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I'm curious if this will change now that webapps/electron-apps have become so popular. It may be that users have begun non-native apps as the new norm.

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In five years the Electron craziness will be gone.

And, judging from what was going on 5 years ago, whatever replaces it will be even crazier and trendier :)

My bet, browser will be reduced to yet another general purpose VM, with the new trend being WebAssembly + Canvas/WebGL.

Or back to pure native.

what will replace it?

Native apps, just like it happened on Windows with XUL and MSHTML apps.

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