This is basically the stance of every serious practitioner that I've seen (ie the stance shared by everyone who directly works with theory/code to train models, as opposed to those who talk about AI at a high level).

Right now, we have these systems that are effectively ungodly complicated spreadsheets. They're great at a variety of tasks, some of which seem impossible for a non-intelligent entity to perform (neural machine translation is wild to me).

But that's all the systems are- super complicated spreadsheets. There's no way for them to start replicating consciousness without massive advances in the field.

Having said that, there is a road from where we are to intelligence- if we can create a network that performs arbitrary interactions online, and figure out some way to create a positive feedback loop for intelligence, like AlphaGo Zero did with their policy network & MCTS, then we might be able to figure it out. But we're so far away from that that I'm not concerned.