If you are so certain, are you putting your money towards this and betting on your assumptions being correct?
I'm fully in the market with zero intention of trying to time anything.
It will go down and back up. That much is certain. I'm ready to ride it out!
But if you arent predicting when, your prediction isnt very credible.
It is the exact opposite: if you are actually predicting "when", then your prediction isn't very credible. Perhaps you meant useful instead?
Anyways, all we can do is watch external forces. When will the Chinese asset bubble pop? When will the fed raise interest rates? If those things happen, will that take other markets down with it?