SpaceX indicates it will manufacture the BFR rocket in Los Angeles
arstechnica.com
arstechnica.com
Its possible that their rocket-building expertise resides in LA and they want to keep it close to home, and shipping the rockets isn't as much a concern.
At any rate, I personally haven't heard any speculation about them moving BFS testing outside of Texas, but /r/spacex might very well be the most reliable way to find out (unless you're a SpaceX employee!)
They already land the Falcon 9s on a relatively small area; with a bit of extra maneuvering capability right before touchdown, along with the Raptor engine's deep throttling ability, it should be entirely possible to do pinpoint landings.
Disclaimer: my entire picture of orbital dynamics comes from KSP
If you were a rocket engineer, would you stake your life on it? Every single launch?
Exactly, that's the end goal.
There's almost as much energy stored in a BFR as there is in the nuclear bomb dropped on Hiroshima. This energy is released over 3 minutes.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zqE-ultsWt0
maybe
Eventually it might make sense to move final assembly closer to the launch site for BFR, but I would expect a lot of the component assembly (like engines) to remain in Hawthorne.
>In addition, the lease would accommodate recovery operations undertaken by Space Exploration Technologies to bring to shore vehicles returning from space that are retrieved by an autonomous drone ship offshore.
So they would have the option of doing that at the new manufacturing facility (even though we can speculate that that would not be the norm).
1: https://www.reddit.com/r/spacex/comments/85i6rd/bfr_producti...
So far their prototype giant carbon fiber tanks have been manufactured at a partner's facility in Washington state so this should allow them to receive those shipments pretty easily.
https://www.goskagit.com/news/local_news/spacex-fuel-tank-le...
https://www.teslarati.com/spacex-mars-rocket-factory-south-t...
There are (afaik) no options to unload sea freight at vafb. And the roads to vafb are not great.
Whether it’s big enough for BFR, I’m less certain...
Edit: https://spaceflightnow.com/2014/11/09/delta-mariner-drops-an...
My guess is that your second thought about their rocket building expertise being in LA caused them to choose LA for the prototyping and that a BFR/BFS factory at Boca Chica or Cape Canaveral is still a distinct possibility.
[0] See slides 6 & 7: https://laedc.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/KimberlyRitterM...
We also now have the Boring Company test tunnel going in under 120th Street. Some of the people I work with joke about the tunnel cutting their commute from Hawthorne to El Segundo from 5 minutes to 2 minutes. (Of course this tunnel is just for testing, but it's still fun to joke about.)
Also, it's worth noting that SpaceX's Starlink folks are in the Seattle area.