Assuming it’s not an outright scam, what’s the business model for issuing and redeeming warrants at 1:1 parity?
Vitalik Buterin, the founder of Ethereum, published a post on coins like Tether a few years ago:
https://bitcoinmagazine.com/articles/mastercoin-a-second-gen...
My understanding is that unless there's a "tether-run", where everyone wants to get out of Tether at once and the company behind Tether isn't well prepared for it, then that's when the coin may actually crash. Otherwise, it will self-stabilize by putting more Tether on the market, or taking Tether out of the market. So in a way, I guess it works a little like the Federal Reserve.
As for not having enough money to "back Tether", this is bad in the sense that they promised they would, and they're not showing proof that this is true. However, it's "only" as bad as any real-world bank that uses a fractional reserve banking scheme. So just like a fractional reserve banking entity would crash as soon as there is a major bank run, similarly Tether would crash if they don't actually have 1:1 USD:USDT backing.
So Tether is about as "shady" as any of the major US banks - and yes, I would agree that both are pretty damn shady. But this seems to be the status quo right now, so if you don't trust Tether, I surely hope you're not keeping your money in a bank either, because I think we're getting close to another financial bust, and we'll go through the same crap or worse that we went through in 2008 with the defrauding banks.
There are also some cases when the bank has no enough money (bad lenders selection, promised a too high interest rate, fraud, ...). In this case the deposits are not fully backed. But this is not the normal state of a bank.
That said, they never claim to be 1:1. They claim to be operating within the legalities requires for fractional reserve banking.
Tether claims to be 1:1.
Banks profit from the repayment of loans, not directly from the issue of money, and banks' willingness to accept each others' credit at parity to m0 reflects their knowledge of the facts about other banks' expected future income streams and guaranteed access to an m0 lending facility, not ignorance of their counterparty not having what they claim to have. If everyone wants to withdraw their USD from a bank as cash, the reserve lending system is designed to actually allow this to happen. Banks fail, infrequently, because the number of people who fail to meet repayment obligations to the bank exceeds expectations, not simply and inevitably because not enough Peters are willing to be robbed to repay Paul.
The two are similar only in the same sense that a futures contract and a shyster selling you the Brooklyn Bridge both involve the other party selling something they might not be able to deliver.
That is not true at all. You are probably thinking of the minimum capital requirements (banks leverage) which measures all lending (bank assets) against their common equity. Deposits and credits are roughly equal and the minimum capital is required to cover mispricing on their assets. And no, banks are not being deregulated in this regard. In fact Basel III which regulates those reserve ratios is much stricter and it took several years for banks to recapitalize to the new minimum levels.
Or you are thinking about the bank's deposit with the fed (the fractional reserve part). But those reserves are not a problem for banks because if there is lack of reserves on the interbank market and the price (interest rate) of borrowing reserve increases above the fed's funds rate, then the Fed steps in and provides the reserves at the rate it wants to keep. This is part of central banking because a central bank cannot simultaneously control the amount of reserves AND the interest rate.
Sell 1 USDT for 1 USD, keep the $1.00 as profit?
I think the issue is that it's really hard to assume it's not an outright scam with a straight face anymore.