How Seattle Got More People to Ride the Bus
citylab.com
citylab.com
Seattle should look to a city like Vienna or Prague. The transportation systems are surprisingly well engineered but that might be due to the fact that a larger part of the population takes it.
That said, I think we are getting there. I'm somewhat confident that the current problems are the spike.
But long-term the maintenance is significantly higher, as you need to replace the road surface very frequently.
A usual bus stop, or a BRT lane, has to be replaced every 6 months if it’s asphalt, and every 18 to 24 months if it’s cobblestone. That’s a significant expense.
While you can build and use light rail for decades.
Concrete with asphalt on top of it has the issue of the asphalt having to be replaced frequently.
I’m not sure if US interstates with concrete are different, but these were the only options discussed here in Germany.
They have special rights of way
... which come at the expense of taking away existing universal-use lanes, worsening all other traffic congestion. a well documented effect
Not really. Had the "road diet" actually resulted in a shift from cars to transit, the transit agencies would show a corresponding increase in their census and farebox return. They didn't.However, there is an induced demand effect where because there are less cars, more people will drive. So in effect an extra lane appears, empty of the people riding the bus.
And the required infrastructure for light rail creates more demand for development along the line, as the rail itself signals more permanence to developers: they do not worry about it moving in a decade, like a bus route could.
As for demand never changing... well, everything changes.
Source: Personal anecdata from living in an area where local government has been pushing more and more light rail development hard, in spite of never actually delivering any of the promised benefits to traffic congestion, ridership levels, community or business development.
I assume this only happens in places where the roads are overloaded though
Actually... Can you name a few places in a metro area that didn't experience such a boom after a transit stop was introduced? In the bay area even? I feel like I have only ever seen examples of it being good for retail, restaurants, home values.
a metro area that didn't experience such a boom
I was responding to the specific claim "Light rail will create demand to live near and locate businesses near the stations." The point isn't about whether a broad area benefits from rail (vs. no rail at all) but whether adding light rail to a fully built-out environment will drive more dense business development near the added rail and because of the addition of rail. I don't know of any USA data that supports that.Take a ride from the Seattle airport to downtown on the light rail sometime, then. You will see a lot of nice looking apartments that didn't used to be there. And you will see some less nice neighborhoods interspersed.
As soon as it actually opened, neighborhoods that could use it suddenly got a lot more desirable (read: expensive).
I think you mean "which Kirkland is bound and determined to ensure never carries trains ever again."
There's a reason why "South Kirkland Station" is actually in Bellevue and the Kirkland City Council is it.
They never specify what type of transit. Amazing that.
In all the articles in the Seattle Times about light rail, the Sound Transit public relations materials, etc., the Eastside Rail Corridor is never, ever, mentioned. How is it that Kirkland has managed a conspiracy of silence about it?
The city council there has been opposed to rail on the ERC ever since Sound Transit 3 was a gleam in the eye. They've wanted BRT, over Sound Transit's objections, because they deem it more compatible with trail uses and not taking up as much space in the corridor. (And able to be located on the eastern edge of the corridor, preserving views to the west. So, yet again, needed infrastructure takes a back seat to scenery.)
Some links:
https://seattletransitblog.com/2015/11/16/kirklands-brt-desi...
https://seattletransitblog.com/2016/03/12/kirkland-st-strugg...
As for ridership, all you have to do is drive that route on 405 during rush hour, which is all day. Downtown Kirkland is gridlocked during rush hour.
There isn't even a consistent scheme to the roads up there, they just deadend, with SR-522 being the only arterial (which is totally wrecked 7 hours a day!). Nevermind the shit many of the people that went to school up there had to deal with, makes Seattle Public Schools look reasonable when compared to the shenanigans administrators at those north end schools would play on many of the students they were supposed to be helping.
I hope for those trapped in that area that things get better, but it seems like so many of the newer neighbors in my area are flooding out of the communities on the north end of the lake.
The big issue with the Cheap Trains of busses is the lack of commitment that is otherwise nice for transit authorities is not an advantage for real estate. BRT just doesn't indicate commitment to the route enough to really boost property. This is why even though tram lines are basically just busses that can't get out of the way they have a much more marked effect on real estate and neighborhood development.
The manned stations are not a distinct factor, by the way. Tram stations are usually not manned either.
Setting up dedicated lanes and then running a bus on them is just a waste.
What we can do is steal some of Portland's better ideas, and put up a green wall on either side of the tracks with shrubbery, bollards at every grey crossing (and gates on the pedestrian crossings) to separate the tracks cost effectively.
We can keep the body count low and trains timely, if we change minor things to effectively separate the rail from other modes of transit.
1 - http://www.king5.com/news/local/suv-crashes-into-sound-trans...
For instance, here there are a couple of bus routes which do every 6 minutes or so at peak times; each bus takes 80 people. However, the tram lines run every 4 minutes at peak times; each tram takes 360 people.
That said, crowded is as much a by product of the crowd. Easiest way to avoid that is to adjust your times.
MT 550 running 6 buses an hour felt the same in 2016 - packed in like a mosh pit during rush hour. That's when I gave in and bought a truck, and dealt with parking 6 blocks away instead of hiking 9 blocks down Cherry (and past the perpetual tent city) to the tunnel.
It's because it's a reverse commute, and so while everyone is trying to get into the city I'm trying to get out. The bus would be pretty good if I lived south of Northgate and worked in the city.
On the other hand it's very efficient for getting in to the city, as I can hop on a single bus and be in Green Lake or the U district in about 15 minutes, and it's another 10 to cross the canal.
Some good reading:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collective_action#Collective...
After driving for 6 months, I moved across the street from my workplace (literally). Since then, I've moved onto another job in Redmond, which is just 15 minutes down 520. And the traffic on that part of 520 is so good that half of the drivers go 70 until they reach Microsoft.
When I worked downtown in SF, the options were clear. Take transit or deal with ridiculous traffic and costs of close to $600 a month.
Now that work south of SF, I can either take the company shuttle, which takes 40 min and if I miss it, I have to wait another hour. Or, drive my car which takes 20 min and I can arrive/leave whenever I please. Easy decision.
You can't fault people for making a rational choice.
For people who can make full use of their time on the shuttle, driving is a 20-minute loss of productivity each way.
The value-math works differently for different people.
If it's anything like the commuter buses, you can try to open your laptop on your lap with no elbow room, but the bus bounces too much to focus on what you're coding/reading. What you wind up doing is "work theater" where you appear to be working but aren't productive.
And that's if you can get a seat on the bus. For bus companies to make money, they have to pack in commuters like a mosh pit. And you're trapped there; a literal prisoner of the bus. Will the shuttle pull over if you need to step out for a moment?
The commuter routes subsidize all of the mostly-empty city buses that less-able people ride. (These are people who won't/can't walk/drive 6 blocks to the store.)
In my area, public transit is something that people who don't use it themselves love to criticize others for not using, either.
It's little used specifically because it is badly planned and operated with an eye toward political positioning, not serving would-be passengers.
Guess what, the moment this nonsense becomes indefensible or plain too expensive is when that train or bus suddenly starts working and running on time.
Please, regail us with tales of your bus ridership.
Do you enjoy being squished between people, unable to move? Do you like to "accidentally touch" people on the bus? Or do you get on the bus early and "silently judge" the people who have to stand? Do you pretend to read or work during the ride? (The bus bounces around too much to do any actual work, and that's if you can get a seat.) Or are you one of those annoying people that won't stop talking about Tuscany?
Have you been on a bus when it's had to pull over on the freeway, and turn itself off and on again, to "reboot the bus"? Ever wonder what state the bus has entered that it needs a reboot? What is the driver seeing, or not seeing? How many screens went blank and controls stopped working at highway speeds?
+1 on this. The Vienna transit system is so fantastic that I was able to get around the entire city without even speaking German. I remember one day I was riding the U-Bahn with a local friend and asked him what it was like during rush hour. He said, "this is rush hour". There was still plenty of space for people in all wagons. Simply amazing.
- Downtown's financial district and retail core, with the jail, hospitals, churches, and other services (like the methodone clinic and drunk tank) on First Hill.
- Capitol Hill's "crazy night life".
- Queen Anne Hill with normal-ish people.
- Magnolia's rich separation.
- Ballard the Scandinavian fishing village.
- Fremont and Wallingford - the artist and hippie communes, the University District, and Ravenna.
- The International District and The Jungle.
- Beacon Hill and Rainier Beach, where the action happens day or night.
- SoDo (Southern Downtown)'s industrial core.
- Lake City feels like the "northern SODO".
- West Seattle feeling closer to Seatac than Seattle.
So many people finish work around the same times that you get this massive spike of people on the hour, and then it's dead quiet once that on-hour spike has been fulfilled. You don't want to be trying to get on the 545 at 5pm or 6pm. Shift your leaving time so you're at the bus stop 10-15 minutes earlier and it's a whole other story. Although I no longer do the 545 any more, for that, and for my current route I switched to arriving early in the office and leaving 4:30ish. I'm almost always guaranteed to get a seat and have less rush hour traffic slowing down my return home.
One thing that the city could do to help, and has helped elsewhere, is to encourage city businesses to shift their starting and finishing hours, especially those businesses that are a bit more regimented. This spreads out the peak over a bigger period of time and allows both more overall flow and less disruption.
1) Paying for parking is really expensive compared to other cities. A downtown parking spot is easily ~$300/month.
2) Most employers subsidize orca cards (transit pass) but do not subsidize parking spots
3) With Seattle traffic being as bad as it is, most buses are just as fast as cars because of the prioritization they get. In any other city the bus takes twice as long. In Seattle it's on par with driving.
4) Seattle's natural geography encourages density which makes public transit more effective. Most new hires and population growth is also happening in the closer in neighborhoods which are already well connected to transit.
5) Suburban commuting is harshly punished by the above geographical and societal pressures. If you live in Woodinville and commute to the SLU you're looking at 1hr, one way, on a good day. Similar point about population growth happening close in to the city.
(Not that SFHs should be illegal of course, but they shouldn't be mandated)
Ironically, if it weren't for all the cars the buses couldn't afford to operate. For every driver that switches to buses cost go up and revenue goes down. Maybe this is fine, but I don't think it should be ingored.
This article seemed to praise Seattle and Metro but the area is always ranked as one of the worst traffic areas in the nation. If it is working so well, why is it so bad?
Is there something Seattle or King County Metro has done well that makes people want to use it? Does it smell nice, is it quiet, are the drivers really friendly, do they offer good coffee..? Or is mass transit around here "good" compared to all the other bad options.
One thing that is not transit's fault that makes traffic bad around here- Seattle area is filled with some of the worst drivers I have ever seen. Born and raised here so I think I am allowed to criticize, we collectively suck at driving!
Also, on those car tabs, voters approved them ourselves. Every single transit-related charge on your vehicle registration was approved by a measure put in front of voters. (Same for sales tax.) I disagree strongly with our legislature's predilection for punting hard tax issuers to voters but if you're gonna blame anybody, you've only the voting public to blame. (Full disclosure: I've voted "yes" on every single transit tax measure--except for the monorail--I've ever seen.)
Oh, and on farebox recovery: very, very few transit systems recover their cost of operation. In the United States, only the Las Vegas Monorail recovers 100% of its costs. The only widely-used system that comes close is San Francisco's BART at 71%. (All figures courtesy Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Farebox_recovery_ratio)
It may come as a surprise to you, but vehicle owners don't directly pay the cost for the roads they drive upon, either. The motor vehicle fuel tax basically pays for the Washington State highway system (including part of the Washington State Ferries...which also has approximately a 70% farebox recovery ratio[0]). County and local general fund taxes pay for local roads, including basically every road you drive on inside a municipality.
This is the same for transit. County and city taxes pay for the bulk of the service and fares and grants cover the rest.
Oh, and public transit taxes in Washington State are almost universally put in front of the voters because the legislature won't let transit agencies impose taxes on their own authority. Road and fuel taxes? Pfft, those are somehow different and they get imposed by the legislature with no vote. I want the legislature and our representatives to handle taxation and spending; that's why we elect them. But this double standard of approval-required-for-transit-but-not-for-roads is galling.
0 - http://www.wsdot.wa.gov/NR/rdonlyres/A72D0350-674E-4D50-8483...
Only tolls really pay directly for the roads- and now more and more tolls are being charged, in addition to the other taxes and fees.
I agree we (not me) voted for $30 tabs, many times and never saw them. And yes we (not me) voted for the new Sound Transit. Since we did pass the last one I actually stand behind it, if we sold bonds based on the taxes we have to pay them now.
"I want the legislature and our representatives to handle taxation and spending; that's why we elect them." -Agree with you there!
I am perfectly fine having transit subsidized. The transit agencies love to adverties what a bargain it is and many of the comments mentioned how much they use the bus. My only point is transparency. If the true, unsubsidized fare were charged would people still ride? Would it still seem like a good deal? Would it still seem like the best plan?
I often don't care if it is left or right, red or blue- just if it works. Seattle seems to be a shade of blue that doesn't work well, at least in transportation. Something Seattle and King County are doing, or not doing, is failing miserably and keeps getting worse. We keep giving the transit agencies with more and more money and they keep delivering more and more congestion. This is the commonly accepted relationship we have with them, the cycle will only continue until something gives. I wouldn't be surprised if Seattle bans cars soon, except for the rich and government employees of course.
Do you pay tolls for all the roads you use? Do you pay to park at the store? Do you pay for other's care for their emphezama? Will you buy their flooded house? Do you pay for the funerals of dead walkers and cyclists? Will you pay for new habitat for the wildlife displaced by roads?
Lets cut the bullshit and bill drivers directly for every mile of wear they put on the road, and for the massive hidden (and unbilled) cost of car storage on public streets and at public facilities. Given a fully transparent market, single occupancy commuting would die a quick death!
Hell, even a minor $1 entrance fee into/out of downtown would shave SOV traffic down 15% to 20%, despite not passing through much of the cost.
Now, I have significantly better bus service with dedicated lanes into downtown, and for last mile hops it is easy to grab a bike and go.
WRT Transparency, lets pass through all costs to the end user and let people decide! Do you want to pay $1 to cross the Ballard Bridge each way in a car? How about $4.50 for any mass transit mode? Or $1 for a bike for an hour?
Hiding the true cost of infrastructure, whether its through free parking, subsidized roads, or reduced fares is wrong, people should know what it costs and be able to choose freely!
Can you please clarify on how you've arrived on the idea that it's the transit agencies specifically that are causing this? I lived in the Seattle/Tacoma area for a few years back, and acted as both a driver and a transit rider; the traffic was horrible seemingly regardless of whichever you were. Much of I5 going between Tacoma and Seattle was just at capacity, especially heading to Seattle where you're on a raised roadway above the bay - I'm not really sure what you can do to improve this short of trying to find ways to lower the total number of vehicles on the road, which is really only possible if you're moving more people in less vehicles or providing outlet paths that get you to the same destination.
There are just tons of people driving I5, and the effect can be felt as far as Tacoma on the weekends; I'm not really sure that it's a failure of the transportation department or the fault of anything except excess wealth and urban sprawl putting more cars on the road. Even in sections where there isn't an HOV lane, one accident, slow driver, anything put traffic to a crawl. Tacoma doesn't have the HOV lanes (unless this has changed in the last 3 years) in the parts closest to the city and it's still a slog every single day from 0700-1000 and 1530-1730 on I5.
Like, I get in essence what you're saying to some degree - make the full unsubsidized cost transparent, which sure, I agree with that as long as the subsidies remain in place. Removing the transit isn't the solution here, because the overall traffic flow just seems to be inhospitable to the current traffic situation in the Greater Seattle area. More carpooling, proper rideshare solutions (Uber is not ridesharing), or more public transit use is pretty much your only option for reducing such traffic. The current path I5 takes was not chosen well as it doesn't allow for expansion at its choke points.
Says the guy who apparently has no fucking clue how expensive the unsubsidized cost of driving is and is complaining about mere hundred dollar car tabs. Get back to me when you’re paying the $6/gallon gas taxes and $20/day congestion charges and $10 bridge tolls and $8/hr parking costs, and we’ll see how many drivers are left.
The core reason why transit is so heavily subsidized is because we have so many buses running empty, and the reason so many buses run empty is because entitled assholes refuse to take any mode except their single occupancy vehicles and then lose their minds and beat down politicians’ doors any time we suggest raising taxes to pay for all their driving. Transit is literally subsidized because cars are subsidized. Make drivers pay their costs and transit will be way more sustainable.
Unfortunately, if you haven't lived in a well-designed city it's hard to truly understand the lunacy of US urban "design". Cities there are as though they were built for 100 foot tall collosi, with everything spread insanely far apart. Of course, the collosi in question are cars, and in serving cars we made them a necessity, while destroying places that actually served humans.
How does that work? Surely the marginal cost of an extra passenger is less than the total cost divided by the number of passengers? Not only that but if the bus is not already full one more passenger is very nearly pure profit.
I'm genuinely curious.
If ridership increased by 4.1% between 2015-2016, then population growth alone may account for a significant chunk of that.
https://www.seattle.gov/opcd/population-and-demographics
https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/data/seattle-once-...
It would be near impossible to navigate Metro, SoundTransit, and surrounding transit agencies without OneBusAway or Google Maps. Idk, SoundTranist also tried a massive money grab on car tabs on inflated valuations. They are doing just as much to undermine support for transit as anyone.
n.b. I'm the maintainer of OneBusAway for iOS.
Is the data behind that available anywhere as an api or anything? I was trying to find a way to parse out some stuff for a project at home, and access to the times in say, json, would be helpful.
Thanks!
And all of our products, both server and mobile, are here: https://github.com/OneBusAway/
I don't know what language you prefer working with, but you might find this rather thin Rails site I built last year to support a few features helpful: https://github.com/oneBusAway/onebusaway-deep-links
I've relied upon the various forms of One Bus service from 2008-present and it is immensely useful.
I notice on onebusaway.org that the system is now used by other cities, including NYC, Washingon D.C., and Tampa Bay. Do other large cities generally use some kind of competing, comparable proprietary system, or do bus riders in most cities have no way of getting real-time bus data online?
Sound Transit didn't "try" anything. They're running the MVET the way that the legislature told them to do it and that the voters approved.
(Full disclosure: I voted yes on Sound Transit 3, knowing full well what my vehicle registration would cost after the vote.)
It was dishonest at best, at worst it's a fraud.
In any event, I have very little sympathy, since the current car tab is at least an order of magnitude too small.
The car tax rate in Singapore is at least 100x higher than the Sound Transit tax. The tax is equal to 100% of the sale price of the vehicle for the first $15,000 USD, 140% between $15,000 and $35,000, and then 180% on any value above that.
That seems a bit too high given the way American cities have been built up, but 1.1% is just absurdly and catastrophically lower than it should be.
Your opinion may be clouding your judgment. It's not right to inflate the value because you can't pass a higher rate with legislation. This is why a lot of people don't support transit, because the people advocating it can't be honest.
This is also why Washington State voters keep passing a cap on the car tab fee. Like it or not, the voters of the state still get to decide on the rules that govern them. They agreed to a rate increase on the fair-market value of their vehicle, not for Sound Transit to charge whatever they want because they lost some grant money.
I really, really, really wish the residents of the Central Puget Sound Regional Transit Authority who are pissed off about this would get the message:
SOUND TRANSIT DID NOT SET THE DEPRECIATION SCHEDULE, THE STARTING POINT FOR THAT SCHEDULE, OR WHEN THE SCHEDULE SHOULD BE USED.
For the love of all that is good and wonderful, go read the Revised Code of Washington (the bit of law that is passed by the legislature and signed by the governor or that citizens can amend themselves through the initiative process).
RCW 81.104.160 [link 1] clearly states: "Regional transit authorities that include a county with a population of more than one million five hundred thousand may submit an authorizing proposition to the voters, and if approved, may levy and collect an excise tax, at a rate approved by the voters, but not exceeding eight-tenths of one percent on the value, under chapter 82.44 RCW..."
160 also states, "Notwithstanding any other provision of this subsection or chapter 82.44 RCW, a motor vehicle excise tax imposed by a regional transit authority before or after July 15, 2015, must comply with chapter 82.44 RCW as it existed on January 1, 1996, until December 31st of the year in which the regional transit authority repays bond debt to which a motor vehicle excise tax was pledged before July 15, 2015."
Sound Transit is legally obligated to use the old depreciation schedule instead of the one that was updated in 2003. Again, the legislature wrote that law.
RCW 82.44.035 [link 2] sets out how the valuation for the motor vehicle excise tax is to be calculated: "For the purpose of determining any locally imposed motor vehicle excise tax, the value of a vehicle other than a truck or trailer shall be eighty-five percent of the manufacturer's base suggested retail price of the vehicle when first offered for sale as a new vehicle, excluding any optional equipment, applicable federal excise taxes, state and local sales or use taxes, transportation or shipping costs, or preparatory or delivery costs, multiplied by the applicable percentage listed in this subsection (3) based on year of service of the vehicle."
On this bit:
> This is also why Washington State voters keep passing a cap on the car tab fee.
That is a false equivalence. Those votes are statewide, unlike the votes on the Sound Transit propositions which happen solely in the Sound Transit district. The car tab fee cap keeps failing in the western Puget Sound counties--notice how Tim Eyman can't seem to muster up the signatures for his latest three attempts, because people in Snohomish, King, and Pierce counties aren't signing the petitions and that's where the people mostly live--because voters here don't want to kick the legs out from underneath our transit (AND FERRY!) authorities a second time.
Also, I think it's pretty damn shitty that our "democratic initiative system" gives people in the entire rest of the state veto power over what the legislature tells part of the state it can do with its own tax money. People in Walla Walla, Grant, and Spokane counties don't get to vote for or against Sound Transit propositions and don't pay any of the tax dollars that support them. Why should they get a statewide veto? At what point is a vote "settled law" and the relevant authorities can get on with doing "the will of the people?"
They aren't "required" to use that schedule, it sounds like they are the only ones using it, and Sound Transit wrote the legislation.
So I really don't understand your point. Sure we need transit, but the ends don't justify the means.
Also, Sound Transit didn't write the legislation. They don't have that kind of clout in Olympia. If they did, explain to me how it is that they keep losing to WSDOT and UW, two state agencies that do have clout in Olympia. That UW Link Station is located where it wound up is prima facie evidence that ST has limited "pull" with the state.
(Notice how amendments were brought to modify the depreciation schedule at least twice and were voted down in the legislature. Senator O'Ban, the vocal critic against Sound Transit, voted in favor of the bill containing the Sound Transit 3 authority--TWICE--before he decided he didn't like it.)
“Sometimes if you don’t think to ask the question, you make an assumption, because it’s not even on your radar screen,” said Clibborn, D-Mercer Island.
http://www.theolympian.com/news/politics-government/article1...
> The language that specified how the agency would calculate car-tab fees was included in every version of the transportation revenue bill lawmakers considered in 2015, dating to at least four months before the measure was finally approved.
> The topic even came up on the Senate floor in February 2015, when the Senate voted down a proposed amendment to change the car-tab valuation schedule to a third, completely different formula.
> “Each step of the way, this language was there,” said state Sen. Marko Liias, D-Lynnwood, one of the negotiators of the 2015 transportation package. Liias explained how the car-tab fees would be calculated in a short speech during the 2015 floor debate.
Again, you can claim it was misleading, but you can't call it fraudulent.
This is the sort of obviously important detail you expect staffers to be on top of. It's silly to later claim no one had thought of what method would be used to calculate the value of a car when enforcing a percentage tax on the value.
From 2016 Riders Survey (http://kingcounty.gov/~/media/depts/transportation/metro/acc...):
Household Income
* < 35k/year: 25%
* 35k-100k/year: 34%
* > 100k/year: 32%
Also, 93% of the riders have access to a personal vehicle.
Just based on my personal experience, I think there may be some correlation, possibly due to the fact that bicycle commuters tend to be from higher income brackets, and that lower-income folks often see efforts to support bicycling as both a symptom and cause of gentrification that does not do anything to help them personally as they are less likely to be bicyclists themselves.
Just my two cents.
In the United States, the income segment with the highest rate of bicycle commuting (1.5%) is those individuals earning $10k/year or less [1]. Workers from households earning under $35k/year are 10x more likely to bike to work than workers from other households [2].
Of course, this doesn't directly imply that bicycle commuters tend to not be from higher income brackets, but if you examine the US household income distribution [3], it seems probable; as of 2014, a third of US households have an income below $35k/year. The Census Bureau provides some data tools which one could certainly use to break down bicycle commuters by income category, but their interface gives me trouble.
[1] https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2014/cb14-86....
[2] http://bikeleague.org/sites/default/files/equity_report.pdf
[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Household_income_in_the_United...
At a given intersection downtown per cycle, you will see dozens of cars and people, and MAYBE one bike. Almost all of Seattle's bike infrastructure is very underutilized. But Seattle cyclists are loud when it comes to local politics, because most seattleites think of themselves as temporarily inconvenienced cyclists.
If I ran a company I'd want my employees to have shorter commutes anyway. A stressful drive in the morning can't be great for productivity.
I absolutely hate my commute because on the very best of days (i.e. minimal traffic, which is almost never), it's 1h20m long (were I to drive on that exact same day and conditions instead, it would be 30 minutes--that's a steep price to pay for me to prefer public transit). 10 years ago it was great--40 minutes max by bus, but commuting from point A to point B almost only ever gets worse over time, never better. I'd love to take the bus all the time if it was much more consistent--but it never will be.
[0] SB882 (Hertzberg) This one change costs BART alone $25 million per year (Matier & Ross, SF Chronicle, May 8 2017, page C1)
But it costs ~$40 to park downtown for work day. How could anyone afford/justify that? I had a parking pass that my company paid for for about $250 a month for a while. The lot was crazy packed and was valet only (but not in a nice way).
I work from home now, and we got an office in Lynnwood. Not as cool, but it works for us. Parking was too expensive, bus far too time consuming..
But this was quite some time ago.
Interesting. Here in Munich new bus stations are explicitly not in bulb form, because buses tend to pick up too much delay from morons ignoring the bus while it blinks and blinks and blinks until finally someone has the sense to let the bus merge into traffic.
On the other hand, the "blocking" way has its own downsides. I live on a 1-lane-per-direction road, directly next to a recently converted bus station - and now I have angry honking whenever there's a load of school kids or wheelchair-bound people, and morons trying to overtake the car on the other direction's lane... so far no accident has happened but I'm waiting for it.
That would be easily solved by making buses always have the right of way --- when it starts signaling, traffic behind it has to stop if safe to do so and let it merge in.
I bus commute to work 5 days a week and couldn't be happier. My bus is nearly never late, my connections are short, the buses are clean and comfortable. I have no regrets on selling my car.
This is something I don't get about the Seattle area. It's like people here are in complete denial about the fact that it rains for 9 months a year. It's not just bus stops - my daughter says recess at school sucks most of the year because the playground and other play areas are all uncovered. So all the kids have to stay stuck in a very limited covered area where there's nothing for them to do. Same thing with parks - no covered playgrounds or places where people can sit and relax without getting wet.
[1]https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/EZRide [2]https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bridj
The heavily urbanized San Gabriel Valley in the LA metro is serviced by—amongst a few public transit agencies, including the county's system, Metro—the privately operated Foothill Transit. Foothill also runs commuter bus lines to/from downtown LA.
I’ve been using the Seattle public transit over 7 years to mostly commute to downtown, it has been a good experience.
I hope Elon Musk can get his tunnels with electric vehicles going and remove most of the problems with our current transportation systems. By taking the shortcut of making using a car a moral failing, instead of the negative externalities of car use, we end up condemning a great tool that just needs improvement to remove its current negative aspects.
With an automatic system of vehicles you can build a tunnel/track and can put into the system any size vehicle you want. One passenger, two, three, ten, twenty, one hundred. What is the difference between a car, or a bus, or train anyway in this system? Without a driver needed you can have vehicles of any capacity.
Likewise, “flexibility” is precisely the issue here. Why should a train carrying 800 people have effectively the same priority as a car that carries one, maybe two or three people?
I know that it’s tantalizing to think that cheap tunneling can solve this issue, but you are just outsourcing the fundamental problem that traffic exists because people want to go places.
A good example is going to the airport. People need to get off, unload their luggage, and there’s only one place you can do it, at the departures terminal. No amount of self-driving is going to solve the problem that the transport vehicle needs to stop, let these people off with their luggage, and start again.
Three buses, 40 feet long, on 26,400 feet of road. Only 0.45% of the road is utilized. 99.55% of the bus lane is being wasted.
It would be smart to keep the road below the point of saturation, where it declines in utility for everyone, but demanding that 99.55% of it sit empty is certainly not an efficiency-minded position.
At least go approximately by how many people can use it in a given amount of time, at what cost, to get people from their trip start to their destinations.
Lets not even get started on the additional considerations for transport logistics (where you park, fill up, what you block via each option, who pays), because at the very least you first need to understand the notion of throughput rather than vehicle density :\
Great! Then you will not ever point to parking space to claim that cars are inefficient, and will join me in calling out people that do?
>at the very least you first need to understand the notion of throughput rather than vehicle density
Yes! And although a road packed with buses has higher throughput than a road packed with cars, in practice our choice is between a road packed with cars and a road which sees a bus every 10-20 minutes. Since each bus has 8800 feet to itself to carry 45 passengers, each passenger can actually have 195 feet to themselves at breakeven. The bus route with realistic headways has much lower throughput than heavy private car traffic. Although I agree, it would be nice to see wall-to-wall buses with multiple buses stopping per minute.
(Obviously all of this is crude since at some point stopping and starting at red lights, and waiting for pedestrians before turning, becomes a major concern).
People don't like taxes either :) Boring is expensive, boring more is more expensive. And to achieve the same throughput of people you'll need something like forty times the number of lanes; just imagine trying to get all these cars entering and leaving the tunnel the same time as a single bus: http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3662/3398936283_f32ac7d42a_o....
An alternative would be to have trains with platforms with regular seats, and platforms for transporting cars (like Amtrack's Auto Train, but open). Then people willing to pay for the extra space could do so.
Boring is expensive. That is why Elon Musk wants to develop new systems and thinks a factor of ten in cost reduction is not to hard, with smaller tunnels being the biggest easy gain.
With your cars on trains idea you almost get what I am saying, but why do you need the cars to go onto trains? Just get the vehicles to run close together and you have the density of a train. Imagine a tunnel with cars going at 100mph and 40ft of space per car. One gets a rate of 13200 cars per hour. BART at peak does about 60,000 people per hour. If you mixed this tunnel with buses and cars with various amounts of people in them you could get a great throughput. Like you said, charge by the total space taken up by the vehicle. Bus rides pay a $1 each while the single person in a huge car pays $20. You don't need taxes. People will pay for transportation, just not many want to pay for others peoples transportation.
Cities have a lot of their value in allowing millions of people to potentially interact with millions of others. Restricting when and where people can meet really diminishes the vitality and value of the urban life.
The Big Dig in Boston cost $14 billion, but some estimates put it at more like $22 billion when all is said and done.
So if you run your big cars through the tunnel for twenty years, you'll pay for one small tunnel.
But fine, Musk can get it down to 1/10th - but the Big Dig is 3.5 miles, and you need to effectively replace highways. Unless everyone in their big car pays up front for decades of highway use (this is HN, so maybe we can use an ICO, why not), you're going to need cash up front - the kind of cash that governments that want their constituents to live in a nice place and prosper therein are willing to provide.
(Someone double check my math and assumptions, please, I'm neither a civil engineer, nor a city planner, nor an economist.)
Trains - or Elon Musk's "skates" - allow you to use existing cars, without having to wait for the whole fleet to go electric and self-driving, but sure, in the future they could not be needed.
An advantage that does hold even for future cars is saving their batteries for outside travel.
You could give each person a comfortable chair and 5 square feet of desk space and you'd still be vastly more space-efficient than a bunch of cars.
e: I could see it working if the self-driving ride-share fantasy ever becomes reality. Right now everyone owning their own car wastes too much space.
What happens to surface streets with the electric car tunnels? Are the tunnels a supplement or a replacement?
Automatic vehicle systems today could easily run in a tunnel or other highly controlled road today. Small and large vehicles (cars and buses) could both use such a system. This would be a mass transit system that could work for everyone.
Sure, if the 50 people on the bus all buy used beaters you'll probably come out ahead, but once you start thinking about the real cost of the land in big cities needed to park those 50 cars it gets expensive real fast, and that's before factoring in extra load on the road system and other externalities.
[1] https://londonist.com/2013/05/new-bus-for-london-cost-reveal...
[1]https://www.thoughtco.com/bus-cost-to-purchase-and-operate-2...
With enough tunnels traffic congestion disappears. Unless for some reason you think people should just not be able to move around when they want to, this would be great.
It is a moral failing, but moralising rarely works; better to make drivers pay the true costs of car use (in particular, making sure they pay a fair price for the land they're taking up) and let them decide whether it's worth it for them.
It's possible to get incrementally better though. LA is building more and more metro lines, because they're working.
> Maybe some other way of city living can be a great also. Let humanity try it out. There are lots of cities in the world.
Building in a sprawling, car-oriented way has been tried though, and it's resulted in cities that aren't very nice to live in. At what point do we draw a line under it and say the experiment has failed? I'm all for having city design experiments, but at some point we have to put those experiments into practice and use the results to create more livable cities.