Upon reflection, however, this seems like the definition of survivor bias.
Upon reflection, however, this seems like the definition of survivor bias.
She said she didn't understand the point - if it was a REAL fire, wouldn't they just come get us or tell us?
I don't know how prominent this thought process is, or why so many people don't take things like fire alarms seriously. Selection bias, perhaps you're right. Every fire alarm most people has ever heard was a drill.
This has happened twice at work now, even my manager was teasing me for telling people they should leave. Eventually I left on my own.
Please don't give dangerous advice.
1. Your most logical thinking doesn't occur at 8am on a weekend when you just woke up.
2. Hawaii has a more ingrained trust of the EAS than most other states. We test our sirens and EAS monthly. Sirens for tsunamis aren't that uncommon, and there are several horror stories in Hawaii of how people have ignored the sirens and warning signs in the past and got killed.
3. It's a lot easier to determine its a false alarm in hindsight. At the time, you have no information other than the alert and the knowledge about the current tensions with North Korea. We all knew there was a chance it was a false alarm and sure hoped it was, but when your life is on the line it doesn't matter.