Rise of Bitcoin Competitor Ripple Creates Wealth to Rival Zuckerberg
nytimes.com
nytimes.com
"XRP is 100% premined, Ripple holds 60% of the supply, controls which nodes are selected as “trustworthy” to confirm transactions, while they have paid nothing to create those tokens that people are so willingly buying at $4+ per piece and thereby make the creators insanely rich. Let us call it what it really is, digital fiat, the renewed version of the debt-based traditional fiat system, leveraged by latest technology – which eventually has nothing to do with cryptocurrency whatsoever."
[1] https://cryptoyoda1338.wordpress.com/2018/01/04/the-truth-ab...
Hint: It's not because they're stupid or deceived. Go deeper.
To a non-technical, these hashes and numbers are totally meaningless. As long as everything is done through my service (coinbase, for example) nobody has any idea if there are actually bitcoins behind these numbers or not. You can't hold a bitcoin, I can't ask you to mail me them so I can verify that they exist. The only thing you can do is trust the blockchain, which you definitely need a technical background to understand.
So yes, with enough smoke and mirrors, I believe you could setup a service to sell people UUIDs. It hinges on non-technicals using only my service though. Obviously you couldn't do this with a real cryptocurrency, because the blockchain would tell you if the coins actually exist or not.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16071731 (Yesterday)
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16057883 (Two days ago)
I found the top comment in yesterday's thread rather interesting. If there is a hard cap of 100 billion Ripple coins that can exist, and Ripple Labs already owns 60% of them, at today's price of $3.33 that would mean Ripple Labs has $3.33 * 0.60 * 100billion = $200 Billion in assets, making it one of the largest companies in the world. It's complete madness.
Cryptocoins have no such fundamental value backstop - someone desperately trying to sell a large fraction of the market cap would drive the price to basically zero in short order.
They can't. They've escrowed that 60 billion away and will release it to institutions at regular intervals. Any XRP that isn't bought will be put back in escrow. The executives that have large amounts of XRP themselves are contractually obligated to not dump it. They can only sell a certain amount per week. I think its like 10,000 or something (but I could be wrong on that).
Well, during the mortgage crisis, very few economists would actually claim it was a bubble. Perhaps it was 5% - 10%. At least this was what appeared in the news. The big shots at the central banks didn't see this bubble either, for the most part. But now every big banker is saying Bitcoin is a bubble.
For the dot-com bubble it was much the same. The majority of people (economists, bankers and the like) that should recognise a bubble were only able to call it a bubble in hindsight.
The more I hear this is a bubble, the more of my spare money I will invest into cryptos.
During the mortgage crisis, basically every notable economist and economic commentator was calling it a bubble; some had been for several years, and some only very late (but still before it popped), but it absolutely is not the case that the concept was rare my stated.
The closest your statement is to truth is that there weren't lots of people accurately predicting the timing of the bubble popping, but that's a different thing than recognizing the bubble.
> For the dot-com bubble it was much the same.
It's true that he dot-com bubble was much the same as the mortgage bubble, but only in that it equally did not match your “no one was calling it a bubble” description.
I read just about every financial story about it that came out during those ~2.5 years it lasted (the actual bubble was short lived). It was fairly evenly split between two camps, one represented by the bubble pumpers calling it the new economy (or different this time; they had lots of bumper sticker sayings), the other by traditionalists focused on relatively normal valuation metrics. Guess who prevailed. Warren Buffett, as always. Nearly all of the public dotcoms collapsed or were liquidated for pennies on the dollar. Few survived and thrived, Amazon barely made it out alive. Those thousand crypto coins? They will not survive. A few will, and they'll thrive - thrive meaning, they'll be lucky to be worth what they are today, in another ten years.
Now it's somewhat understandable given the fact that Malaysias currency has not been very stable in recent years and people are struggling. But people investing all they have into such a volatile market is going to lead to a rude awakening.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-21/crypto-cr...
Same holds true for "normal" money since the gold standard was left behind of course.
Their wealth depends on someone willing to pay a price, she or he is willing to pay said price because she or he expects the next person to pay even more at some point. Classic pyramid. Bad? I don't think so. Heading for an eventual crash? I think it will, at some point. Hopefully I'll get rich before then.
What Ripple has going for it is that they may actually succeed at making it a system banks will adopt. If futures become available, insuring parties against fluctuations during transfer, Ripple may have actual value over just the next girl/guy wanting it more than you.
In the case of cryptocurrency, the work here is being done, again, by many people. Economics is, as a fundamental matter, the study of choice. People are, for whatever reason, choosing to do both work and ascribe value to these systems, and it just so happens that these systems are designed in such a way to funnel that work into the hands of mostly a few. This is not owing to any revelation or discovery or intellectual pursuit, but represents pure greed and capitalism --- the selfish pursuit of benefit from fellow man.
Whoever says bitcoin and the other currencies are some kind of panacea that will free us from the shackles of government fiat, big corporations and stymied control of wealth need only look to stories like these, which, are proof that this is just a different and new kind of master.
Coins cant be faked or duplicated
No one can create them at will
They can be transmitted quickly/globally with low fees (excluding bitcoin of course)
You can store them yourself, no bank needed
Sending huge sums of money is no problem
Relatively simple design, 8 page white paper
Has worked as designed for almost a decade
Seems like crypto has a lot unique intrinsic value that surpasses traditional currencies to date.The only thing imaginary is your imagination. Crypto is very real. Even people on an island would eventually find a common denominator in which to store value which has many of the same properties above.
Didn't Ripple Labs create 100 bilion ripple at will?
We could use shiny stones as currency if enough people agreed it had value.
I think you are thinking about currency within the confines of the current system (eg government, laws etc). What I am saying is that government and laws are only valid in our collective imaginations and therefore everything is imaginary and made up (the USD is just as imaginary as bitcoin, it's just that more people believe in the USD so it is mainstream) and we can collectively apply value to anything want to and remove value from anything we want to.
It's basically gold if arbitrary bits of gold could be sent via email.
Bitcoin probably wouldn't have taken off at all if the financial markets were quite so desperate for new toys to speculate with. Bitcoin is the bastard step-child of low interest rates.
It's massively exposed to the threat of financial regulation, too. If the US government suddenly decided that it was going to assume bitcoin transfers are the result of money laundering until proven otherwise and that it's a consumer product that you have to pay sales tax on, its value would plummet to embarrassing depths.
If you claim this is a highly speculative asset, then yeah, you are right. But if you really want to call this a currency, you have to convince a government to use it as an official currency. No central bank in this world will accept to use a currency that is out of its control, that can't depreciate or appreciate at will.
Since when does a currency have to come from a government? People used representative money in forms of IOUs before those were formally issued by governments. Sure, we've moved to government-issued fiat since, because it solved a coordination problem (how do you ensure the value of money doesn't unpredictably change), but that's just one possible solution now.
What I do know is a lot of people find value in a currency that cannot be depreciated at will.
"worked as designed" can be said for every thing. Everything works as designed. Yet gets hacked/stolen/cracked/misused. Banks are working as designed. And so is the government. Just that the majority will dislike the design because they have no say in it.
> You can store them yourself, no bank needed
And then you can loose it yourself too. Remove all the safeguards which was built thru decades of learning and allow everyone to shoot themselves and everyone else in the foot.
The fact that the current blockchain design has withstood people trying to break it for so long gives the currency a greater value.
Would you rather store value in a crypto that is a brand new design, or something that has withstood the test of time?
Admittedly, hardware wallets do a good job of keeping your private keys secure, allowing you to safely transact even on a malware infested PC.
But, like a credit card, the send/receive operations are performed on a secure, limited scope system (rather than an easily-compromised PC)
Either use two or more hardware wallets or keep a paper wallet (a printout of the private keys) in a secure place.
Only if they are used as currency in the marketplace. If cryptocurrencies are only an investment point they are a bubble with little or no practical value. The only value is to other investors.
Personally, I find cryptocurrencies volatile and as such would not use them to purchase anything.
I encourage everyone to try it. Send $100 of crypto to a wallet on your phone and use it to pay people you owe for small stuff. It's fun and easy. It also gets your friends bootstrapped with crypto without needing to use coinbase or gemini or whatever.
Also wallets like Jaxx are deterministic, meaning you can use 12 unique words to recover your wallet anywhere - even if you lose your phone.
Edit: Fiat just means its value is driven by supply/demand rather than being backed by something like gold.
Crypto currencies are not fiat by this definition, since they have nothing to do with governments.
You absolutely do have to worry about price manipulation... the only difference is that it's not specifically governments it's just the disproportionately wealthy. I don't see that as a worthwhile distinction.
https://venturebeat.com/2017/12/14/how-bots-are-manipulating...
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-08-06/mysterious-trader-...
https://cointelegraph.com/news/single-trader-with-enormous-b...
Similarly you can destroy cryptocurrency (some at least), and it can be created. The fact that the creation rate is constrained by the prudence of an algorithm designer rather than constrained by the prudence of a central banker seems like another arbitrary distinction.
To me it feels like crypto proponents want a fancy economics term for othering conventional currencies, so the definition is being bent to fit.
Sorry, no. History shows no such thing.
Just because $BAD_THING sometimes happens under $APPROACH doesn't mean that any other approach would necessarily be an improvement.
> The huge advance crypto has brought us is a solution to this very problem.
Poverty is a problem. Disease is a problem. Quantitative easing is a tool. If you believe that QE is bad, you're free to push for laws passed that take away that tool from central bankers... but you'll have a hard time because it's a very powerful tool for guiding economies.
You may believe that governments can't be trusted with that sort of thing, but Friedman-style laissez faire economics isn't the big success story that many seem to think. The US has become less regulated since Reagan's inauguration and in that time has lost it's position as the world's prime economic superpower to China, a managed economy much closer to the Keynesian model.
You watch how China reacts to BTC. It'll encourage adoption everywhere except within its own borders. Why do you think that might be?
* Coins can't be faked or duplicated - YET - If you get a bot net arguing other the same coin either someone is going to get the coin or the coin is going to get lost.
It kinda like the Captain Midnight and HBO. If you haven't heard about HBO and some other TV networks has launched a communication satellite and professed no one could take it over. Some guy said they were wrong but no one listen to him. Then HBO started raising fees. So the guy overrode their satellite with narrow, focused a pirate signal. Today that would be less then $1,000 of equipment he had for his business.
* No one can create them at will - Except the bank. Someone is issuing those coins to begin with. What is stopping them from 'printing more money?' After all coins are going to get lost over over time. You'll need to replace them. People are going to exchange their currency from X currency to Y currency. Then what happens when someone finds a huge missing wallet?
Both cases are going cause an inflation / deflation cycle. During the inflation cycle this will drive the value up to where no one but the richest people can afford to use it because transaction fees cost too much. The deflation cycle are ruin entire fortunes.
* They can be transmitted quickly/globally with low fees (excluding bitcoin of course) - Won't Ripple and other cryptocurrencies eventually succumb to the same issue over time? You can make shard server but then you're centralizing the network and you get back to where you started.
* You can store them yourself, no bank needed - True enough. Just don't lose that digital wallet.
* Sending huge sums of money is no problem - That getting harder in certain countries as regulations are cracking down. Plus you need access to a terminal. In some areas that's just not practical.
* Relatively simple design, 8 page white paper - but how many other white papers do you need to understand to understand those 8 pages.
* Has worked as designed for almost a decade - And the current banking systems have been working for thousand of years. Does that invalidate this statement?
You said that 'crypto has a lot unique intrinsic value that surpasses traditional currencies to date.' I see crypto more as tulips then anything else. In Holland this bulbs of those beautiful spring flowers. Anyone could grow and make more. They had a definite expiration period. Then someone said 'wait those are just flowers.' And Holland's economy fell apart almost overnight.
My issues with 'crypto' are:
* No real physical assets to back it up - Its just numbers and algorithms.
* Algorithms are broken over time - Just look at the history of SSL / TLS
* The issuing source can issue more 'units' at anytime - The single issuing source of hashes IS the central bank. This causes deflation and devalue the overall market.
* Inflationary / Deflationary Cycle - The currency will inflate until it gets so big that processing fees can't be paid.
* The rich get richer and the poor get poorer - You either buy the farming equipment right away or get the scraps from other people that joined the bandwagon.
* Corruption - Just look at the Coinbase 'alleged' insider trading
Understand that and you'll understand why most of your arguments above are poor.
Depending on how you view the world, this can seem like pretty much a very obvious statement. Before mankind there was no "value". We invented it, and it evolved with us. At some point it even became self-referential ("I am valuable now because I become even more valuable later").
Witness the number of posts here.
I think the original bitcoin post had about 3 responses. Wish I was paying attention that day!
There was no gradual cross-border liberalization of markets
There was no mega-exchange merger that got approval from multiple continental government regulators
All there was being a new kind of asset that trades freely across the internet and is able to capture the pent up capital of the world, and the market decided.
See: Yasumitsu Shigeta
They're playing musical chairs right before the implosion. Ripple might be worth a couple billion dollars as a dangerous speculation. PayPal, an actual, real, live, huge, global, payment & money transfer system, is worth $92 billion.
Some people say you can't place a value on something like Ripple. Sure you can, treat it as an actual business, measure its prospects over the next 3, 5, 10 years. What are those business prospects for the next few years? Not much, less than that of Square and Stripe.
Ripple is just this bubble's CMGI or Internet Capital Group. Bitcoin is this bubble's Cisco or AOL (if it's lucky). The junk ICOs are DrKoop.com or TheGlobe. There's nothing unique about what's going on, history is rhyming as it so often does. It's a likely indication the global liquidity asset bubble party - spurred on by so many central banks pumping crazy levels of liquidity into the global economy for a decade - is reaching toward a climax, again.
EDIT: found this[1]
[1]: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2000/nov/25/internetn...
Granted, enough people bought into the flawed logical to see it happen a couple times over, not realizing that there's no reason for XRP's existence.
> Yet the fortunes of Mr. McCaleb and Mr. Larsen are not nearly as durable as those of other people on the Forbes list given that the value of virtual currencies fluctuates wildly. If Mr. Larsen wanted to access his wealth by selling Ripple tokens for dollars, it would likely drive down the value of Ripple tokens — and his riches.
People keep trying to apply a different higher standard to cryptocurrency in order to prove why it cant function as legacy asset classes.
Honestly, I think its because people dont know how the equity/currency/commodity markets work and are synthesizing standards while watching crypto billionaires get minted on the fly to justify their missed opportunities.
In Ripple’s case, the founders are probably more liquid than other equity billionaires. Ripple traded 7 billion usd today, Facebook only 2 billion.
And I dont even like Ripple, but right now I have to fight ignorance outside of the crypto arena.
If you buy all ripple tokens in existence, they are useless. If you buy all facebook stocks in existence, you own facebook.
Xrp holders have some function in the network, I forgot
And you could name the price for anyone else that wanted xrp or to use the network
Although I would say Ripple’s XRP is not the settlement solution Id be looking for, I wouldnt say owning 99.999% of them makes it worthless
Owning all of a commodity doesnt make it worthless, even when that commodity is a unique collection of cryptographic signatures
Read up on it yourself, I think its some form of staking or validating
Im not the evangelist of Ripple just because Im not succumbing to widespread ignorance and flawed analogies
My point was that the ripple network wouldnt be useless for the entity that bought 99.99% because of the network structure, I’m not sure what your point is
Another user of the network would need to buy xrp from the majority holder, there’s nothing controversial about that. Diamonds function the same way for DeBeers except they have a much lower standard of utility until the owning entity created a new use for them.
your gp was response to my question, so i thought you thought you somehow addressed it
> ripple network wouldnt be useless for the entity that bought 99.99% because of the network structure
what is "network structure"? it can't be the residual 20XRP on everybody's accounts because those are equal to 0XRP as you've just agreed to.
the point that somebody can still buy XRP from the majority holder^W^W the effective sole owner of all usable XRP is sort of irrelevant, because you can make the same point about any other commodity/currency.
I dont know the answer to the network structure, I think it is some kind of staking/validating thing, thats the basis of my thesis and I had tangentially read it somewhere before deciding to pass on XRP for other reasons. feel free to tell me if you do some independent research on that assumption
Yes it is the same standard of any commodity and currency, which is why its not irrelevant. Same info, different conclusions, odd.
- the much better scaling than traditional coins (semi-central structure)
- the track record of the founder Jed
- the fuller feature set including the creation of new tokens like ETH but easier
- the recent announcement like IBMs partnering and stress tests, Kin moving to Stellar, Signal's founder creating his coin on Stellar
- Stellar's lower market cap, so there's still room above
I think Ripple is also good but has a different focus and since the original founder of Ripple left to Stellar, I am a bit more into Stellar.
That Bitcoin Cash would implement "business logic" is just wrong. It simply removes the artificial blocksize limit and does not try to prevent users from utilizing 0-conf if they so choose. From that point it is Bitcoin which is forcing out valid use cases (low value transactions, opt in 0-conf).
Bitcoin Cash's mantra is that they want people to treat 0-confirmation transactions as safe which is absolutely the opposite of what the whole protocol is about. Check this infographic that was tweeted a few hours ago https://twitter.com/Bitcoin/status/949019786704547842
The approach of Bitcoin Cash is to allow the increase when possible. 8MB is for example perfectly doable today on consumer hardware. Investigations are ongoing for how large the blocks can become and improvmenets are being made on for example propagation time and allowing faster startup of nodes.
For example 1GB have been propagated and validated in a timely manner by consumer hardware existing today. (Not saying we should bump it up right now, but the capabilities are here).
> With a 1MB block size an attack block will take 40 seconds to validate with a 2MB size it will take 14 minutes.
That's just wrong.
Edit: Because Bitcoin Cash eliminates the quadratic hashing problem.
> Bitcoin Cash's mantra is that they want people to treat 0-confirmation transactions as safe which is absolutely the opposite of what the whole protocol is about.
No it's not. There are different degrees of safe which Bitcoin totally fails to acknowledge. Buying a coffee with 0-conf and a basic double spend heuristic is perfectly fine and has been done on Bitcoin until full blocks (and RBF) killed it, for example by shapeshift. xmr.to which converts Monero to Bitcoin is also accepting 0-conf for smaller amounts.
Here again the extremist black and white thinking is bad.
> The correct solution to scaling is a Layer 2 protocol.
No, the correct solution combines on-chain and off-chain scaling.