The Facebook Lawsuit: Everybody Calm Down and Remember Your 1L Contracts Class
abovethelaw.com
abovethelaw.com
http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1537158
http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1510528
[1]Which, as a side note, drives home just how much better HN is than most other places on the internet, we got lengthy analyses, almost everywhere else was overrun with re-phrasings of "Oh boy Zuckerberg's fucked now!".
Investors in Facebook should have the concept of "due diligence" applied to them. Trading in pre-IPO stock is not and should not be safeguarded like regular equities or FDIC insured bank deposits.
Ultimately this is Zuckerberg's fault, and any settlements from this case should be paid from his assets.
I think it all rests on whether or not the statute of limitations started ticking before July 2004. According to New York Civil Practice Law & Rules - § 213, which I believe is pertinent to the case, it mentions "two years from the time the plaintiff...could with reasonable diligence have discovered it".
If Ceglia exercised his right to those shares so early in the stage, those people could have easily been poached by Google or started another company.
Just because Peter Thiel and other investors valued it highly doesn't make it so. Would you agree with his investment in largely failed Friendster? No one should be beholden to imaginary valuations by pre-IPO investors who have a higher tolerance for risk.
Surely the value of the company's shares is however much investors are willing to pay for them?
Fortunately, this sort of issue (esoteric, complex and intractable to 30 second analysis by 24-hour news networks) tends to fade quickly from the headlines, so with any luck, we won't have to endure the idiotic platitudes of news anchors and their paid analysts for much longer.
He makes a fairly straightforward argument that it makes no difference that the contract refers to something as 'The Face Book'; if Facebook, the subsequent project and company are not what the contract is about then Ceglia does not have a claim to 84% of Facebook, Inc.
No one is claiming it's clear either.
Henry Blodget describes an aspect of the contract as 'crystal clear' and that's what the author is commenting on.
Now, maybe you disagree with the author's analysis but 'no insight at all' and 'no one is claiming it's clear' are a bit of a stretch.
IF it's not an entire forgery: There will most likely be a large settlement here. The guy won't want to go through the legal troubles associated with the case since it will take years. He's not like Aaron or the twins, which saw more than just money in the case. Paul Ceglia wants his money. Facebook will also not want to go to court on this one as the PR drags out and there's a decent chance that something devastating could happen. The question is: What's the PR play? If FB settles for a large sum of money very quickly it will just add to the line of people that Mark "stole" the idea from.
There's also a chance that it's a forgery or gets thrown out on a technicality. Here's my somewhat logically, but still randomly decided likely outcome %s:
Facebook Settles For Large Amount of Cash: 45% The entire thing is a forgery: 25% It gets thrown out on a technicality: 30% Goes to court, Facebook loses (likely in 2012), devastation: 5%
The idea that not registering the domain name is some kind of proof that you aren't working on something sounds absurd coming from an obviously intelligent person. Maybe you could find a judge that is so technically unsophisticated to let that one fly, but the opposition won't.
I agree with the commenters that way that Paul Ceglia just wants his money. If he waited this long to attempt to grab a piece of Facebook, it seems unlikely he'd turn down a large settlement in return for a chance to fight Facebook's lawyers for the company.
(None of the above should be misconstrued as liking Facebook or Zuckerberg; I'd be pretty happy to see the privacy nightmare that is Facebook disappear, even if some more-or-less innocent people lost money. I just don't think dislike of Zuckerberg alone is enough reason.)
Let's see how this goes out :-)
I'd still rather have a million dollars than some righteous indignation.