Big rise in IPv6-enabled .nl domain names
sidn.nl
sidn.nl
* When can consumer ISPs turn off v4? This can and does happen right now - the ISP just needs to have a carrier-grade NAT gateway to handle connections to IPv4 servers. This is a performance problem if most services are only available on IPv6, but we're already at that point.
* When can service providers and hosting companies shut off IPv4? This is the problem you address, and that's gonna take a looooong time.
* When can ISPs shut off their IPv4 gateways? When all services (within reason) are available on IPv6. This one is of less interest than the other two, though.
Content providers will stay dual stack basically indefinitely - abslutely no website operator wants to lose even 1% of their traffic due to a technical limitation, so I do not expect demand for v4-enabled websites to die off any time soon. I would expect 95%+ v6 usage before you even see this being a thing commercially, and even at those numbers only very small marginal operations will go v6 only.
The consumers and consumer ISPs have both a better technical solution, as well as no consumer ISP gives a shit if their customers can't access 2% of the internet. Therefore the change due to both technical reasons and simple game theory must come from the "eyeballs" side of the equation.
Generally the limitation is more about infrastructure (including private in-home routers) than about endpoint devices; Windows, OSX, iOS, Android, and Linux have all supported IPv6 for years.
IPv6 has already simplified my life, when I asked "hm, there aren't enough free IPv4 addresses there to set up <stuff>, do <organisations> all have IPv6?" and got a positive answer back.
Sure the one or other device/service doesn't work with it well, but maybe that's a reason to not use that. Linux users also avoid Hardware that only goes well with Windows.
We're still 2-3 decades at a minimum from that milestone though.
Ok, so there is an incentive...that explains it. Who knows what the "reward" is, but the increase is pretty impressive. Kudos to the Dutch for their increased IPv6 adoption!
Clickbait headline?