From imitation to innovation: How China became a tech superpower
wired.co.uk
wired.co.uk
Also, there are things that foreign companies simply will not concede to Beijing. Tencent allows full access to their networks to the government. Ephemeral criticisms of the government can get you a warning from the state. This is unconscionable behavior in a lot of other countries, but it's a concession Chinese companies have made time and again.
Are there any sources where I can read more? I know Google fought a lot over similar issues and eventually withdrew their hardware from China.
Also, the Chinese are building a citizen scoring card system, that will rate your standing with the government from birth to death.
Maybe vaping/e-cigarette technology too.
> BIS Research estimates that the global electronic cigarette industry will exhibit a growth of over 22.36% (CAGR) from 2015 to 2025, to reach a total market value of $50 Billion by 2025
https://bisresearch.com/industry-report/electronic-cigarette...
It seems that all major ladders to the top have some dark rungs the victors are happy to hide when they reach the top.
There is no foreign competition but Chinese companies still have competition from other Chinese companies.
Even if the Chinese market is less efficient because competition is limited to China: The goal is to foster a healthy national economy, create knowledge, and most importantly keep total control over technologies and communication channels.
Competition can still happen just locally and while competition is good when the scale is unbalanced it can be just as bad or worse than no competition at all.
Almost no one is developing a Google search competitor because it’s near impossible to do so while people have access to Google the need isn’t there and you can’t compete unless you are actually better there isn’t as much niche to search as people think. You also have the problem of resource imbalance where Google can just go and buy out the local competition at ease due to their wealth this what has happened with dating and P2P commerce sites all over the world.
The corollary being that, if you are already a developed country, and you want to avoid competition, a good way to do it would be to force, other countries, to "open they markets".
A good book about the subject: https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/187808.Kicking_Away_the_...
(1) Econ 101 classes mostly sell students an idealized version of economy.
(2) Top-tier countries have used all kinds of techniques (protectionism, tariffs, etc) to get successful, but now that they don't need those anymore, they pay lip service to the Econ 101 "laws" that are against those same techniques.
(3) While clothed in scientific parlance, a lot of what is Econ 101 is just BS to promote the interests of those in power, not what's best for the people in general (that's how an ecomomics professor gets grants, becomes policy advisor, etc).
The scientific part is just using some math while still basing their ideas on idealized unworkable models and unprovable assumptions.
That said, even if all the above was not true, the internal market in China is 1.6 billion people. 4-5 times the US is more than enough to have lots of internal competition.
Heck, there are US-only brands the rest of the world doesn't care at all about -- and that's on a 350 million people market, and they still do just fine.
The scientific part is just using some math while still basing their ideas on idealized unworkable models and unprovable assumptions.
You don't need maths to show that less competition changes the incentive to the point that it could bring down quality of service.Or even that you can have a fine quality product at a good price even without competition at all -- e.g. produced by a single vendor, as long as the vendor is so inclined.
fine quality product at a good price even without competition at all
Threat of competition is also a form of competition (for example a software product not protected with patents, anyone could compete so the producer offers good prices) mis-configured regulation
Do you have examples of good protectionist regulation ?And no I gave a specific example with software patents so even if the US is big enough it can benefits from outside products
Only third and fourth tier players (like what the European countries have become now) let others control such key infrastructure.
To me, the real test of China's innovation will be to see if they can have a true and significant impact on the world.
We often talk about innovation in terms of technological advancements, but we need to also talk about innovation as new methods, new way of thinking.
What does the world need today in 2018? The environment is in peril, the resources are diminishing rapidly, the climate is changing, etc...
Going forward, I believe the most impactful innovations will be the ones who will deal with these huge problems. I sure hope both the US and China can unite their efforts here because in the end, we are all sharing this planet.
But, the US' political ideologies were more easy to understand. France's was always more layered and abstract. Also, fewer peopele were looking at revolutionary France with envy, because of all the violence.
.. that's my take anyway.
They have too interesting of a record toppling foreign democracies for me to agree.
Telephone
Europeans also invented it, duh.It's like that strange period in the 1990s when 40% of US corporate profits came from financial activities, and every big company had to have a finance subsidiary with a trading desk. That's so over.
Isn't the turn away from ad funded user-count business models more about attention saturation and the fact that those markets have stabilized around a set of incumbent platforms by now?
I realize that you're refering finance activities contribution to the profits of perhaps non-financial firms, but the contribution to GDP from financial services firms has been growing steadily since the 50s and shows no sign of slowing [0].
[0] https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/BL-REB-15342?responsive=y
This is an odd criticism. Newspaper, Cable and TV companies have always been financial giants. It would be more surprising if ad-based companies hadn't remained big players.
From "China’s rise as a major contributor to science and technology"[0]:
"China is now the world’s distant leader in bachelor’s degrees in Science and Engineering, with 1.1 million in 2010, more than four times the US figure. This large disparity reflects not only China’s dramatic expansion in higher education since 1999 but also a much higher percentage of students majoring in S/E in China, around 44% in 2010, compared with 16% in the United States."
Sure, but even if half the total degrees are substandard that's still twice the output of the United States. It's a wave that will only pay more dividends over time.
> When every foreign language unverisity and teacher’s college (there called normal universities) has a CS department, there is definitely something going on.
The same could be said for every liberal arts college in the United States which suddenly has a brand new science/math/CS center plopped onto campus.
Anyway, I'd recommend giving the study a read. The authors discuss these issues as well as a few others. Problems aside, there's a clear trend developing.
When I was working in china, everyone was complaining about finding programmers that were good enough to hire. You would filter your resume stacks by 1st then 2nd tier universities (throw everything else out), and still had to be very rigorous in interviewing. This was way after the CS education boom happened in the early part of this decade.
Step One: Have 1/8 of the world's population in a densely populated region.
Step Two: Don't actively harm people trying to innovate.
Step Three: Wait.
While China developing it's own technology was practically inevitable, it will be far more interesting when they begin influencing what people want.
But, like you say, there is another way. It’s pretty tough to see the benefit of not looking for it, especially when comparing the pace of the outsourcing model. But, we ironically installed the artisan model in our nation’s individualist “doer” image of itself and spend a lot of effort talking around it. It’s proven time and time again in stories of history, art and innovation but it’s just a matter of a pendulum swing.
So what's left ? usually industries with low-margins. And afaik, that generally describes China.
Certainly seems that China is faster to adopt this technology than others. Unclear if this is an isolated incidence, but was just surprised to see China pick up a new technology faster than most established tech centers.
Perhaps React has a syntax / mental model that's easier to grasp for non-English speakers. OO programming is definitely more wordy than functional(ly oriented) programming.
China is a country of “business theater”. They sure look like they’re doing business, lots of factories, tons of people in suits, cargo container ships, etc. But it’s all just a lie. It’s nothing but the 21st century planned economy version of the Soviet Union. It’s not even communism as much as simple totalitarianism. The only thing I haven’t figured out yet is if more than 50,000,000 million people are going to die, which was the same amount in 1958-1963 that died in totalitarian China, a number greater than the USSR and the Holocaust combined I would like to add.
Capitalism in the US sucks, but it’s very fixable. Capitalism in the 1910’s was far more horrible, but it was fixed beyond even today with the reforms of the 30’s-50’s, so I don’t want anyone to think my criticism of China is some apologia for capitalism right now.
This I do not believe in / don’t want to, but just so everyone is aware, the theory that really propelled Trump into office was that of the “fourth turning”, which Steve Bannon was a huge believer in. Essentially it’s the belief that every 80-90 years a massive war and change in Western government happens, stretching back to the British defeat of the Armada in 1588. As Christopher Coker wrote in “The Improbable War”, the next World War is most likely with China, a county with the manpower and resources to fight a grinding global battle against the US. We will see.
https://www.amazon.com/Improbable-War-United-States-Conflict...
https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Companies/Japanese-robot-ma...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:Heavy_machinery_manuf...
Have you compared sales numbers? The LiuGong article shows equipment used in other Asian countries and Africa.
If they kept trying to run a Soviet-style command economy they'd be at the same level of development as North Korea, with their fake grocery stores, rolling blackouts, and constant famine.
There will never be a world war again, the US cannot sustain a real war against China at all, it will just use nukes (or China will). Why do Americans fantasize about war so much?!
China produces almost nothing I want unless you count foreign-designed products that happen to be manufactured there under contract. Maybe steel and rare earth metals?
I've tried their flagship apps too (WeChat, Alipay, Alibaba, AliExpress) and they are just really awful compared to their Western equivalents. Not just in subjective look-and-feel ways either: the AliExpress signup flow was so broken in their iOS app that I had to switch to a web browser to sign up!
That they're useful and popular in China is something that has occurred in spite of their awful tech. More through great business development and exploiting a total lack of entrenched non-tech competition like credit cards, consumer banking, malls, Wal-Mart, etc.
My feeling is that if a war should happen it will be a civil war between China government and chineese people, maybe once the economical boom begins to slow and people stop making fortunes (unless americans start to screw up so massively that they become unattractive as a lifestyle model, that is).
But on a local level it's actually surprisingly responsive. Many an industrial project has been shuttered or aborted during construction due to local opposition. This is especially the case for environmental concerns. But local groups have also successfully forced the national party to reform the local chapter to clean up corruption, or lobbied for freedom to do certain kinds of business. (It's not all democratic, it certainly helps to have wealthy backers for these interests)
Sure, Hong kong submitted financial documents are opaque (to be generous) on a regular basis.
There could be massive falsehood underlying a lot of China's numbers.
But at the same time, they also are producing vast amounts of goods.
If their numbers are fake, those fake numbers are good enough for them to bully their neighbors, set up billion dollar ports, give billion dollar loans, and create the massive OBOR project.
And no, in the intervening years many of the claims of democracy proponents have failed to come true. China thrived because of its opaque crack down on free speech, the people who rose up did not survive if they rose up at all.
It is also quite likely that China is immune to the kind of issues of foreign funded news articles that western firms are open to.
And China has objectively uplifted one of the largest chunks of human population to a better life than what they had before.
It a life many people would not countenance in the west, but its better than what the options were before.
Unless someone has hard facts, to indicate exactly how deep the rot is - its speculation.
The facts and actions of China which are observable tend to hold more weight
And yet, what evidence does she raise?
"the electronics were assembled in China; almost never were they invented in China"
"paying with your smartphone has become the norm"
"bikeshare firms"
"China has the largest number of unicorns outside the US"
Nothing that would define as innovations. Let's ask ourselves. What consumer innovations has China come up with in the last 40 years that is known worldwide. Think hard. Maybe none? one? Now compare that against Japan in its 40 years rise.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DJI_(company)
Founded by a Chinese engineering student with a personal aeronautics hobby, based in Shenzhen — he's now a billionaire.
But apart from this, KPIs aside, the Chinese landscape is amazingly scarce innovation-wise. If one has to tout bikesharing as innovation, it sounds like there's not much to brag about. I am puzzled at Kai-Fu Lee's claims, he's not just another VC.
I dunno - I can think of lots of criticisms of China but this isn't one.
Xiaomi believes that in markets where consumer preferences are hard to predict and change rapidly, “flash sales” can help determine which products are likely to be big hits, driving future production.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/bigbangdisruption/2014/04/03/bi...
A big contributor to its profitability is its introduction of new products through online pre-order “flash” sales, which is usually a highly anticipated event in the community. At the phone’s introduction, Xiaomi sets a limit to the number of pre-orders possible, which will often sell out in the first hour or even within minutes. After it has taken its initial set of orders, Xiaomi will then work with Foxconn, its ODM, to build phones. This allows the company to receive advance payment from customers while incurring extremely low inventory costs because products are shipped from Foxconn directly to customers. Xiaomi also has very minimal sales and marketing costs because most advertising is done through its social networks.
and
Xiaomi, on the other hand, at launch, sets the consumer price close to the BOM cost, which ensures price competitiveness. At point 2, BOM cost has already declined, Xiaomi limits the availability of devices, and selected device batches are manufactured at the lower BOM cost. At point 3, mass deliveries start when gross margin is high enough, and volume accelerates as BOM cost decreases. At point 4, when consumer price becomes less competitive, they launch an “S” version of the product by upgrading selected components (e.g. engine) and launch at an even lower price. However, at this point, the BOM price has decreased. Overall, the longer product life gives a better lifetime margin.’
https://rctom.hbs.org/submission/xiaomi-mobile-disruptor-fro...
Similarly, the innovation in many of the domains where China is "ahead" of the rest of the world is not in the original idea, but in actually making it work so that it took off. And that doesn't necessarily mean that those Chinese companies were somehow more innovative than companies that tried the same ideas elsewhere, but that the Chinese market valued those ideas more.
I'm actually not sure how many Japanese innovations weren't "just" incremental improvements of some existing idea that were tried in multiple countries but took off the fastest in Japan.