Economists understand little about the causes of growth
economist.com
economist.com
In The Economist "Free Exchange" - the first in a series of the economists professions shortcomings
The article suggests that the profession's focus on quantitative models had meant that studies which ask the important question of why some countries grow are failing to get much attention.
I used to think the Economist was an intelligently written magazine containing deep insights etc.
After reading it for a couple years, I realize it is actually something people read on an airplane to gain the slightest aftertaste of wisdom which, when combined with the appropriate Dunning-Kruger effects, is meant to make one feel worldly and self justified without actually having to do any real work or real personal study.
I do not like this article because it pretends that the principals which are universally known to work have not been discovered: Free market, freedom to choose, freedom for market participants to determine prices, minimal government interference.
It dismissed these principals because “they can’t be measured.”
Imagine being asked to produce a measurement that freedom of speech or freedom of religion as valuable principals. What an utterly moronic attempt to substitute mathematics for philosophy and humanity. There are no measurements to justify these because it can’t be done.
One of the most powerful case studies I have ever seen is the differences between India and Japan post WWII. Both countries were subject to colonial forces and released around similar time periods.
Japan took a hands off approach and wound up with sophisticated automated loom technology while India insisted on using government regulations to install burdensome regulations which kept their weaving industry entirely hand operated, preventing the creative destruction of inefficient jobs necessary to grow the economy for the betterment of all.
The underlying Liberal bias in the economist has become so overt it is hard to take them seriously. They want to pretend that free market economics, individual freedom, freedom of speech and minimal government interference are not known to be the things that lead to tremendous economic growth.
People feel impressed by China currently, but their fundamentally totalitarian nature and attempts to nationalize every industry and tinker ruthlessly with their finances and banking sector are going to cause an irreversible implosion, especially when combined with their decision to ensconce their political leaders in permanent government positions of power.
Freedom is going to win. A good example of how China is holding itself back is in how the government has effectively decided to promote WeChat (their universaLly promoted chat app which is basically a feed of your private information directly to the government) and social credit scoring. These measures will result in people fleeing China to innovate ultimately when their highly corrupt political and economic financing systems inevitably fail (see: China shadow banking).
I believe we will soon find that Chinese success is illusory, you can only fake an economy for so long.
The United States is not perfect, but it is closer to these ideals than China ever will be on their current trajectory.