On a positive note, as a piece of science fiction, this was an enjoyable read!
On a positive note, as a piece of science fiction, this was an enjoyable read!
>"if we don't figure out AGI safety now, by the time AGI happens it may be too late"
The keyword for me is "happens". It's as if technology ever happens, or emerges serendipitously. It's like the Kurzweilian exponential law which make it seem as if there is no agency in technology, a natural law. And our role in it is make sure when the aliens or the gods arrive we are prepared for them.
Quite a lot has been written about what scientific work needs to be done. These papers try to summarize possible research directions:
But for AGI (which is what Tegmark talks about), there's no good way to get a handle on safety yet (other than working towards figuring out AGI).
As for MIRI's agenda, I don't buy that it will help with AGI safety at all. There are a variety of reasons for that, some of which are discussed in the piece I linked above.