Founding a startup with zero revenue is better than working for Goldman Sachs
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" At the risk of getting sued, let me throw you geeks a bone and part the Goldman veil a bit. The Goldman Sachs risk system is called SecDB (securities database), and everything at Goldman that matters is run out of it. The GUI itself looks like a settings screen from DOS 3.0, but no one cares about UI cosmetics on the Street. The language itself was called SLANG (securities language) and was a Python/Perl like thing, with OOP and the ORM layer baked in. Database replication was near-instant, and pushing to production was two keystrokes. You pushed, and London and Tokyo saw the change as fast as your neighbor on the desk did (and yes, if you fucked things up, you got 4AM phone calls from some British dude telling you to fix it). Regtests ran nightly, and no one could trade a model without thorough testing (that might sound like standard practice, but you have no idea how primitive the development culture is on the Street). The whole thing was so good, I didn’t even know what an ORM really was until I started using Rails and had to wrestle with ActiveRecord. The codebase was roughly 15MM lines when I left, and growing. I suspect my retinas are still scarred by the weird color blue SecDB was by default. "
During the financial crisis, GS knew their positions and their risks. They could also calculate the side effects of proposed trades as quickly as their computers could calculate it. This meant the people at the top could actively plan what to do next during the day.
In contrast, MS and JPM can only get information like this a few hours after the end of the day, and supposedly Citi just can't calculate such things without massive effort.
One more thing I should mention - this isn't a purely IT-driven story. Goldman doesn't simply have better IT than Citi or the Morgans. Citi has had many mergers and acquisitions (e.g., Vikram Pandit came onboard when Citi bought his hedge fund), whereas Goldman is mostly homegrown. Even if Goldman's geniuses ran Citi, they would still never be able to do what Goldman did.
For instance, a liquid stock such as MSFT is easy to value; just look at the last traded price. Chances are, if you are liquidate your entire holding of MSFT (even if you are a big fund or bank), it'll fall roughly in the range of couple of cents of last traded price.
A fairly illiquid stock such as a penny stock or a stock with relative low shares float; if you were to close your position as a bank, you are probably unloading/covering so many shares that it'll affect the price of that stock significantly. So you need to model that into your P/L model.
Things get even messier with a derivative, because let's say you are trying to sell an option position. Whoever your counterparty you sold your option contracts too, probably has some counter-strategy in which they might hedge their option transaction with an underlying equity or with another option spread at a different price whose counterparty might choose to hedge with an underlying equity position. All of which would in term affect the underlying equity pricing and how the options call/put parity is re-adjusted and then in terms, the pricing of the option contracts you just traded. So you need to model that.
So in your derivative pricing model, you might have to consider underlying pricing/volatility/liquidity, options pricing/time-decay/liquidity, futures pricing, currency exchange rates (for an ADR security) and how all of them all interact and influence one another.
And even with the math aside, constructing and consolidating all exchange/quote systems that trade all of these products is a system integration nightmare.
For that reason, creating a system like SecDB is a high priority these days.
In my experience there are all sorts of reasons why different desks WANT to price things differently. When 2 internal desks cross markets, they trade with each other instead of the broad market. Its advantageous for both internal desks because if the order is crossed internally, they don't have to print on an exchange, they save transaction costs, and they can be incentivized to give internal desks better prices. Its important for them to be able to shift risk from desk to desk so they can properly attribute PnL to the right agent.
edit: jrockway, just read further down that you said you work at a bank, where I'm assuming you had that experience. Ultimately the question is whether it is or should be the case that security XYZ should be considered to have the same price firm wide.
How do you guys do real-time P&L and risk calculations? Given the frequency and volume of the orders you guys pump to the market, I imagine that there must be a latency between when you receive ack/fills from market vs. real time market price of your positions. Given that HFT makes or breaks on pennies, cancel/modifying your orders in sync with real-time market info must be critical.
How do you guys solve this problem, both software-wise and telecom-wise? Via colo, but that solves the issue with only latency to trading servers. What about streaming and constructing your own consolidated quote book (because there's latency on CQS)?
To be honest, Buffett's interest in Goldman and his friendship with Obama could have had some play in the government's interaction with them.
The real issue here, is that all the models and ratings on these securities did not correlate the failure of similar bonds with similar underlying collateral. When running the models, they had something like 10% cross correlation between different bonds with extremely similar collateral according to someone who used to work at Fitch. In reality it should have been something like 50 to 75%.
Wall Street is like any other business. Don't over-glorify working for Google and not Goldman: tech companies are in it for money too; so are startups. At least on Wall Street people tell you they're doing it for the money. It's easier to detach that way and remember that what you're doing is just a job.
If GS got there first, but Citi cuts in line by offering a better price, the customer also wins.
ERIC SCHMIDT: But in fairness to those people[finance people], had they come to Silicon Valley in 1999 they would have received a far greater payoff during our little bubble. So who are we to criticize the Wall Street folks for having their bubble? It was just a bigger bubble.
WALTER ISAACSON: Do you think though that Google creates something that’s more real than somebody on Wall Street creating a financial instrument?
ERIC SCHMIDT: To be honest, not really. When I walked into the company, I said, “People pay you for this thing, these little ads?”
http://www.nypl.org/sites/default/files/events/live_2009_11_...
Meanwhile, a huge chunk of Goldman's activity as I understand it is simply taking the "dumb money" on Wall St. Nibbling the edges, taking pieces of trades by less sophisticated investors. That's not necessarily value creation, and much of the time it can be straight extraction from the rest of the economy.
Not that ads won't get there of course - they're well on their way already with various exchanges. But presently, they have to actually be creating other economic value via conversions in order to exist.
What about high frequency trading? Most of it is zero sum, first one to arb the difference wins. The economy doesn't derive any higher value from it if the difference would've been corrected within a couple seconds (or a few minutes) anyways. It's not the same as buying a burger.
If you sum the benefits of arbitrage over the high frequency traders, it's possible (close to) constant, too.
But the rest of the world can still benefit (or perhaps suffer in the case of a burger).
I was talking more from the perspective of someone who's generating cash. Burger King pays suppliers for meat and whatever (or raises cows in their own operation) and you pay them for a burger. You get a burger, they get cash, pay people, value creation all around.
In Wall St, on the other hand, theoretically we should see value creation through efficient routing of capital to the right places and the people who make that happen are rewarded for their effort. In practice, I feel, it's often a video game where they manage to nibble a billion little pieces away from the value-based investors who are actually performing an economic function. So in some scenarios, they're a net drain, rather than part of a robust economy. That's where my zero-sum analogy came in. YMMV.
[1] Mutual fund managers or hedge funds who take a lot of fees are probably quite a drain on your their clients returns.
Finance pundits worry about the implications of traders gaming each other. Let them game each other. The value investor sees a market price backed by millions of dollars of offers within pennies of each other. Should his trades move the market, much more liquidity will spring to life. The value investor feels fine.
I'm pretty sure that's not the case. Apple and Burger King would probably never be what they are today without MSFT or Mac. And perhaps vise versa also.
Or are you saying that your meaningfulness bar is so high that no job can possibly clear it? What if you and your wife worked together?
For the most part, we get to choose our lives. I reject the idea that time spent working can't be meaningful.
If he loses the 20-factor-job he loses the 100-factor-wife.
I'm just saying that - to me - a job is just a means to some end. That end (for me) is providing for my family adequately. That I happen to enjoy what I do is an extra bonus. I'm just saying not to lose sight of why we do what we do. If you start placing too much importance on a job, you let your job define you. IMHO, it's much more empowering to remember that your job is just a tool like any other.
I purposefully got a job that really is "just" a job so I could not only put food on the table but be there to enjoy it as well.
Our department doesn't hire people like that.
(Also, pretty much nothing in the article applies to most banks these days. Sure, someone may have a burger-eating contest from time to time, but it's not like it's work-sanctioned. It's just a bunch of dudes with too much testosterone. There are bonuses, but it's silly to count on them for anything. Ask for the amount of money you want as your base pay -- they'll probably give it to you. Then enjoy the 20% or whatever as a fun extra.)
Among my friends, we represented every large investment bank in NYC and many of the smaller hedge funds, so I'm sure it's representative.
Not sure how compensation is in the IT depts. at those banks, though, if that's what you're talking about. IT is probably not representative of why people go to work on Wall St, though, since it's viewed as a cost center in most banks, and it's not what Antonio is talking about in the post.
If you ask me, its called life balance. It's just a job. It's just school. It's just money. That's just life.
In my experience, traders don't want cool new snazzy Google Wave. They want Excel. They don't want cool new Web 2.0 streaming quotes/risk calculations/portfolio calculations, they want VBA macros in Excel.
Even if you are working in actual trading/strategy area and write up your backtester with Python. They want your P/L in Excel. To implement the strategy though, they want it in C++.
Wall Street: Excel for life!
Also not sure about other places, but Excel usage is frowned upon here, at least on the trading desks that I support.
Is it a flashy OMS/EMS/reporting/risk/quotes front-end? What kind of technical problems do you guys encounter? In terms of concurrency, security, message processing, bandwidth/latency? What kind of business problems do you guys encounter? In terms of smart-routing, risk calculations and compliance. Just curious what programmers in GS are generally involved in.
I find it offensive, actually, but so it goes.
And the more they secretly suspect the other possibility might actually be better, the more they feel the need to poop on it. I don't feel the need to loudly proclaim how much it must suck to be a garbageman, but I do feel the need to loudly proclaim that I sure am glad I'm not earning six hundred thousand dollars a year at a big hedge fund.
You may try to justify what you do that way, but it's just cognitive dissonance. "Wall street people" tend to make money in rent seeking ways, destroying or merely transferring real value. At least at Google you could be creating value, growing the economy in sustainable ways, and increasing real GDP.
That said, your explanation is probably more often the case.
Instead of worrying about whether or not he went to an Ivy school, his concern now might be: does he have investors with the "right" pedigree for his startup?
Face time with traders and MDs is replaced by hoping that all the "cool" tech blogs are writing his startup (no? writing a few troll posts on the startup's blog should fix that).
Etc.
Or, he could choose to forget all that and just build his company.
But if that kind of petty and superficial stuff got under his skin before, I don't see why it's going to be any different for him now.
"It got to the point that some papers had no authors, and had apparently written themselves. So it goes. No longer with the firm."
slightly vonnegut-inspired?
Wow. New title suggestion: "Working at Goldman Sachs will earn you enough money to found a startup with zero revenue."
I'm surprised that anyone would read Liar's Poker and think of it as a reference to Wall Street on an inspiration to work there. The "gorilla" culture described by Michael Lewis at Salomon Brothers in the 80s sounds very close to what the author experienced at GS in the mid-2000s. At the end of the book, Lewis leaves the firm after slightly more than a year, regarding his pay as obscene for the work he did and wondering about the utility and usefulness of the trading he did.
So, how could anyone read Liar's Poker and come away from it wanting to work on Wall Street? Or does obscene bonus pay blind people to all the negatives?
I don't think Michael Lewis ever intended the book to inspire people to work on Wall Street.
"I hoped that some bright kid at Ohio State University who really wanted to be an oceanographer would read my book [Liar's Poker], spurn the offer from Golman Sachs, and set out to sea.
Some how that message was mainly lost. Six months after Liar's Poker was published, I was kee-deep in letters from students at Ohio State University who wanted to know if I had any other secrets to share about Wall Street. They'd read my book as a how-to manual."
Him: I tried it once, about a year ago. I was showing some healthy mexican girls around, and they decided to climb. But it was so steep, and they just kept walking! After a few hours of pain I just stopped, and shivered on the side of the mountain. It was the worst day of my life.
Me: Sounds awesome. Only 50 egyptian pounds?
Him: It wasn't awesome. I don't recommend it. I'll sleep in the van.
Michael Lewis didn't enjoy Solomon Brothers, just as my guide didn't enjoy a 3 hour stroll up a 1500m hill. Both assumed that an accurate description of the experience would dissuade others. Both simply failed to appreciate the diversity of human preferences.
To pick other examples : 'Wall Street' is a must-see movie for everyone on the Street (though it's completely overblown). OTOH, Boiler Room (while being a decent movie) doesn't resonant much, since the vast majority of the money on Wall St is made by making tiny percentages on large amounts, rather than by ripping off small investors...
I guess that the majority of Wall St think that Liars Poker is a fairly balanced (and interesting) view of what goes on. Michael Lewis has an entertaining and insider-ish blog on Bloomberg (NI LEWIS, if you're in front of a terminal)
And here's an article he published yesterday (really targeted at the Wall St crowd) : http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-09-13/hedge-fund-man-f...
It seemed like such a different, more exciting world than the petty, effete, and monastic world of academia.
Incidentally, Lewis' column on Bloomberg is the best read on the terminal, in my opinion. His writing is among the best reading anywhere, in my opinion. My piece is obviously a riff on Liar's Poker. I'm only poking along on his well-trodden ground.
Now...you know what would be a unique? A Liar's Poker for startups. That hasn't really been written yet (that I know of). Hmm...there's an idea...;)
Actually, on second thought, Kaplan's 'Startup' might be that. I re-read it again recently, and it's starting to sound a bit dated though.
Nice. Now I know how I can read blogs at work.
(They try to block the regular Internet ones, but I doubt they even considered trying to censor the Bloomberg terminals!)
"If doing a startup is like rolling a boulder up a hill, then working at Goldman Sachs is like rolling it down the hill: you just have to stay out of the way of the boulder."
I wonder what it is that traders do that they can't be replaced by software? How do they manage to generate more value than quants?
Trading is a zero-sum game, right? So how does having an alliance with a competitor help out much?
Well, I'm very disappointed to find this.
1. One of the more common (and certainly well-known) medications for ADHD is Ritalin, which is methylphenidate. It's mildly related to meth. The long story short is that giving meth to someone with ADHD would not cause them to be able to focus less; rather, to be able to focus more.
2. Studies have shown that sugar does NOT cause hyperactivity in children, whether or not they have ADHD.
I'm saddened to see these incorrect stereotypes about ADHD. As an adult with ADHD, it's part of what makes my life harder than it has to be.
What studies show that sugar doesn't cause hyperactivity in children?
Anecdotal evidence and extensive field work with my brother's kids has shown me otherwise. You feed them a ton of sugar at the carnival and they go wild and then crash a few hours later.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyperactivity#Sugar_consumption
As far as "giving him a break" - why doesn't he give me a break and not perpetuate inaccurate and hurtful stereotypes?
Doesn't mean it's not unhelpful and nonharmful.
Its the same thing as saying, "the 800 pound guerrilla." Sure, most guerrillas are nowhere near 800 pounds and may take offence to us calling them heavy. But thats not the point at all.
But now you've inspired me to look it up, and apparently the average male gorilla is in the 300-400 lb range, but obese gorillas in captivity have got up to the 600 lb range. The heaviest gorilla on record was N'Gagi from San Diego Zoo, who died in 1944 and weighed in at 638 lb. So an 800 lb gorilla is certainly the weight range of any observed gorilla, though I assume a really overfed gorilla could easily reach 800lb since even humans can do so (http://www.dimensionsmagazine.com/dimtext/kjn/people/heavies...)
If you want to be offended, that's not really my business, but unless someone is responsible for your medical care or claims to know, I don't think it's fair to hold them responsible for this kind of information.
Ok it seems perfectly possible to make a lot of money while being a complete idiot. I'm getting an MS in engineering and since I was studying the last few years I don't have any money (except about the minimum which is required for a living) What worries me most is that many engineering jobs are not well payed, even though they require skilled people. So I wonder how I could turn the hard work I did (and still do) to get my degree into money.
Sudden jumps in income tend to stress people out; the key to happiness is a gradual lifelong rise in income, so you're always comfortable. Engineering will accomplish that for you. Personally, I felt like I'd solved the "money problem" with my first two engineering jobs -- there was nothing I wanted that I couldn't easily afford, and I liked the ratio of business trips to staying at home.
Of course, that's assuming they are XOR, which they are not.
Obviously, there are plenty of people happy collecting their large paycheck every two weeks, or there would be a lot of startups and not a lot of Goldman Sachs.
Or their fears and lack of confidence/desire for security overrule their happiness.
There are a lot of startups and there is only 1 Goldman Sachs...
What I meant to convey was the number of employees that Goldman has (a lot), and how many similar companies there are (BAML, JPM, Citi, ...).
A lot of people have chosen the "peon at a big bank" position, and it's probably not because they think that it will make their life less enjoyable.
She said the 12-14 hour days, writing market reports were normal for her. I'm guessing there was limited schedule flexibility for her. I'm not surprised people would rather found a start-up.
> For all things (that are things I know) there exists a Context in which that thing I know is false
Now so many people is quick to criticize the finance industry. Although it's true that the bailout was a great crime, I don't see how lobbyists, pharmaceutical executives and advertisers are much better. These guys get paid millions too...at least Goldman doesn't screw with people's mind.
???
That's a pretty sizeable portion of their business.
If you look, I'm sure you can find stories about how any possible profession or industry sucks to work in. And most of those other professions and industries don't pay $500K+.
With a PhD in physics I could have just as easily gone into quant-land as academia. And while academia is great, it has its own set of sucky problems. Is it really worth the 400+ thousand dollars a year I'm effectively "paying" in order to work there instead of GS? It's a helluva luxury good.
Thanks for reading the sailing blog.
And that's about the cheapest, smallest boat one could non-suicidally ponder a circumnavigation in, by the way. And even then owning it and sailing it is like taking a cold shower and tearing up $100 bills (to quote the old joke).
I'll echo statistics 101: the mean of a distribution is pretty meaningless when it's a very skewed distribution you're talking about. Those average figures don't apply to me.
And I joined GS at precisely the wrong time. Right at the peak, going into the trough.
I doubt anyone is that clever, though, especially if you're surrounded by other folks earning $633K and feel the need to keep up. Entire industries exist for the benefit of those who make $633K and can't think of any sensible way to spend it.
But there's also an element of management preferring their employees to live at/above their means to some extent, just so they have to keep putting in the hours... (This is really true : I employ sales people in a trading room, and it's easy to see that they react to financial pressure by making more money).
until you have bills that come due. then the difference becomes very apparent!