I like the math and theory on this. But really why would someone who's making millions on the status quo risk tanking the market for a one time gain? Seems unlikely.
On top of it, if you are a small miner, and you can't afford capital investments required to keep up with latest mining hardware, while loosing market share, you can use your soon-osolete hardware to make a one last buck. A big buck this time.
China, Russia, UAE, USA, sci-fi terrorists, evil villains, illuminati etc. (I'm only mostly joking)