SureFly – a personal helicopter designed for safe and easy flight
workhorse.com
workhorse.com
It's the kind of situation where I think I'd actually rather the tech never exist.
Also, getting your pilots license is nothing like getting a car license, the training is much harder and requires a certain amount of hours in the car with a licensed flight instructor before they can fly on their own (I believe it's 50 hours in the cockpit). It's also prohibitively expensive as you have to pay for fuel and time. You won't see a bunch of unmotivated teens flying these things any time soon. Having worked at the FAA on the regulation side of things, I can also tell you if that did become a problem airspace and licensing would change.
Agree that this isn't going to be a hobby for the average unmotivated teen.
Also, with a top speed of 70 mph and range of 70 miles, it does not look like a great daily-commuter vehicle. This device looks like a good fit for an expensive urban fast-jump service, or a good solution for places where roads are hard to build, like going to a forest hike or a mountain trip.
The only thing is, something invented for a niche market on Sunday will be made much cheaper on Monday, will be widespread and causing mayhem by Tuesday, regulated to the hilt on Wednesday, the sole domain of big corporations by Thursday, and used for aerial assassinations at-will by the military by Friday.
(My little sequence there takes a cue from this talk, posted on HN yesterday: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16106331 )
Winged aircraft is so much more economical, but it's necessarily large.
Remember weight is the real limit. So, having a single passenger frees up ~150 lb for extra fuel.
The air, being a sparse fluid, can change fast. Especially so if another aircraft has flown through it recently. It's not that there isn't anyone there, it's the air they left behind is all non-laminar now. Doubly being suddenly downwind of stationary objects like towers, wind farms, and mountains.
Also, quick point of caution: One reason early flyers died a lot because they flew so low. Even after a few meters of height, just about any crash is likely to be deadly. Paradoxically, the higher you fly, the better off you are (in certain cases). In flying, your height can be measured in 'mistake recovery time'. The higher you are, the more time you have before you hit the ground, the more time you have to fix a mistake. If your engine cuts out, you have a longer glide time to look for a lake. You can get a fuel pump restarted or unfrozen. You have more time to grab a parachute and bail. Etc. It took a long time and a lot of lives to realize this. As such, personal drone-choppers will be more dangerous and I fear we will have to re-learn the lesson of height being a friend in aviation.
In the end, I still fear tech like this will not be as stringent as needed.
https://legallysociable.com/2012/09/07/figures-more-deaths-p...
Cars and large trucks should mostly belong to highways and country roads.
Only 28% of people in NYC commute by car/truck/van. 55% take public transit and 10% walk, 1% bike, 4% work from home, and 2% take a Taxi or other. https://www.nycedc.com/blog-entry/new-york-commute
PS: The van thing is also closer to a bus than a private car.
And with that said, Toronto is far from being a city where we could live without cars for human transportation - without Uber getting around would be hell.
Delivery trucks are, or course, incredibly important in a city. But they are also much more efficient than cars moving 1-2 people, so they need a bit less road capacity.
Also, city traffic is pretty favorable for electric vehicles with recuperative braking, so the coming crop of city buses and delivery trucks is going to have a significant portion of all-electric or hybrid vehicles. This helps the air pollution problem.
Yep, JFYI, an excerpt from "Autophobia":
I am half serious though, cars are annoyingly loud and (obviously) dangerous. I'm loving the eerily quiet electric vehicles. And cities creating carless areas of town or carless days.
And speaking of automobiles, I feel like a lot of cities are actually fighting back against that now, creating pedestrian-only areas etc... I like the autonomy and mobility that cars offer as much as anyone else, but I sure do enjoy the peace of a quieter country side, and I'm afraid with this technology, even that would go away: there would be no place left to escape the madness.
In my opinion, progress is what makes the world a better place overall for humans, as in better quality of life, not what makes the world a shinier place with new toys, even though we might be getting better and better at creating those.
At the end of the day, the cons far outweigh the pros here for me.
With your AR eye glasses and earbuds, it can clean out the clutter showing you a clear blue sky and eliminate all the buzzing.
For the SureFly, Hypothetically if loss of several motors caused the aircraft to be unable to maintain altitude, the aircraft would not suddenly drop like a brick, but drift down to a controlled landing.
The real emergency situation to worry about would be a total power failure. Failure of the individual electric motors will likely be extremely rare but a battery fire or controller failure could send this thing falling like a rock due to the lack of auto-rotation. It has a BRS chute but that won't do anything in the critical ~500ft band above ground level, too low to deploy normally. Additionally, I hope they've figured out how to guarantee safe chute deployment while inverted because of the tendency to tumble with no/partial power.
[0] https://www.flyingmag.com/g00/how-it-works-brs-aircraft-para...
Source? I'd think loss of two stacked rotors would lead to loss of control, tumble, and dropping like a brick (until BRS deployed), not controlled descent and landing.
That said, I would never willingly fly this thing or a Robinson, so I guess I'll never have to deal with either situation.
The Volocopter (a competing concept that actually exists and has had manned flights since 2016) has 18 rotors (six arms with 3 rotors each in a single plane), opposite rotors driven by the same battery/drivetrain ensemble, from what I gather, and remains controllable with up to 3 rotors (at least) faulty.
I'd hope well engineered aircraft of this sort will surpass safety of traditional helicopters, but let's see.
[1] http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/explainer/20...
Going down on a parachute is not exactly comfortable, but at least you're not going to crash at the earth like a falling rock. It turns a catastrophic crash into an unpleasant but likely quite safe collision.
On the other hand, the chances of four motors failing in the time it takes to set down is probably not high. Back to the first hand, if you do have multiple failures, it is not likely to be an optimal grouping.
See this video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ek0FrCaogcs
In this design, I like the compactness (foldability), counterrotating rotors (for efficiency), the fact that the rotors are not in knee-height (like in this eHang 184 abomination), and the electric/fuel hybrid system.
BTW, I like PEVA as a name for this type of vehicle: Personal electric VTOL aircraft.
EDIT to add: Volocopter and eHang 184 have been around for years, and SureFly "reinvented" the helicopter? Right...
Also, the inaugural flight at CES was scrapped due to a "light sprinkling" of rain: http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-42616034
It's worth noting, though, that any small aircraft will have very similar payloads (300-400 lbs max.) This will almost certainly not get better in the near future, even with battery improvements (you'll note that all current light aircraft, including this one, are gasoline powered.) Speed is also difficult to increase for VTOL aircraft like this one.
I build custom VTOL (and sometimes horizontal) aircraft, typically electric, usually smaller than this one. If anyone else here builds VTOL aircraft/large drones, send me an email! I'd be curious to talk to other HNers doing the same thing. (And if you're just curious about the subject in general, feel free to send me an email also - it's in my profile.)
> 70 mph speed
This means that the maximum legal range with FAA-mandated fuel reserves is 46 miles (assuming no wind). Also despite shots of it on a driveway, it would most likely be impossible to actually take off or land on your driveway due to local ordinances in most cities. Oh and it doesn't appear to be properly equipped for IFR, so clear weather operation only.
Still, it'll have to have a measured safety record before I'd want to fly it. Better yet, automate it to go from heliport to heliport in a crowded city, a sort of aero-lyft. So I don't have the chance to screw anything up. Because I'm thinking the human operator is going to be the root of any accident stats. Imagine a swarm of these over your city, with humans in control.
The fewer decisions the human in the seat has to make, the safer they are.
Here's one with a passenger, but they don't want to get any altitude.[2] There are five or six projects like this. Few have flown with a human on board yet.
[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qPARvS31Oq0 [2] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V3pi4HfQ0Gc
If they've proven it works, they should get the money necessary to test it and deploy it. They need to get to market and see if it sells.
I think the problem is crashing over populated areas, even if it's not occupied? Hard to make deliveries if you can't fly over actual people.
But in any case, let me know when they are doing at least 10 flights per day (no days off for bad weather, they should be testing in multiple locations and climates too).
- Curb Weight: 1100lbs
- Max Takeoff Weight: 1500lbs
So... you, your passenger, and any cargo combined can't weigh more than 400 pounds? That's a pretty serious limit for people hoping to transport multiple adults. And "precision agriculture" or the sorts of practical uses they discuss all go right out the window.
It seems that SureFly has designed an aircraft with less than half the range of an R22, that can't autorotate, and costs roughly the same. The SureFly might be easier to fly though.
Empty weight does not typically include usable fuel, but curb weight, which is what is cited here, generally does (though it's not a figure usually, IME, specified for aircraft).
>Men: 195.7 pounds
>Women: 168.5 pounds
So this could carry an average man, average woman, and under 36 pounds. At that point, the weight of your clothing or a bottle of wine becomes very important.
but that still implies a 100m person market, just in the USA, and people in other developed countries tend to be closer to the "healthy" range. There are lots of healthy people out there.
In short, I don't think this will be the make-or-break for flying cars...
No, not really. Only extremely wealthy people can buy this. It's more like a 10,000 to 100,000 person market in the US I would guess.
Also, any ideas what battery pack you’d need to do the same 70miles?
That being said, I'm jealous. Where do people actually get money to finance these pet projects?
on a side note, I hope to be around where a Blade Runner like Spinner is a thing or at least a possibility
I thought that the area of air that the blades worked on scaled with pi-r-squared, which favours fewer larger rotor blades, as seen on most helicopters?
I can think of some significant downsides though.
1. This is fixed pitch, not collective pitch. That means any change in the attitude of the aircraft requires one or more sets of rotors to change their speed of rotation. This means that you need top notch electronic control systems, gyros etc. to mediate between pilot input and what the aircraft does. These electronic systems are sensitive and fragile and degrade with time. And when they let go, it's spectacular.
2. A loss of any one of the 8 motors is a Jesus Christ, yank the ballistic parachute moment. This is likely a hull-loss event as there will be all sorts of load-bearing parts with the job of absorbing the opening shock of the parachute. These will at minimum require inspection prior to the aircraft being certified airworthy again.
3. related to 2 above, this aircraft has no capacity for autorotation whatsoever. A traditional rotary-wing helicopter with collective pitch can autorotate safely in to a controlled landing in the event of an engine failure. If you lose an engine in this, and your ballistic chute tangles or doesn't deploy properly, you are proper fucked.
It's cool, and quad-copters are fantastic cargo and gp platforms. But I would never fly in one.
But not in the event of a propeller or pitch-control failure. Also probably single propeller failure in this quad will mean "we lost 1/8 of power, we must land". Also if you lose gasoline engine, you have battery backup for 5min.
The reason all the cheap drones use 4 or more engines is that they can individually be very simple, with the motor directly driving a rotor. With no swashplate to alter blade pitch the mechanism is very simple. Short blades are easy to make for a required strength and stiffness, and the torque of electric motors is sufficient to rapidly change rotor speed to change lift for steering. The control system is simple. However efficiency is terrible, both in terms of lift, and maneuvering.
The energy to change blade speeds constantly to maintain attitude is a significant cost. But having low rotational inertia, frequent changes are required, especially in windy conditions. As blade diameter increases (and hence inertia) the resulting energy costs to change speed increase too, as does the size/power/weight of the motor.
Coaxial counterrotating rotors, as here, have two further advantages:
1. they're much more efficient, as less energy is converted into (useless) air rotation.
2. in forward flight, one side of the rotor "sees" higher relative speed, thus extra lift, while the receding side sees less lift. That's cancelled out by the counterrotating rotor above.
Generally, larger diameters are good for hover performance and better autorotation, though autorotation is not really a factor for this design.
EDIT to add: Note that the total disc size of one large rotor is of course the same as the one of 4 smaller ones with half the radius.
All of this is to say I'm extremely skeptical.
I don't know how far away it is from commercialization, but it would appear that the the proof of concept is coming along nicely.
This doesn't seem to address either of those situations very well. And with 1 seat to sell, you aren't going to be getting many short charter flights.
The sound field is non-uniform (mostly axial), and there are claims of being able to reduce it through special phasing of the two rotors, using different numbers of blades on each, etc. But I wouldn't be particularly hopeful.
I do agree that the mechanicals are much simpler. I can see some maintenance and inspection safety gains but the airframe as a whole seems more dangerous. The over/under counterrotating prop design is both inefficient and prone to cascading failures mandating deployment of the airframe parachute.
Can humans fly quadcopters with controls that influence the mechanics fairly directly, or do they always require mediation via complicated control software?
Come to think of it, presumably you can (as you have 4df in the controls, and you could have rotors next to each other rotate in opposite direction, and then control the sum of all speeds (=height), sum of left vs sum of right (=lateral movement), sum of front vs sum of back (=forward movement), and sum of diagonal 1 vs sum of diagonal 2 (=rotation) independently, thus translating human inputs into your 4df. Nice!)
> simplify the automation and control software at the expense of safety and efficiency.
At any rate, I continue to think that the much simpler mechanics and motors are the main drivers. Let's see how the accident rates turn out, but I'm optimistic.
> The over/under counterrotating prop design is both inefficient
How is it inefficient? I understand that over/under counterrotating props are more efficient, inducing less air rotation.
Although I think it only goes about half the speed, half the flight ceiling and a third the range of an average helicopter. Maybe if these guys get some market traction a ton of other entrants will come and the dream of personal flight will finally “take off”.
I wonder what maintenance requirements will be like.
That's 148,019.4 GBP. The average wage here corrected for a proper living standard is about 22,000 GBP give or take.
If everybody that could afford this took that money and gave it to homeless foundations, what a world we could live in...
If you have that much disposable income, and you spend all of it on something that benefits only yourself, what does that say about you as a person?
for simplicity
I’m wondering if that’s the absolute service ceiling or it’s legal operational ceiling due to its classification.
I suppose they won’t be selling them in Denver if it’s the former.
So like what, $70 round trip commute? Hmm.
Or Amazon delivery "drone"?
That's without even getting into the safety issues with this thing that are being conveniently glossed over in the marketing material, which would lead anyone who didn't know better to think a BRS is some kind of foolproof sure thing.
1 hour flight with 30kg of fuel?
I can make something more efficient in a garage...