I can't see adoption increase. I myself won't ride a cycle, because
1. There's way too much pollution on the roads. I'll die breathing that air
2. If I don't die breathing that air, some car or bus driver who doesn't give a shit about other people's lives and is on their phone while driving will hit me and perhaps kill me (or worse, leave me disabled for life)
I want to cycle to work everyday. I want the exercise. I want to live, and to be healthy, and to protect the environment.
But the flip side is, I might die.