Apple is $20 a share away from being the first $1 trillion company
markets.businessinsider.com
markets.businessinsider.com
Strong stock price yes, and high gross profits, but Apple's P/E ratio is worse than many of the others in the upper echelons of profit. Google's is worse still, but there at least is significant diversification in the tech sector making it a safer "disruption-resistant" bet.
And I don't see much room for growth in Apple. Barring surprises, which have been absent in the last few years, Apple has an uphill battle improving its market share globally. Compare this to the emerging nations of the world that decidedly cannot buy new iPhones in quantity, but can buy commodity-priced Android hardware.
There's still a place for "premium" in the mix too: During the rise of Android, Apple & iOS were looked to as best of breed, head & shoulders above the rest. But in the last 2-3 years, while this is still the case, the gap between Apple and flag-ship competitors on the Android side has narrowed significantly. They lag on somethings too, such as late-to-the-game screen size increases where either aesthetics or inertia give them a blind spot. Or maybe its that the Android ecosystem forces a lot more feature variation because there's so many more handset manufacturers. I don't know.
It just seems like Apple is now competing mostly on market-hyping novelty features, and that's a hard game to win in for very long. I'd be very bear-ish on Apple if 1+ years pass without something a bit more wow.
- 10.3 million iPads sold, up 14% YOY for revenue
- 5.4 million Macs sold, up 25% YOY for revenue
- $8.5 billion services revenue, up 34% YOY
- $3.2 billion other products revenue, up 36% YOY
They seem to be doing really well with Macs and iPads sales, as well as extracting more profit out of iPhone users with services like Music. Apple just finds a way to keep growing. I imagine the reinvented Mac desktop machine might help (https://daringfireball.net/2017/04/the_mac_pro_lives) and hopefully Watch will eventually get the mythical bloodless glucose reader they've been researching for years.
Your advice is the same as what every armchair analyst has been saying for 10 years. I see no reason to believe it’s gotten any higher quality now.
On the public market the Dutch East India Company hit 7.4 trillion at the height of tulipmania.
https://www.fool.com/investing/general/2012/08/22/a-history-...