U.S. government once wanted to plan false flag attacks with Soviet aircraft
newsweek.com
newsweek.com
The linked memo [1] consists of a table estimating the cost for the US to secretly acquire MIGs. Stop and go read it, it's only a cover form, a table estimating the cost to get some MIGs, and a failed attempt at redacting the 3rd page, which describes the effort. The final paragraph reads:
> There is a possibility that such aircraft could be used in a deception operation designed to confuse enemy planes in the air, to launch a surprise attack against enemy installations or in a prevocation operation in which a Soviet aircraft would appear to attack U.S. or friendly installations in order to provide an excuse for U.S. intervention. If the planes were to be used in such covert operations, it would seem preferable to manufacture them in the United States.
Emphasis added. But note that the documents do not describe the mental status of the authors, they're just listing facts. Any guesses by journalists as to what the actors behind the documents were thinking or what they desired to do are only guesses.
The US government is a very, very large organization, that asks a lot of questions and produces a lot of documents. You can also expect that someone, somewhere was also tasked to answer the question "how hard would it be for the Soviet Union to procure US aircraft and launch a false flag attack against themselves, and what can/should we do to mitigate this risk." Within the Soviet government, someone else investigated what it would cost to procure some F-86 and F-4 aircraft, and what it would cost the US to get MIGs, and what they could/should do to mitigate this risk.
I would argue that it would be irresponsible of both governments to not ask these questions. I would also agree that false flag operations and indeed war itself are reprehensible, and would hope that the decision-makers, armed with this information, would still make the right choice. But given the lives, dollars, and issues at stake, and the comparably tiny cost of answering the question, it would be irresponsible not to check.
[1]: https://www.archives.gov/files/research/jfk/releases/docid-3...
It's not even a bad thing for the CDC to plan for[2]. I have a conservative cousin who is in the Marine reserves and is an FBI special agent. He complained to no end that the CDC was "wasting" our taxpayer dollars on the zombie outbreak preparedness marketing campaign. But he also failed to see that as a marketing campaign, it went viral because of unassuming hosts like him (very meta) and, ironically, it was an extremely efficient use of taxpayer dollars.
A false flag attack which attacks US or allied property is just a justification to lie to the American voter and to co-opt American tax dollars. If anything, the author who suggested it for such a purpose is part of the Pentagon "swamp" (in Trump terminology) and is part of the reason the US is currently waning in power (soft, hard, economic, etc).
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1918_flu_pandemic
[2] https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2011/05/why-did...
> A false flag attack which attacks US or allied property is just a justification to lie to the American voter and to co-opt American tax dollars. If anything, the author who suggested it for such a purpose
The false flag use wasn't a prominent suggestion, and the highlighted false flag uses started with a false flag attack on a Soviet-allied threat. Elevating a secondary variation of what is itself one of many possible uses for acquired MiGs as if it was a standalone or primary justification for the exercise is dishonest.
Developing SOPs as a training exercise (SOPs developed in such contexts are, IME, throwaways) and having standing SOPs are a different thing.
That certainly makes sense.
> Additionally, you should know that you are a conspiracy theorist and completely out of touch with reality if you think that regular US army units will fire on American citizens in some kind of "widespread domestic counterinsurgency".
Actually, I think that that's one of the major problems command authorities would face in such a situation even if there was legitimate reason to bring the Army into such a situation, and even overt preparation for the distant possibility would be problematic and disruptive, which is why any such preparation would not be overt.
I haven't read the specific docs, so I don't have a frame of reference. Seems like perfectly valid reasoning.
> Elevating a secondary variation ...
Fair enough
Both are plans. Devising hypothetical plans is not unethical even if the plans as executed wouldn't be ethical.
I'm torn. This seems like a stretch.
Sure, it's possible that the writer here was just stating facts. But if they wrote it as a suggestion for some power-hungry General to "burn the ships"[1] similar to the Russian general in "The Sum of All Fears", then it's certainly unethical. If they did it just to provide options to the rest of the Pentagon in case some rogue general did this, then it's likely neutrally-ethical.
There are ethics involved in simply planning a menu of options. What options are on the menu? How are the options ordered? What options are left off? People react based on the options presented to them and in what order they are presented.
[1] http://travisrobertson.com/leadership/burn-ships-succeed-die...
And regarding the definition of the word "planning", I think there is a useful distinction between intent to do a thing and consideration of the possibility. It is useful to consider what could happen if I (or my successor, or someone with my credentials) went rogue and tried to use my company's data to destroy it or cause harm. I agree that the CIA's morals may not be so altruistic as my own, but this memo is step 2 of a 10-step process to initiating a false flag op, not step 10.
Only half joking.
We had plenty.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/4477th_Test_and_Evaluation_Squ...
The 1953 Iranian coup [2] was organized by the US and CIA in particular. One of the many actions we were responsible for includes forming fake communist forces allegedly in support of the government. The government was not pro communist, but also did not actively crack down on them, so creating these fake groups who were both supposed to be communist and pro government worked doubly well. In any case these groups would then threaten and intimidate Islamic groups in the name of the government. This behavior culminated with these fake groups bombing the home of an influential Islamic cleric [3]. The whole idea being to turn the Islamic community against the government - and it worked. To this day the name of the individual who signed off on the operation is redacted, but it's rather evident that it was Eisenhower.
Ultimately governments tend to be consistently Machiavellian -- or at least populated by those willing to adopt such methods. And false flags are one of the most effective operations for shifting public opinion, creating justifications for war, and so on. The thing I find disappointing is how much people refuse to accept reality. Most people will not believe the two paragraphs I wrote above even though there is declassified material literally acknowledging exactly what happened. But it doesn't fit the way we naturally like to view our government, so most people resort to cognitive dissonance instead of acknowledging that their preconceived notions might not actually be correct.
[1] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Northwoods
[2] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1953_Iranian_coup_d%27%C3%A9ta...
[3] - http://www.nytimes.com/library/world/mideast/041600iran-cia-...
Congress was naturally not told of any of this before they passed the resolution that arguably led to the escalation of the war under Johnson.
[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gulf_of_Tonkin_incident#Back...
This is a critically important point when it comes to many (or most) facets of our society. I'd add to that the fact that most people don't like to admit they have been fooled. They cling to the narrative that has been instilled in them from birth, ("The US Navy, a global force for good") because that's the world they want to live in, that's the world they've been told they live in, and that's the world they have perceived their entire lives.
Geopolitical and economical reality means supporting the US straight into hell.
Even though the lie of Al Qaeda training on Iraqi soil was paper-thin, anti-war politicians and celebrities were shouted down and shunned. It didn’t matter that it made no sense, that Al Qaeda was expressly against the Saddam regime, the momentum was overwhelming. Everyone wanted to trust in the Bush administration’s war effort. The nation was temporarily unified after 9/11.
Even if members of Congress knew the truth, they are still beholden to the public, who did not.
It’s a shame that the only major customers of our expensive intelligence community are various Executive Branch officials and the Senate & House Intelligence Committees.
Even moderate Democrats were sucked into the Iraq War. From my vantage as a random service member at the time, I thought it was unjustified, but I was light on the cable news and AM radio.
> But note that the documents do not describe the mental status of the authors, they're just listing facts.
Do government documents normally describe the mental status of the authors, rather than sticking to facts (whether true or not)?
> The US government is a very, very large organization, that asks a lot of questions and produces a lot of documents.
What percentage are serious enough to get discussed by the National Security Council and/or Attorney General?
> Within the Soviet government, someone else investigated what it would cost to procure some F-86 and F-4 aircraft
I haven't seen any documents on that, but did the Politburo discuss how US planes could be used in a false flag attack? If they did, how would it justify or excuse the US doing so?
> it would be irresponsible not to check
It's irresponsible of the US government to not look into the possibility of murdering Americans in order to start WWIII?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Northwoods
I remember reading about this around 20 years ago in James Bamford's excellent NSA book Body of Secrets.
I can't imagine how a human being could start a war and even provoke one like this. It is just terrible to know that people like this exist.
Luckily, my youngest hasn't had to experience this. But his two older sisters have.
Which ones, the capitalist dogs or the commie bastards? If you dislike those people enough, you'll want to go to war with them if you're in a position of power.
Wars only happen because peaceful citizens do not take responsibility for the war-mongers in their societies. We wouldn't have the wars we have, if we didn't elevate the war-making classes above the folds. We need to always be diligent and vigilant about keeping the war-machine in check - alas, none of us in the West really has a clean slate on this issue. Citizens are responsible for the actions of their governments; this means our militaries, too. The fact that we fail to take that responsibility, means atrocities continue to happen.
It is my personal belief that anyone who dedicates their lives to war-making is separated from the criminal classes only by a very, very thin line: the piece of paper authorising their use of deadly force against other humans, granted them by their government, and ultimately by us, the citizens.
The most honourable roles our societies have to offer are sadly under-acknowledged: teachers, nurses, doctors, builder of roads, takers of trash.
All of these are an echelon above the warrior, in my opinion.
Wars will end when we have limitless energy or evolve beyond greed and the lust for power.
Here's a situation I'd like you to analyse briefly: The US pulls out of every military installation they have outside of US territory. What happens in global geopolitics over the next year? Hint: the answer is 5 letters long with one space.
The poster said nothing about 'ending' war or a superpower instantly disrupting the balance of power.
The OP posited that wars can be prevented via internal power struggles between war-mongers and the rest. That is a notion one can certainly argue with, but saying "war is about limited resources", while true in an abstract sense, is not engaging with it in any meaningful way - it is simply non-responsive.
Look, I know its hard for you to not feel right without insulting anyone, but I've actually read a metric fuck-ton of history, know a few words in a few languages, and am generally not an ignorant 'incorrect-oid'. There is no truly correct/incorrect point of view, when it comes to killing humans. Fact: we don't need to do it. We do it because we want to.
Here's a thought experiment for you, American. What would happen if, instead of putting your citizens in debt to the tune of $TRILLIONS of dollars, every year, while funding active warfare on multiple fronts around the globe, for the last 80 years, the good ol' folks of the USA had instead built massive super-weaponry that delivered schools, water-filtration, and medical facilities, with awesome overwhelming power, to the people who needed it.
Instead of, you know, dropping one bomb every twenty minutes for the last .. umm, lets just say, at least .. decade?
Hmm?
You think its so easy? Lets see that B1 bomber re-purposed to drop the write kind of supplies that makes war unnecessary, not "invetible", as your formidable culture seems to want the rest of us to think it is ..
After WWII, the USA was the least affected nation and was tasked with the protection of West Germany and western europe by proxy, and also Japan. The US policy of containment may have been a mistake, and it caused an immense amount of damage and suffering. Hindsight is 20/20 and in the 60s and 70s, no one foresaw the collapse of the USSR in 1989. The US has overstepped its bounds many times since the end of WWII, but the game between the US and the Soviets was serious business. The US has tons of blood on its hands, I'm not blind to that.
Interactions between nation-states will always be messy because there isn't a higher authority that can impose its will unless the nation-states are both small enough.
Idealism is necessary for coming up with potential outcomes for the future, but realism is necessary to understand the problem.
btw: The answer to the above question I posed is either multiple serious regional conflicts (Europe and SEA, probably India v Pakistan) or WW III.
We're all aware that funding Osama bin Laden was part of that, that part isn't up for debate. What is up for debate is who built the Taliban and mujahideen.
>...The Pakistani Inter-Services Intelligence and military are widely alleged by the international community to have provided support to the Taliban during their founding and time in power, and of continuing to support the Taliban during the insurgency.
> It is just terrible to know that people like this exist.
Whether you're a communist, a capitalist or some other divisive label, you have to feel that way about some other group of people before you can go to war with them.
Not saying I totally agree with this stance, just offering my interpretation of his comment - hopefully Cthulu_ will tell me if I'm putting words in their mouth :)
This isn't a plan that was enacted.
That's why so many in this thread are rightfully decrying the plans of our government to start a war with a false flag attack against our own people.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_Plan_Red
U.S. Government planned to invade Azores
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_Plan_Gray
U.S government does a lot of contingency planning
https://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/war-plan-rainbow...
Sure they didn't do it, but that they felt they had the authority to consider it (in a democracy, where they answer to us) speaks volumes.
Consider the world of information security, which I'm involved in. What's the best way for blue team (defenders) to protect their assets? Look at what the red team (attackers) are doing/targeting. That doesn't necessarily mean their active avenues of attack, but what are their trends, possibilities, means and ways. The same cuts true for the opposite scenario.
But Puerto Rican hurricanes aren't on the radar apparently.
Ironically, the Portuguese are very upset now that the U.S. is pulling more and more soldiers away from Lajes as it's leaving a hole in the local economy.
One wonders what the actual rate of successful false flags are. Was the USS Liberty a failed false flag of opportunity?
On the other hand, is being concerned about false flags intrinsically just being a nutter? Equally unlikely to be realistic. First, we do have historical evidence that it is a thing that has happened before, and second, it's not like it's that crazy an idea. Follow the money & benefits, and there's an awful lot of people today and historically that would have an awful lot of motivations to pull one off.
If you think everything is a false flag, you're too paranoid. If you think false flags never happen, or at least that it's impossible anyone would pull one on you, first, you're too trusting. Second, that very trust ironically increases the chances that someone will consider it a risk worth taking. False flags work best when the very idea that something would be a false flag is easily pooh-poohed and dismissed. Dismissing them out of hand is not a great strategy, IMHO.
The fact that there's an internet competition to be the first to declare something a false flag is simply meaningless. There's an internet competition to be the first to declare a movie a disaster, the first to declare that a game is a disaster, the first to declare that someone's Ask HN project is worthless... it's all just irrelevant noise, not evidence of anything in any direction.
False flag operations certainly happen[1]. It just takes a long amount of time for whistleblowers to leak information providing information to confirm such a fact.
[1]https://www.globalresearch.ca/the-ever-growing-list-of-admit...
What this _does_ prove is what the US is willing to even _consider_ doing to justify various things it wants to accomplish. So at some point you must at least consider that an event _could_ have been a false flag, don't you? Even if you come to the conclusion it wasn't, to write it off entirely without consideration is almost as irresponsible as claiming every major event is a false flag.
It doesn't even begin to prove that. It proves that the US military, which has plans and contingencies for nearly every imaginable scenario, has plans and contingencies for nearly every imaginable scenario.
And if you want to get pedantic, they most definitely don't have them for "nearly every imaginable scenario". The military would be overrun with simply coming up with plans and contingencies. They'd literally have to have infinite plans and contingencies to cover every imaginable scenario.
Really? While I knew that the papers had been released, I didn't know that they disclosed entry wounds in the front and rear of his head. I figured that would be much bigger news.
The recent NSA leaker was named "Reality Winner" FFS. Everything has turned upside down. The whole state of current US government and politics is something from a terrible pulp spy novel sold in the discount bin at and off-brand pharmacy whose brand of bandages just don't ever seem to be able to stick, but they're a third of the price of the name brand so you'll just put some medical tape over the bad side.
I follow the news somewhat regularly and most days I have a moment where I have a hard time really reconciling the events. If somebody pitched a story like the current North American reality, I'd probably politely decline to listen further out of respect for better taste and sense.
The Vegas shooter is the least strange incident to have occurred (at least this is from an outsider to the US)—following the news cycle for the past 20 years says it's not all that uncommon, or hard to understand. He was a disenfranchised person with a possible mental disorder and a growing disenchantment with the society of which he's increasingly growing apart with easy access to purchasing high-powered weaponry. To me it seems like 1 + 1. These kinds of stories are far less rare, even in Canada, than you think. It's just that most of them are far less successful in their savage response to their feelings or ruinously-broken logic.
And he was wealthy enough to buy proper machine guns. If he really wanted to go all out, why not use the right tools? Why buy a California legal gimped rifle?
"Crazy" is not an excuse for glaring plot holes.
That's not to say that there's anything to the 9/11 truthers.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COINTELPRO
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unethical_human_experimentatio...
Remember the entire song and dance that surrounded the Iraq war? That was a conspiracy by the Bush administration to start a war that killed hundreds of thousands of people... On a pack of lies.
Any time a group of people gather, and, in secret, make a decision contrary to the public welfare... That's a conspiracy. This happens all the time in the world - and it's not crazy to believe that it does. It's arguably crazy to believe that it doesn't.
which is the bigger offense?
The title is lurid clickbait.
what is that, if not a fake attack for political purposes?
Did it happen? No.
Did you (initially) falsely imply it did? Yes.
This is the equivalent of shouting that a startup is proven to be on the brink of failing and lying about their finances because you've discovered a memo which notes that one of many advantages of contractors over employees is that you can get rid of them at short notice.
unsurprisingly, it doesn’t actually change my point in the slightest. maybe we can have a more interesting conversation now.
This is a "plan" to attack its own citizens in the same sense as a document noting "contractors are better from the point of view of flexibility, workforce mobility and the ability to downsize the work force" is a plan for mass firings.
I mean, the hypothetical considerations of the advantages of continuous offshore nuclear deterrents over land-based ICBMs are considerably more detailed and ugly in their implications, but I'd still consider a headline arguing "$NuclearPower planned to exterminate every man woman and child living in $RivalState after watching millions of its own citizens die" to be rather misrepresenting the intent of such documents.
This is basically meeting minutes of BSing at the water cooler.
The military/intelligence part of government cooks up all sorts of hair brained schemes for stuff that will never happen and even though it never goes beyond the brainstorming phase it still goes on record because the on the off chance that aliens invade Argintina it's really nice to just take an off the shelf plan that's close and adapt it and get sign offs rather than waste time trying to schedule a meeting with all the subject matter experts and make the plan from scratch with all the poor high speed decision making that comes with the fog of war.
Great book that gives some insight into the crazy stuff the CIA/NSC was doing 50 years ago.
It seems to have refined its ability to convince us of the need for war since then, however.
The U.S. government is, as it should be, a paranoid bureaucracy. Everything is, and should be, considered.
I can't see any legitimate argument for the government considering violating serious international laws.
This isn't a contingency like a plan to nuke Canada if they are on the edge of becoming communists.
None, in my opinion. That said, I have not considered the question deeply enough to conclude that it is never appropriate.
In any case, that isn't what the document [1] is about. Paragraph 5 mentions the "possibility" of various things. Our government should know how others within itself, perhaps with nefarious purposes, might conduct a "deception operation" against it. More specifically, ¶ 5 mentions operations in which "Soviet aircraft would appear to attack U.S. or friendly installations". Providing the appearance of something is not necessarily doing it. I also do not think false flag operations conducted against foreign countries are as ethically off the table as those against one's self.
TL; DR There are legitimate reasons for studying how false flag operations may be done.
[1] https://www.archives.gov/files/research/jfk/releases/docid-3...