The current "valuation" suffers from the same issues as the valuation of any asset.
The current "valuation" suffers from the same issues as the valuation of any asset.
A quick, rough calculation - if ~30 TWh were spent on mining Bitcoin, and the marginal rate of death for electricity generation is at least 100 per TWh (https://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesconca/2012/06/10/energys-d... or https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2016/06/update-of-death-per-te...), this means that we have sacrificed the lives of at least 3000 people to make this happen. Are the benefits worth this cost?
Clearing transactions, the (comparably small) part of a financial transfer that Bitcoin does, is comparably simple and easy and constitutes a minority of both the effort and cost of financial transactions. Things like dispute resolution, fraud control, client-side tools, customer service and acquisition, etc take more than that, but that's not included in the standard Bitcoin transaction fee / miner's expense.
Or, said another way: what service does bitcoin provide, as opposed to say banking? Because that is what it is "trying" to replace. How many deaths does banking produce? Will replacing a part of the banking activities with bitcoin increase or decrease the death rate?
If I look at the headcount structure of a typical bank or at the tasks where the wider financial industry employs people, the settlement of payments takes 1%, perhaps 2% depending on how widely you interpret the area. So total worldwide adoption of Bitcoin (or some newcoin) might replace at most 1%-2% of the current banking employment and energy cost. As far as I understand, this energy cost is already smaller than Bitcoin's despite processing multiple orders of magnitude more transactions.
Second, the resources used by the banking industry to provide the services they do are not limited to the direct associated costs: we also have technology development, personnel costs (including energy used by the banking personnel to reach their workplace, the costs of turning on the lights in all the bank offices, and the fuel consumed by the bank managers to attend the party on the other side of the country without which the industry can not function, since, you know, you need some fun in order to sign the required contracts), the fuel consumed by the customers to reach the branch where, for the third time, they are going to evaluate their mortgage application, ... A long list.
In summary, yes, you are probably right that bitcoin is currently inefficient, and that currently it is not providing much value. But the sector is ripe for disruption, it is easy to disrupt, and any change in the current status quo will be an improvement, since the banking industry is so hugely inefficient for society as a whole.
At the core, the banking industry is just information processing, and that is the cake that technology is eating at the moment.