Facebook Places Will Crush Foursquare
pcmag.com
pcmag.com
Foursquare and its contemporaries are very clever on how they get users to use their service. Foursquare has opened up APIs to keep it simple, and their user actions are already syndicated to the Facebook/Twitter. Foursquare has built game and reward mechanics that are genuinely engaging.
My newest startup is in the events/activities space. Facebook also has an events app/module, and it's second rate and barely scratches the surface on both the consumer and provider end of events. I fully plan on leveraging Facebook events to compliment my product. It doesn't have me running for the hills.
This is herd journalism.. the demise of [x] because [Y] has entered the market.
To an extent, you're correct about this. There are large numbers of people for whom Facebook is no replacement for Flickr. However, I, and many others have not posted a picture to Flickr for years (I once had a pro account event), because posting a picture to Facebook seems to be the easiest way to share it with everyone I care about.
But yes, calling the end of Foursquare is a bit premature. It does raise interesting points, however.
The impact of location-based services on the legal system reminds me that the root meaning of "alibi" (in the Latin) is "elsewhere" (from the broad idea of "other there," ibi being the Latin word meaning "there").
This to me is a somewhat creepy reminder that modern technology does not necessarily mean unalloyed progress. With the good comes the bad, and the bad here is a long-term trend by which people can be traced more and more easily in where they are and what they do. In the right hands (true friends), this can be great; in the wrong hands, maybe not so good.
I can just picture people being as annoying about posting your status at places your not as tagging you in collages of their favorite ponies.
I'm detecting a pattern.
The article (with a tamer headline) you cited is summarized quite well by the author towards the end with this statement "My gut gives it a 50-50 chance". Not exactly the same type of statement as the former.
You can't even think they are naive: that a small company has beaten a larger one seem to happen quite (more) often in the tech world.
It reminds me of the Achewood blog post where Roast Beef relates a conversation with Ray where Ray thinks McDonalds starting to sell fancy coffee will put Starbucks out of business. http://rbeef.blogspot.com/2008/01/mcdonalds-vs-starbucks-vs-...
The 'scary' side of social media has long been a favourite topic in the mainstream press - and in this case, I think they might have a mild point. I'm sure that 100% HN users are fully aware of the risks of storing personal info online, and will act accordingly - but so many more web users honestly don't have a clue. I've also heard ad agencies and potential employers talking about tracking 4sq users...and I'm not sure I like that either.
Am I overreacting?
But my general policy with posting online content is if you put it online, don't be surprised when people find out. I think the ad agencies tracking 4sq check-ins is key to monetizing location based services, and I'm all for it because it just makes sense. When/if this happens, 4sq and others will hopefully be transparent about it, so users know what they're getting into.
But if you don't want people/companies to know where you shop, don't check in. Simple as that.
Interestingly, one way to be ubiquitous is to open up the service as a platform. That means that it makes sense for Facebook to let Foursquare & Gowalla use the platform. Those using Foursquare and feeding into Facebook make Facebook more useful.
It also matters whether location is a way to drive engagement for Facebook, or if they expect deals to be a major revenue driver. I highly doubt even a large effort on local deals and coupons would earn significant revenue for Facebook relative to their astoundingly successful ad system. They aren’t mutually exclusive of course, in that they can have hooks for their ads to leverage places. Ignore for a moment that mobile ads are universally horrible and Facebook doesn’t have any (yet).
This makes me think Foursquare can still grow by being the best place to find deals. From what I’ve seen, Foursquare’s business development is rock solid. Also, Foursquare’s mission isn’t about location based checkins but to make cities more useful. So I think everyone will be just fine.
But...I can't help but think about Buzz. Gmail had those 170 million users. Sure Twitter was around, but how could Buzz fail when there was this huge existing audience to use it? But today I don't use Buzz at all, and Twitter around a dozen times a day.
Facebook Places has potential, but it's way too early to think Foursquare will be "crushed"
If history was different and everyone used their Gmail account as their social identity, things would have been different as Twitter would have just been a 'feeder' service like 4sq/Go are now.
I haven't gotten the rollout yet but hopefully Facebook realizes this and makes Places something you can use with some of your friends, and not all of them.
http://www.quora.com/Are-Foursquare-and-Gowalla-going-to-sur...
But even if it did ...why would I trust FACEBOOK to be my location app. I enjoy Facebook, but I don't trust it -- I certainly don't want it tracking my whereabouts.
Meeting in person > talking on phone > sending an e-mail > sending an SMS > posting on someone's wall > creating a general friend-syndicated update > [<poke>, <like>, <check-in>]
(Foursquare user #657)