (and IMO entirely unfeasible) scenario where Australia switches to PV to replace coal and gas, and you wanted to use this Tesla solution to store energy from one day to the next to cover just a 20% variability in PV electricity production, you'd need to install more than 10 000 such facilities, at a cost of the order of magnitude of 1 trillion USD. For Australia alone.
So since we don't have that kind of energy storage, we need at the very least 40-50% baseline generation capacity from gas turbines (CO2-emitting or clean), hydroelectric and nuclear power.
I also think that variability is a lot more than just 20%. I think there is 50% variation between December and July in most of the USA just based on sunlight.
That means you would need to 20x overprovision solar in winter, plus you have a massive problem that you have 20x overgeneration in summer months (what do you do with all that energy?).
Battery storage doesn't help with this, as you'd need an absolutely enormous amount of storage to net off summer production with winter usage, and the batteries would basically be full for months then ran down in winter, to never be charged again until summer, so probably one cycle a year.
UK has good wind resource and does generate a lot through that, but it also tends to be less on very cold winter days (when power requirement is at its peak).
Overall I think the best option right now for the UK is something like 50% PV/wind, 25% nuclear baseload and the rest natural gas peaking plants. Even this would be very expensive, the peaking plants will be turned on and off a lot (high maintenance costs) and sitting idle probably throughout the entire summer.
I just set my house up to be very close to "net zero" with electric heating and one plug-in vehicle, but the system works by overproducing in the summer and underproducing in the winter.
The cost would be double or triple if the system had batteries and was capable of generating enough energy to heat my home in the winter.
Historically, steam turbine plants get retrofitted to run on different fuels. I think there's a good chance we'll figure out how to stockpile a flammable gas from solar energy, and then retrofit these kinds of plants to use it.
In this particular case, capturing CO2 is interesting, because stockpiling solar energy to a flammable gas may require a source of pure CO2. Thus, this plant could stockpile CO2 in the winter when sunlight is less abundant, and then stockpile fuel in the summer when sunlight is more abundant.
Batteries and hydro can both break 90% round trip efficiency while having very low costs. To win something needs to be better than that or very cheap, and burring stuff is not cheap.
The problem is stockpiling. If we have a lot of solar, we will need to stockpile energy in the summer for the winter.
Buying a giant battery that charges in the summer so I can run an electric heater in the winter is probably more expensive than figuring out how to manufacture a flammable gas. If I use it for 20 years, and take into account the energy used to manufacture, I wonder what the "true" efficiency is?
It's still very affordable to heat with wood, (which captures CO2 from the air,) so I'm rather confident we can figure out how to do this at scale.
Also with solar + wind their is no need for seasonal storage just have extra capacity and move it from other areas. 30-50% daily grid storage is about the useful limit above that and you're better off with more capacity.
PS: It's a different story if you say live on an island above the attic circle, but that's not a huge market.
The CO2 is pumped under ground to force oil out.
"In these applications, between one-half and two-thirds of the injected CO2 returns with the produced oil and is usually re-injected into the reservoir to minimize operating costs."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Enhanced_oil_recovery#Liquid_c...
Since this oil will be burned creating more CO2 the total atmospheric CO2 increase is probably greater than just a plain power plant with no capture.