http://www.thedrive.com/sheetmetal/12820/tesla-is-silently-p...
So if these numbers are from the owners reading them from the dash... they wouldn't know their 40kwh battery was actually a 60kwh battery that was software limited. That's a lot of spare capacity to hide aging.
Remember when they flipped a switch to allow Florida owners to use the range of their larger batteries to escape the hurricane:
https://techcrunch.com/2017/09/09/tesla-flips-a-switch-to-in...
Larger batteries than purchased are clearly quite widespread with Tesla.