Some people will claim that the fact that autonomous vehicles can drive closely to one another will reduce congestion. Yeah, if they are the only cars on the road. I don’t see a future anytime soon in which 100% of our population (or even 80%) will be so enamored with autonomous vehicles that they’ll be wanting or willing to give up driving and car ownership.
>"...I agree that there are benefits for the last mile of the >suburbs and countryside, ..."
:)
A good solution would be great public transportation and ride sharing working together. It doesn't have to be black or white.
At least in Europe, public transportation is usually pretty good already and there is a lot of capacity left unused because while trains are going relatively deep into the suburbs and countryside, they only serve those living next to it. Self-driving cars could unlock this potential.
Edit: If you look at for example Munich, I don't think self-driving cars will be a challenge to the public transportation inside the city. But they can help getting completely rid of your own car (or alleviate the desire to buy one).
The trick is to cover every case but nudge people to take the less demanding option if they can. Easier said than done, though.
I think you're generally right though. I know if I had a self driving car, I'd move further out of the city. If it adds to my commute time, I won't care if I can do other things while I commute (work, read, write, sleep, etc...).
That last step is quite a doozy though.
I do question the idea of trying to use autonomous cars in cities first when limited access roads are a far better choice for early uses of the technology. Giving new purpose to HOV and Express lanes would be far simpler to develop for and easier for governments to accommodate. The idea of entering an limited access road or any road with a protected lane and being able to let the car do the driving has many advantages to both road use and over all trip times plus the previously mentioned ease of implementation
When I worked for an Arab Company in London one of the messenger "boys" jobs was to when a traffic warden was spotted to drive the senior directors cars (seriously stepped on mercs and bmw's with the after market armour packages ) around the block few times and park it back outside the office :-)