> I don't see why state taxes should be federally deductible to begin with.
The same reason legitimate business expenses (including, of course, state and local taxes paid by businesses, which are not affected by this reform) should be and are, and the same reason lots of personal expenses (some of which are, some of which are not currently) should be: expenses which are essential prerequisites to or consequence of earning income should be netted against income before taxing it.
My state and local income, property, and sales tax are the support payments for the physical and social infrastructure that allows me to earn the income I do. With the federal deduction (and assuming state taxes with a marginal rate below unity), it's in my interest to engage politically to optimize for my net return before federal taxes; without the federal deduction, it becomes worthwhile to sacrifice income (before and after) state taxes for lower state taxes, so long as the reduced federal tax cost of the lower pre-state-tax income is enough to offset the reduced net-of-state-tax-but-before-federal-tax income.
This encourages producing less market value when the net after state taxes is equal, encouraging economic contraction.
For illustration, suppose, for simplicity, a federal flat marginal tax rate of 30% percent, and the ability to make $100K with a state tax rate of 10% or $94K with a state tax rate of 5%, and no other deductions.
Ignoring federal tax, the optimum choice is to choose the $100K income with the 10% tax: it provides an $90K net (of state taxes) income, compared to $89.3K in the lower-base-pay regime.
If you deduct state taxes from federal taxes, the incentives are unchanged, the net becomes $63K vs. $62.51 with the high-income, high-tax choice providing the higher net income.
But if you don't deduct the state taxes, the incentives are flipped: producing less market value even after the cost of local infrastructure becomes preferable, with the net being $60K vs. $61.10K.
Supporters of this proposal say it punishes people in high-tax states for bad political decisions; but the math is that it punishes them for good political decisions—for choosing increased taxes when the increase in market value produced that those taxes enable is greater than the value of the taxes.