After the check is gone: The underground economy of rural America
washingtonpost.com
washingtonpost.com
I survived this long on a partial pension from my job, a large savings since I lived frugally, and occasional assistance from others. My health has worsened, problems and needs have piled up, the occasional assistance has tricked off mostly, and I have no hope.
Most people ignore me, some give useless advice that makes them feel like they did something, and nothing changes. In the end it comes back to victim blaming and me not trying hard enough. People who have health, security, and lives and cannot imagine what it's like to live in so much pain and have no real options love to judge.
I have tried and considered all the usual advice like "learn to code" or "just do content writing" that comes along to disabled and isolated people. At my age and with the stability issues I have it's not realistic. People don't seem to get that. I should be getting assistance but this country doesn't do it like the rest of the first world so I am expected to suffer more just to stay alive in pain. I am moving abroad to a cheaper country to try and stretch my pension but I won't survive there either without earning and I cannot find any feasible way to earn that doesn't make things worse. Seeing people talk about people like me here in terms of "usefulness to society" enrages me. I served society...I did good in the world...that life was stolen and society rejected me. We are legion.
I cant help you in any way, much to my own discredit, but if you want someone to speak to, or if you ever feel like sharing publicly, I'd be interested.
Side note, where are you moving to?
I have told my story in forums many times and it never got me anywhere but more exposed and depressed so I don't feel comfortable giving too many details...though I sort of laid out the basics in another post. My situation is common but the details are unique so I'd not be hard to ID and feel more vulnerable.
No need to apologize for not being able to solve it...the fact you would if you could speaks to your character. My anecdotal evidence is the majority just don't care until it is them.
When I did it I met other teachers from every conceivable walk of life, some with a situation that sounds similar enough to yours. It's the most realistic way that someone down on their luck can "start fresh" in this day and age (IMO). Good luck.
If I am ever going to earn it has to be remote and flexible but I just dont have the skills or stability etc to learn them so far. I've tried "DIY learn to code various things" sort of ideas before but something always interrupts it and I suck at it frankly. Then I read how old and inflexible people cannot get hired for anything and I get even more down. I have not heard a new idea that seemed workable in so long I cannot remember.
You say you don't have skills, but at the least you write and presumably speak good grammatically correct English. You might also have at least a little bit of still relevant domain knowledge from your previous career - it may not get you in the door in that industry, but it may open doors in related ones.
If you hate America, vote capitalist, randean individualism.
I made an account just to comment on this issue after lurking for a long time but it's surely just another pointless action because it's the same story over and over. Empathy is not common.
I used to be a republican. Or Libertarian. Blame my parents, as I do. They're dyed-in-the-wool republicans/christians, where if you have bad happen, you must have deserved it. So they dont help because you should be able to rescue yourself.
One of their most shameful moments was how horrible they talked of welfare. They qualified for it years ago, and made a big point of pride that they never took it. It to them was this huge badge of shame.
So when I had really bad times, I did take it. And instead of hiding, I said so on Facebook. Boy, my parents hated that. Pity, cause I didnt care. And that it did help me get back up.
> In the end people care about themselves and if you challenge their just-world view by suffering in front of them, or make them feel bad or guilty, they attack. The sad part is for those people nothing will change it but being forced into despair themselves and then it's too late for both of us.
Indeed. Most in this country will never see that. Or they are that, and they'll never be here to say so. Hell, even the "richies" here in HN have had many discussions about it. And one idea that is mentioned is to sell services to them - and its summarily shot down. Why? "There's no money in helping poor people. They don't have money."
> I made an account just to comment on this issue after lurking for a long time but it's surely just another pointless action because it's the same story over and over. Empathy is not common.
We're around. We aren't popular, especially around here. People who focus on empathy simply cannot become capitalists. Because they have to make decisions that preserve human-ness over money, which is completely antithetical to the idea of Venture Capitalism, Capitalists, Big Business, Disruption, and on and on.
There are, of course, token projects that try to show that this class of people care, but in all seriousness, when I stop seeing a fistfull of dollars to X project for "UBI" and briefcases of dollars to lobbying, I'll know that equation has changed.
The key to the exploit is at the heart of the core gameplay mechanic, which is that every transaction in capitalism is a codec that decimates the complex history and state of the values and liabilities of a good or service down to a single number- the price.
So hiding the abuses of others is one of the many exploits you can hide in the compression artifacts of this global codec. The key workarounds for the exploits in scalar money commerce come in the form of laws, regulations, and investigative journalism. These are all extremely high-latency, low-reliability workarounds.
Scalar money commerce was invented as a low-tech, distributed hack to solve the complex barter chain problem. It worked, but it always had issues, and it didn't scale well.
We need to evolve beyond this primitive system of commerce that decimates everything to a single number at each transaction to one that journals state with long vectors of information tracking millions of dimensions of value and liability, and that uses more sophisticated game design and graph algorithms to solve complex barter chain problems.
The common thread is empathy and a desire to help those less fortunate.
Blue Blood Democrats pushed Bernie off the national stage attempting to elect Hillary Clinton, leaving the disadvantaged to only vote for the candidate who offered to champion their cause (Donald Trump). I don't fault most Trump voters one bit. The superior option they had was scuttled by a power hungry candidate who lost to the worst candidate for presidency ever.
> But with their embrace of white nationalist policies and rhetoric, I think you see a lot of liberals feeling like they don't have the energy to care about all of the powerless people in this country and, instead, are focusing what limited resources they have on trying to help other oppressed groups (minorities, undocumented immigrants, etc.)
Which causes conservative America to double down on conservatives in office. Wash, rinse, repeat.
EDIT: "Undocumented immigrants" are not citizens being oppressed; they are illegally in the country and should be deported unless covered under DACA (having arrived in the US as minors).
What the DNC did in last year's primary was shameful, but...
> leaving the disadvantaged to only vote for the candidate who offered to champion their cause (Donald Trump)
Laughs...he never championed their cause. He told them all their problems were because of minorities and that he'd return the country to a time of bigotry and racism where things would magically be better because they were white. He's since taken the office of The President and used it to try to screw over poor whites in every way imaginable and tried to placate them by making it even worse for minorities. It's hard to blame under-educated people for falling for Fox News propaganda, but you still can't deny their complicity in enabling their own situation. What they did in the general election to defeat Hilary they could have done in the Primary to support Bernie. They didn't.
This stance is part of the problem.
https://www.google.com/search?q=bring+jobs+back+trump+youtub...
https://www.google.com/search?q=trump+coal+jobs+youtube
https://www.google.com/search?q=trump+carrier+jobs+youtube
He promised the disadvantaged he'd get their jobs back from Mexico and China, he promised to bring coal jobs back. Whether he did those things or not doesn't matter. That's what he promised.
> It's hard to blame under-educated people for falling for Fox News propaganda, but you still can't deny their complicity in enabling their own situation. What they did in the general election to defeat Hilary they could have done in the Primary to support Bernie. They didn't.
I don't blame undereducated people. I blame people who care more about illegal immigrants than the disenfranchised citizens suffering in poverty in the US. I blame urban liberals who have no comprehension of the plight the poor in the US are suffering through. I blame upper management of the Democratic Party, who rigged the nomination (along with super delegates) against Bernie Sanders, and I wish nothing but terrible, terrible things on those people.
EDIT: Hillary Clinton is nowhere to be found after her crushing defeat, and Bernie Sanders is still out there every day fighting for universal healthcare and other pro-citizen policies (alongside Elizabeth Warren). We suffered a terrible loss because of Clinton's vanity and pride.
Would you like to blame me?
But, from my perspective, I heard very little Trump say that would affect illegal immigration (his only proposal for that was to build a wall), but I heard lots of things that sounded like heavy bigotry to me. He wanted to ban muslims, ban refugees from the very places where the US instigates wars, and generally said a lot of vile stuff.
I may have taken it all a little too personally. Trump literally advocated for banning my future wife from the US. I'm too old for DACA, but when I tried to get a passport I discovered I didn't have paperwork to get a passport. Recent changes in laws mean our families literally can't visit each other, and we are discussing what to do.
On the other hand, I imagine some people would like their mother-in-law banned from the country. It would at least make a good joke for someone.
At least in modern times most losing presidential candidates stay pretty quiet for some time. Also, while I guess you can call it a crushing defeat in that she lost, I will note that she did win the popular vote by a margin of several million.
As for Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren it may be relevant that both are still in office.
All candidates promised jobs. Trump was promising jobs that either no longer really exist due to automation or are soon to be automated out of existence. Clinton and Sanders promised more forward-looking jobs without the racist overtones. It was obvious to anyone not watching Fox News which plan would be better for poor people in this country. When I said he never championed their cause, I meant he never championed the cause of the poor over the rich. He championed the cause of the white over the minority and immigrant. Sanders and Clinton were put forth visions to help the poor that were far more compelling. The problem is that those visions included black people and immigrants, so large swaths of the country dismissed them.
> I blame people who care more about illegal immigrants than the disenfranchised citizens suffering in poverty in the US
Illegal immigrants are human beings too and deserve every bit the consideration that citizens do. The same logic that you use to dismiss illegal immigrants can be used to dismiss poor people in fly-over states...they were born in poverty across some arbitrarily-drawn line and what moral obligation do we have to care for them? Well, if you believe that you have a moral obligation to care for one group, you have a moral obligation to care for the other as well. Arbitrary lines drawn on a map, whether delineating states or countries, don't change that.
> I blame urban liberals who have no comprehension of the plight the poor in the US are suffering through
You mean those same liberals that mostly voted for Sanders in the primary and Clinton in the general? Both choices were demonstrably in the interest of the poor people described in this piece. Those liberals you're blaming may not have experienced that sort of poverty (however some of us did...my mom was on welfare until I was 8 years old), but they absolutely have the interests of the poor in mind when they vote.
> I blame upper management of the Democratic Party
No arguments there...the DNC elites absolutely screwed over the country believing that no one could lose to Trump and that the demographics of this country had permanently shifted. They got their comeuppance but we're all suffering the consequences.
> Hillary Clinton is nowhere to be found after her crushing defeat
She did write a book about the election, but I think the election really pointed out just how damaging and counterproductive she and her crony wing of the Democratic party have been to progressive causes. That she's now out of the spotlight speaks more to being marginalized by those with actual elected office (like Sanders and Warren...none of them are asking her for her help) than it does to her lack of interest in trying to fix things. Too much of the country, including Democrats, hates her right now. I think there's almost universal agreement that we'd all like her to step away from public life and leave the future of this country to a new generation of politicians.
They deserve every hardship that gets them. Get screwed out of health care. Deserve it. Billionaires pocket tax breaks and then still get rid of jobs. Totally deserve it. Shitty schools for your kid, and you can't afford the nice private school even with the vouchers. I feel sorry for the kid, but the blame lies with the parents. Get fired for no reason and your union is gone. Well you wanted that right?
There is a lot of people who didn't choose this, and that is sad. The rest, they can shut up and enjoy the world they built.
They're not citizens being oppressed, but they are human beings being oppressed. They're often fleeing war-torn countries and, by definition, have taken a proactive action to try to escape their circumstances and the poverty that they were born into. Your lack of compassion for them whilst simultaneously descrying people's lack of compassion for similarly impoverished groups of citizens is hypocritical and borders on sociopathic. Citizenship and race are not a distinctions that have any moral standing. Suffering is suffering and either we have an moral obligation to help or we don't.
Personally, when I compare someone that's come to a foreign country and fights to get by doing under-the-table manual labor with someone with an opiate addiction on government assistance, if I have to draw the line and help one and not the other, I'm helping the one that's making a positive contribution to the country instead of leeching off the government and voting for Republicans. I feel compassion for the plights of both groups, but if there are limits to everything and I've got to be pragmatic, well, I'm not spending my limited bandwidth caring about West Virginia. The Guatemalans fleeing the drug violence that's only engulfed their country because of the addictions and failed drug policies of the US are where I'm going to focus more of my compassion. They are the ones that I see on a daily basis and who's humanity is much harder for me to ignore.
Citizenship is artificial, especially in an era where companies will ship jobs to wherever offers the cheapest labor. Suffering is universal, whether it's the Central Americans that are living in poverty in California, the Syrian refugees that I saw begging in the streets of Malaysia during my time there or the opiate addicts of West Virginia. And I have very little patience for people who try to draw a line between Americans and foreigners because suffering is somehow the normal state of being for brown people.
All humans deserve pity. A country has limited resources, and must collectively decide (by its citizenry) how those resources are spent. Citizenship entitles you to a vote. That's democracy!
> Why are you the one that gets to decide that citizens of a state that voted for the treatment they're receiving are more deserving of our help and compassion than illegal aliens in our own states?
See democracy above. Citizenship entitles you to decide the direction, actions, and fate (ideally, not always) of your country.
> Citizenship is artificial, especially in an era where companies will ship jobs to wherever offers the cheapest labor.
Clearly citizenship is not artificial if we're arguing the merits of it, and people who don't have it want it, and are willing to break the law for a close substitute.
Good chat. We don't agree, but I enjoyed the discussion. Its always helpful to explore other viewpoints. Everyone wants to see the world a better place, its just the routes we argue over.
We've all come to understand that politicians are mostly liars. And I think Trump represented what was seen as a break from the mold because he seemed authentic. He said things that you're not "supposed" to say, he acted in a way you're not "supposed" to act. In general, he seemed to be being a person and not a politician. He made lots of promises as all politicians do, but I think his behavior being far outside of the mold gave people hope and optimism that he was being genuine - that he would actually fight to bring jobs back, work to curtail foreign competition for what jobs there are, and so on.
Sanders similarly broke the mold of a politician. Polls show socialism focus tests somewhere near the apocalypse, yet Sanders openly called himself a democratic socialist. And he talked about many things that have become completely taboo in politics including the corrupting influence of banks paired with a completely myopic monetary policy, single payer healthcare systems, corporate tax avoidance (something Trump also hit on), and more. He said things you're not supposed to say, and so I think we also viewed him as breaking the mold of a politician - and being somebody that might genuinely work to do the things he is talking about.
The behavior you're describing is why it's particularly tough for the two sides to ever see eye to eye. Imagine you were one of these disenfranchised poor living threadbare and barely getting by ever since the day you were born --- and the national discussion was on how to try to treat individuals who came into the country illegally better. That sort of thing breeds resentment. That resentment in turn is then characterized as racism. And that perceived racism in turn denigrates their own position even more, which results in even more empathy for immigrants leading to even greater resentment, and so on. It's a vicious cycle.
I wish there 'domestic exchange programs.' Have a substantial number of individuals living in one side of the bubble temporarily join a family living on the other side. I think peoples' eyes would be opened if they could see we all really just want the same thing - and that's a better life for the people. The only thing we disagree on is how to get there. But somehow in this process instead of seeing eye to eye we've instead characterized those that disagree with us as something less than rational humans capable of being swayed. And as both sides refuse to communicate to the other sides rationally this sort of inhumanity becomes a self fulfilling prophecy.
I didn't see as much of a political problem as I saw a human problem.
There seems to be a small but vocal "ayn rand" crowd mired in cynicism on this site. Somehow that if everyone "worked hard", we'd all be successful. That is true to some extent but there are only a limited number of seats in the "successful" table.
There was a story on hackernews about a scientist who did nobel prize winning work but had to drive buses for a living.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15422928
There is a lot more to success than the individual. The environment and opportunities available have a lot more to do with success than the individual.
Accepting that people can fall into poverty through no fault of their own is a crushing reality, as one would also have to accept that it can happen to them at any moment. Many choose to believe the comfortable lie rather than the uncomfortable truth.
When CO & WA legalized recreational use they followed the liquor industry producer/distributor/retailer model. This explicitely provided for large scale commercial production. By 2014-15 wholesale prices had dropped to $2000/lb or so. Today I think wholesale is down around $1000/lb on the west coast. In some shops retail prices are $1250-1500/lb.
In short, yes prices have dropped precipitously in the past few years. And Id expect further decline as large commerical operations continue to grow in well regulated states. Small personal grows will still be strictly profitable. But the small "family business" black market operations are being squeezed quite hard.
Caveat, numbers from memory and im not in the business myself.
When I lived in West Virginia, I did note that the Washington Post had a weird fascination with the place. Whenever things got slow, you could expect some big exposé about what a bunch of uneducated, dirty bumpkins we were.
WaPo even once held a contest to come up with a new slogan for West Virginia when it didn't like seeing "Almost Heaven" on the license plates. The winner was "Almost Haiti."
Plenty of people have no idea that there are people living like this in America.
Somehow America's dirt poor aren't as exciting or trendy as the exotic overseas dirt poor.
It's not that poverty is exciting. It's that abject poverty in the richest country on Earth is shocking and goes against assumptions people had as correct since ever.
What the hell? How can this be? I'm trying to think of something constructive to say here but the situation is so outrageous that I don't know where to start.
This is a guy in his mid-30's who has only ever visited a place with more than 10,000 people once, so his entire perception of what it's like in urban America is based off of the salacious news stories he reads online.
edit/ My point is simply that being sheltered isn't a unique experience based on where you live or the population center you're living in.
"And when that happens, they come to buyers such as Vance who dry and resell the roots to processors, which pulverize and resell them to natural-supplement manufacturers, which resell them as herbal products to retailers, which market them to health-conscious consumers."
To me, this is what the article was leading up to. The poorest Americans, the most vulnerable Americans, are breaking their backs (literally) and risking their lives (literally) with no benefits, while rich American are buying up the result for health products that may or may not have any real effect for them.
The real story here is that a significant portion of Americans have enough to money to essentially light it on fire on a regular basis while another significant portion is trying to stop from getting kicked off of SSDI.
I remember when Ehrenreich's Nickle and Dimed came out and it got all this press. I was dumbfounded. People needed a book to let them know that it is hard to survive on a minimum wage job?
It wasn't particularly well written, but it got a fair amount of press - because it reaffirmed people's "gumption and bootstraps" American philosophy, where hard work is the solution to everything, regardless of context or circumstance.
Of course a white 20 year old can get hired. Of course he has the time to walk an hour to his job and work there for 12 hours since he has no children or elderly relatives to take care of. Of course he can move furniture, since he's young and healthy. Of course he can get a job without a criminal record.
Is it unreasonable to expect this level of effort out of any 20yo who's options are "be poor" or do this?
Not being white and having a criminal record aren't going to stop you from making ends meet. They just make it harder to proceed upward after that point.
It's totally not, but the book presented him as a ambitious go-getter who pulled himself up by his bootstraps. I wish I remembered the damn book's name.
Also, the level of poverty covered in the article is pretty extreme. I grew up in a low income area but it was not difficult to find some way to make 15-20k a year. My neighbors were no where near as poor as the woman highlighted in the article.
https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/02_econ...
Many other reports corroborate these findings.
Yet, when someone does write an article, it's seen as offensive.
Is there a right way to report on what's going on?
It's pretty ridiculous reading articles from coastal media that covers other parts of America as though it were a strange, foreign land, full of unfamiliar customs.
Or maybe that really is how the NY/DC/SF/LA ruling class feels?
To people outside the region covered, it is a strange, in many ways foreign, land, full of unfamiliar customs.
So is, say, California to outsiders; including New Yorkers, the idea of a culturally homogenous bicoastal society is a myth made up to sell a boogeyman to Middle America.
While it is a popular slogan, West Virginia has never had "Almost heaven" on its license plates. The slogans on license plates have been "Mountain State" (in all caps) and "Wild, Wonderful".
I'm not a socialist, but the contrast between this and gold-plated Trump Tower is almost enough to make that sound appealing.
WashingtonPost has to generate content to make money.
https://www.strongtowns.org/journal/2016/12/6/best-of-2016-s...
https://granolashotgun.com/2016/08/15/suburban-poverty/
https://granolashotgun.com/2015/03/30/affordable-housing-mau...
You know there's a difference between "give a man a fish" and "teach a man to fish", but what do you do when the fish are just gone?
It was mentioned in the article, but not extensively discussed. I think maybe the largest distinct segment of the economy in ex-coalcountry regions is now pharmaceuticals, legal and illegal. There's the legal root and mushroom hunting, which go into supplements, but a large fraction of the people are growing marijuana, psilocybin mushrooms, collecting sassafras root bark for MDMA cooks, and reselling their prescription opioids, in addition to the older traditions of moonshining and tobacco cigarette smuggling.
And everyone is on social security disability. If all you ever knew is coal mining, that's your condition that prevents you from finding gainful employment. If you need to see what happens with bare-bones basic income, that's it. The whole community barely scrapes along, and everyone has to do some niche hustle to earn their gas money a dime at a time. If you threw out the penalty for working, most of those people would be doing something productive, even if it's manufacturing ugly tchotchkes to be sold in a tourist trap, because whatever it is would give them beef in their stew instead of just barely enough gas in the tank to keep going.
I spent several years during and after university hitchhiking all around the world. After seeing most of Europe, Asia, South America, and Africa, I had a general idea of what kind of people are driving around during the day. And then I traveled across the USA .
It turns out that benefits cheats are a very distinct category there in a way they aren’t a thing in most other countries (even Canada). With so many of my drivers, conversations would go like this: "So, what do you do?" "I’m on disability.” "Are you disabled?" "No, but I fool the government into giving me a cheque". They had nothing better to do during the day than drive around, though I have no idea how how they could afford petrol.
> If you threw out the penalty for working...
Indeed, basic income might be a better solution. It would let people claim benefits and work. And people would no longer have to be lying and deceitful to get their money; the prevalence of that kind of behaviour must have some spiritual impact on the community and trust in government. On the other hand, unlike certain countries that heavily fund culture in rural areas so that perpetually unemployed people have libraries and theatres and regional chamber orchestras to spend their time at productively, people in the complete cultural vacuum described in the linked article would probably continue to act self-destructively even with basic income.
Britain did much the same thing after the decline of heavy industry. The number of disability benefit claimants trebled in 20 years, concentrated almost entirely in towns that used to have a mine, a steel mill or a shipyard. In some parts of the UK, over 20% of the working-age population are claiming disability benefits. Staff at welfare offices were effectively coaching people on how to claim disability benefits, because it helped them meet their performance targets.
Could you cite examples of what countries these are who pursue these policies for the stated objective of giving poor people things to do while not working? I've never heard of this as a policy objective before for subsidizing libraries and "culture", and I am very curious about how well it works.
Some argue that unions would help (they wouldn't), or anti-globalism would stop factories/industries from moving (maybe temporarily). The sad fact remains that industries are, to a degree, tied to regions, and people grow up depending upon those industries in those regions. Once the industry finds a lower cost mechanism to come to market, those dependent people are cut free.
Its the short term, profit focused mindset and all it brings that is a huge part of the problem. Note that I am a staunch capitalist, and I see this.
I don't have a solution to this. I wish I did. None of the political parties have anything close to a solution for this. Giving money directly to people may help for a while, but is likely to spark inflation, which will cause this to repeat in a few years.
I remember one of the political parties crowing about how they saved the auto industry in Michigan during the last major financial crisis. Funny, as I live there, and I remember one of the people who lives in my sub whose business was destroyed by this "saving" thanks to many long held overdue invoices at one of the car company's being zeroed out, coming to my front door, with his son to ask for help. Food specifically.
Foolish policies that do not contemplate consequences for actions, apart from the groups that the politicos favor, help decimate regions like this. Coal is evil as I've heard. And the people who mine it? They are the ones now suffering because, you know, its evil, and coal must die.
Every decision, every policy has consequences. There are never any easy solutions.
(edits to correct spelling/punctuation errors)
Yes, "forgiving debt" always sounds like a great idea from the debtors' perspective. Debt holds most people down for some period of their lives..
But the flip side is that for every debtor, there are lenders.
Those lenders give their money with some level of confidence that they'll get it back. When they don't, it's going to be an annoyance for the top few percent of companies and people who can take the loss.. and punish the middle who (in the best case) could have lent it for other investments or (in the worst case) destroy others won't be able to pay their employees and provide for their families.
Likewise, while they don't charge interest, contractors factor not getting paid for 90 days after work completion into their rates.
If you had a 100% guarantee of getting your money back next year, would you loan me all of your savings for this year? You will receive no other compensation for lending me this money.
If debts were never forgiven, maybe interest rates would be lower, but lenders are still providing a service for which an interest rate must be paid.
Unfortunately, nobody loans money at that rate. They always charge a premium.
That's why many contractors and SaaS platforms give a discount for paying up front. They'd rather have a smaller amount now than a larger amount over time.
I take it you are referring to Universal Basic Income. It would only cause inflation if the most of the goods in their basket of unmet needs were supply constrained. But those commodities (i.e household goods), are not supply constrained at all, due in no small part to industrial efficiency and globalization, so they likely won't experience inflation.
Scarce valuable goods and services, like education and housing in areas of high demand (not rural WV), would see inflation, but even that would be mitigated somewhat by a progressive UBI benefit.
> Foolish policies that do not contemplate consequences for actions, apart from the groups that the politicos favor, help decimate regions like this.
This is pinning responsibility on the Obama administration for the failures of an industry that mismanaged itself with short term thinking, kicked the can down the road, and in doing so set up a no-win collapse situation that the government had to clean up because the alternative was likely much worse. The time bomb was ticking regardless of the political scenario. The 2008 recession just sped up the clock a bit at the end.
We have GM today because of the bailout. You might argue we should have let it all go down in flames and hopefully something would take it's place, buy that process would arguably be even more damaging to the local economy.
Outside of places like San Francisco (urban areas with strong political resistance to redevelopment and geography which limits nearby alternatives), that's a tolerable approximation of truth only over very short terms, as increases market clearing costs for housing spur investment and (re)development elsewhere.
The downside in most of these areas now is that the employment market sucks. Consequently, you already tend to see a lot of people on fixed incomes, like retirees, living there.
What the good capitalist ignores is the extent to which workers become specialized at the firm, become a cog not shaped correctly for any other firm. Call this lack of fungibility. (It's one reason why company loyalty used to a) be a popular feature, and b) work both ways.)
The good capitalist also ignores the fact that the conditions that drove the firm away in the first place will generally drive away other firms, too. Company analysts think in herds. Consider the enormous cost to give up an employed work-force, since acquisition and maintenance cost for a large work-force is high. Why wouldn't a second firm, faced with the same inputs as the first, make the same decision as the first?
i don't know what we're going to do with those people, but it seems likely that a lot of those towns will be completely gone in a generation or less.
Washtenaw County, just to the west, is also high on both of those measures.
Wayne County (where Detroit is located) is middle of the pack on those measures, not at the bottom.
Washtenaw County is likely up there because of the University of Michigan in Ann Arbor. The biggest hospital by gross revenue, third biggest by bed count is here, as are a whole bunch of research parks related to the automotive industry.
Whenever I visit at the surrounding metros in Michigan, places like Flint, Lancing, Grand Rapids, etc.. I can't help but agree with the joke.
That's a strawman. Coal isn't dying because it's evil. Thermal coal is dying because it can't compete with cheaper, more efficient natural gas generation.
To the extent that that is true; to the extent that these deaths aren't solely of coal workers (who therefore ought to be aware of the risks and to have bargained for commensurate wages+benefits); and to the extent that this is indeed an externality (i.e. neither the coal companies nor their customers pay anything for deaths caused by coal) ... then (a) coal is indeed evil, and (b) the industry ought to be politically pressured out of business, and when it goes out of business we all ought to say "good riddance".
Come to think of it, externalization of costs is, in general, a singularly evil state of affairs, even outside the coal industry. Perhaps humanity should work on fixing it.
Note that the Trump administration is now pushing to give coal massive new subsidies in the form of forced extra payments to coal-fired power plants. Also note that the money will be taken directly from us, the ratepayers; they will be charges added to our electric bills.
1. For example, the federal government has long arranged the bidding and royalty system in a way that ensures the lowest possible lease rates for coal mining, and coal companies are allowed to self-bond, so that when they go bankrupt, the public has to pick up the bills for cleanup and remediation.
2. See the TVA's recent coal ash disasters for a prime example of an under-regulated industry. Other examples abound.
The claim in the GP is _not_ that coal "is dying to political disfavor", the claim is that political disfavor of coal exists and is not helpful _to the people who used to mine it_, for whatever reason those people were displaced.
It really doesn't matter if coal is dying because alternatives are better or if it's the Illuminati doing it, because that doesn't change the fact that politicians are not doing anything to address the effects of it and in some cases are being explicitly callous towards people who used to be employed mining coal.
But one politician's ill-considered indulgence in the heat of a campaign does not make your case that "politicians are not doing anything" to help coal miners.
Quite clearly, the opposite is true. Coal miners are America's most fashionable symbol of blue-collar righteousness, and politicians on both sides of the aisle are tripping over each other to be seen "doing something" for them. In both state and national politics, this has given coal miners influence way out of proportion to their constituency, and far beyond that of any other jobless group such as former steel-workers or loggers or out-of-work retail store workers.
Invoking the bogeyman of coal-hating elites is nothing more than a way to keep a political football inflated.
Here's one link, you can find lots more:
www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2017/03/31/8-surprisingly-small-industries-that-employ-more-people-than-coal/
Coal gets a lot of attention because it's visible, distinctive, and I think a lot of people see it as a stand-in for any blue-collar job, i.e. the stuff that's all being automated or obsoleted out of existence.
I want to clarify that China is doing a great job being very protectionist about areas like social networks (WeChat) and search (Baidu) - making it impossible for the giants to compete.
If protectionism works, then maybe it's not that the US can't do it, but it simply doesn't work with our political model.
It is highly possible that in 50 years, people will talk about the failed model of democratic republics, whereas capitalist communism dominates.
For example, if we had universal health care I think many smaller companies would exist lessening the rust belt phenomenon.
Another example is the cost of additional real estate outside the city. Building costs in rural America are essentially linear with demand. There’s no shortage of land out there and basic income would allow people to live in such areas.
My point is that prices will rise and find their time dependent values, in a way that will diminish the purchasing power of those you'd be attempting to help. You give enough so they have some left over, and enterprising groups will realize that they can raise prices to reflect the larger purchasing power.
Economics 101 in this case.
[1] http://www.investopedia.com/financial-edge/0212/inflation-an...
[0] - http://www.in2013dollars.com/Milk/price-inflation [1] - https://ycharts.com/indicators/milk_price
Milk is subject to government price supports, including a mandate to purchase if market prices fall below a certain floor.
> My point is that prices will rise and find their time dependent values, in a way that will diminish the purchasing power of those you'd be attempting to help.
It's true to the extent that the long term effect of a fixed UBI will be less than you would expect based on prices at the time adopted and the inflation that net beneficiaries would experience without the UBI. This is mitigated if the UBI formula tends to grow in nominal terms (e.g., because it's tied to a revenue source which grows with the economy, or indexed to inflation) and, in any case, it requires unlikely assumptions about elasticity to have it not be a real net benefit to the nominal net beneficiaries.
Do you think that if everyone in that story got a $2k BI check that the huts they live in would continue to rent for $300? Doubtful - very doubtful.
Enable them to mobile, independent of UBI. Enable them to get food, health care (real stuff, not the obamacare crap[1]), job training, child care (if needed), relocation and housing assistance. Don't hand them money for these things (apart from UBI), but help them with a health card that handles medical/dental/etc. Give them a "credit" card that they can use with a set of well scrutinized vendors for relo/housing. Etc.
[1] when my $dayjob-1 died, I had to sign my family up for obamacare. About the same amount I paid for my old good plan. Much higher deductibles, covered almost no meds, little hospitalization. The thing needs to be fixed, not repealed. Fixing it is going to be hard as it was designed to fail and be replaced with single payer. So there is that.
Just pumping more money in will fix nothing. What is needed is for some massive non-profit entity to step in and provide basic goods and services at a known price. This then fixes the floor of the economy rather than continually trying to chase the roof.
the US is already subsidizing foodstuffs to attempt to address the problem from the supply side. it seems politically untenable though to wire that up to the demand side directly without sending it through some for-profit machinery somewhere. its basically communism.
I suppose another way would be to issue restricted local currencies and non-transferable coupons or vouchers. That has the added benefit of creating a lot of paper-pushing bureaucracy jobs.
Isn't one of the main goals of BI to eliminate the "need" for bullshit jobs, though?
And it isn't always about the money, either. Sometimes the petits Napoleons just need to lord the tiny bit of power they have over those who don't even have that much.
My cynicism is bleeding through. The US government has a tendency to just throw money at a problem instead of actually doing something to solve it. Failing that, they throw on a half-assed patch that is only funded well enough to partially address the unintended consequences of the check-writing fix.
The only realistic way to keep BI out of the pockets of rent-seekers is to pay it as the basic necessities rather than as cash. Nobody will raise your rent from 20# of corn to 30# of corn, but they sure will raise it from $200 to $300. And the best way to do that is to hire people to produce the necessities directly. But congress is skittish about doing anything that looks too much like communism. Hence the vouchers. So they can control how things get done without actually doing anything.
The point is that sellers may attempt to partition markets to reduce competitive pressure, allowing each to increase their pricing without worrying about being undercut.
The main issues are the collapse of coal and other higher wage resource extracting jobs, the take over of family farms by large corporations, and the fact that the majority of U.S. economic growth in the last 20+ years has been centered around very large cities. And it's pretty much impossible for people in these towns to get in on any of it since they don't have the networks, the skills, or the savings they would need to start from scratch in one of those cities.
Globalism has had a huge, positive impact on the ability of many rural populations to find work by allowing them to no longer be rural populations. Look at how the growth of outsourced manufacturing in China led to the largest migration in human history, as dirt-poor subsistence farmers were able to find better jobs in the cities. Similarly, European integration has allowed people from miserable places in rural Romania or Bulgaria to move to Spain or Germany for better jobs.
Even the people who stay in those rural places benefit, because prosperous people in the cities send money back home to their families. I get the impression that in the USA, however, people who have made a good life in the cities don’t send much money back home.
So you wind up in a situation where you're basically discouraged from working.
I remember going to the dentist when I turned 18, and I was stunned to see the bill. I'd never seen a medical bill in my entire life.
Move to where the fish are. The economy isn't terrible everywhere.
Maybe we should be helping people with relocation instead of enabling their miserable existence where they are.
Exactly what should they do?
Channeling Marie Antoinette is obviously not the right answer (e.g. moving to the jobs) as they are functionally immobile, and as the article notes, they are disabled.
Note: the above question is somewhat rhetorical. There is no real answer, or rather no easy answer. Basic income may help, or it may delay eventual help.
http://www.timesunion.com/7day-business/article/Trump-says-u...
They should be investing in their own caravan carts, rather than paying $300/month for just enough floor to throw down a mattress? Like Roma (Gypsy), Irish Travelers, or hoboes? Yes, those are all cultures valued well by the landowner class.
You can't solve a regional problem by depopulating the region. You'll just end up with the same problems in the neighboring region.
And in the metaphor, the fish are gone. As in extinct. Coal mining is dead. Natural gas extraction and green energy killed it. People still working in the industry are the isopods picking over the carcasses. Eventually, they will get down to the bones, and they too will have to find something else to eat.
Where do you suppose they would live? Under a bridge in San Francisco? Unless you are going to host them.
This is an old idea, and implementations of it almost never work. It's usually because there's some other facet of "the fish" that is difficult to replicate somewhere else, and people do the replicating in some cargo-cult fashion.
Why can they not expand their knowledge?
And if they truly cannot, then ...
What productive purpose can we possibly expect them to have? Or in other words: why should we evaluate them as non-negligible?
Why should I, or anyone, see differently?
> What's the value of 1 bedtime story read to a child?
Well, if we could perform a large study, starting during the participants' childhood, with half the children read X bedtime stories and the other half read X-1, and could somehow control for every possible source of confounding influence across the participants' entire lifetime, then we could see whether there is a statistically-significant difference in the two groups' distributions of net worth at retirement ... then we could begin to answer that question. (In order to get a complete answer, we would need to repeat that experiment for many different values of X and fit a curve to all the results.)
Needless to say, neither you nor I will be alive when that study is published, even if we are alive when that study becomes less-than-impossible to perform.
So today we can at 2nd-best say "not enough information", and at best make a slightly-educated guess of "it's likely negligible among all other influences on children".
> We are all going to die man, life is not about money and profit.
Even if I assume so, my experience is that life utterly sucks without the freedom imbued by money (which, incidentally, is obtained via profit).
Yet I also dispute your assertion to the core. Life is most definitely all about money and profit. Because (a) whatever you think life is about ... you will invariably need money to pursue that goal, and (b) unless you're a farmer or hunter or etc., you literally cannot live without it, unless you steal, which is unethical and criminal. (Under some governments, I'll grant, it is possible to not earn one's money; so the "and profit" portion is not as applicable. Still, even in such cases, someone earned it before having it stol- uhh, taxed from them.)
Oh, and because you're making this assertion, I can also tell that you have at least some modicum of money and profits; otherwise, you would not find this assertion so easy to make.
Back in '07 got laid off. Company shut down. Lots of us tried to scramble to get jobs, and all the quick low paying jobs filled up. I got into unemployment and started collecting the $207/week. And this, obviously, wasn't enough. It certainly didn't equal to the part that was taken out of my paycheck for "unemployment insurance".
2 weeks turned into a month. Which turned into months, then into a year. Then the '08 recession hit. I saw people with graduate science degrees working at McDonalds. There was no fucking way I could get a job, even with blanketing my resumes and filling out webforms that are never responded (Thank you for submitting your application. You will never hear from us).
And im still struggling with the $207/week. So I start hustling on craigslist, doing odd jobs. Of course I'm supposed to report this. Well, guess what.... I used this money to relocate myself to a better location, and got a job.
Ideally, if you make 1$ on unemployment, you are supposed to report it, and you get $1 less. And if you do work a low paying job, then you get worked to the bone for 30 hours, and get minimum wage which is $187 after taxes. And minus gas, minus lunch, and too tired to look elsewhere. So you hold out for a better one that can get you out of the hole.
Yeah, it's just a bad situation all around. And it turns everyone into criminals.
You were getting more than $207/week taken out of your paycheck for unemployment insurance? That's highway robbery!
The point of unemployment insurance is to cover things like this. And when the govt's law intentionaly blinds them to your previous payments, there definitely is something wrong.
Did I calculate exactly how much I paid in? No. But do 5 years of being paid reasonably well; I paid in plenty.
Why is this? How are these people expected to survive, if they are disabled to the point that they can't hold down a job, and aren't allowed to work without the risk of losing their disability payments? Busking? I know that's been one traditional job for disabled people over the centuries, but I feel like we should be able to do better.
If you can't stand for a long time, but can sit and work, you might get 30% disability.
Even at 100% it's not a lot of money, but I've heard it's enough to exist.
Or, if they are paying you a sort of salary under the understanding that you aren't fit to work, why is it below minimum wage when you demonstrably already have more problems than most people?
Edit: Okay, reading the article shines a bit more light on this, but it's still very confusing. I can't imagine having to navigate these systems without any resources. And even then:
>This means recipients receiving the maximum $735 check can earn up $1,555 per month and still be eligible for a disability payment.
The maximum is under $9K/year? That is not a living wage for someone without disabilities.
So the people who receive low disability payments are mostly people who have never had a job, or have not paid much into Social Security. I believe the floor for disability is $750 a month. Which isn't really okay, but many people on disability make enough to live on, so poverty is not an issue for all recipients of disability.
How does health insurance/care work for these people? Do you automatically qualify for the government programs (MA?) if you are even partially disabled?
Some food subsidies via EBT or WIC.
The more 'entrepreneurial' folks can also sell their prescriptions, subsidize other's food purchases w/ the EBT card (in exchange for cash), and make/sell moonshine.
PBS viewers may know it as Onslow Syndrome.
I think there are solid ways to help people but that usually means investment in them, rather than increased dependence on the system. I'd gladly chip in for this lady to get a solar panel and battery, or a waterless toilet, or microhouse, or access to cheaper fuel.
There's some pro-liberty stuff that would be great for the working poor:
* less emissions laws on vehicles - it'd be cheaper to make fuel efficient vehicles at the expense of some NOX emissions
* fewer zoning laws - it'd make micro housing more accessible
* fewer renewable energy laws / less protectionism on solar - make off-grid systems more appealing
A $10k investment in this lady's life would dramatically alter it. It would give her a toilet, better housing, and energy.
Conversely, giving her an extra $100 or so per month might just go to beer and cigs so she can deal with how crappy her life is and doesn't really give her enough to get ahead.
And that line about her brother having a quadruple bypass is icing on the cake. How much do you think we spent on that? 120k? We should keep the expenditures the same but give people a choice on how to spend it. Maybe the brother would have rolled the dice with Indian quality of care (i.e a 10k surgery) and split the savings with him - give him 50k cash for saving public money.
There are some people who would turn a lump sum into self-sufficiency. There are some people who would turn a lump sum into an overdose/bender.
I think we should take the total welfare budget and let people compete for using it the best. I think the best KPIs for welfare are 1) poverty reduction 2) violent crime reduction 3) QALY increases.
If a charity can demonstrate better results than say a county, the charity should get more money.
What isn't cost effective is giving a guy a titanium leg but such a bad quality of life that he would pawn his titanium leg. Don't you think there's a better allocation of money in that guy's life?
Look at what people do with tax returns. They spend it on big items that they couldn't justify budgeting and saving for otherwise.
Most of the time, the issues aren't making the car pollute an illegal amount (or at least not usually), they're just making the car pollute more than it was certified to pollute (or the issues make it impossible for the car to verify that it's polluting the right amount).
And there's no Cost-Benefit analysis done for people. My grandma had to pay $3k to get her car fixed, she drives 20 miles/wk. IT would have been much cheaper for her just to buy offsets but that's not permissible. However, when Jeep builds gas guzzlers, they can just buy credits from Tesla and Toyota so the DOT doesn't fine them.
Even if her car is polluting more, it's polluting as much as I was when I was commuting 100 mi/day.
I live in a city that despises car pollution, but the traffic light timing really stinks and I"m sure that there'd be less pollution if they made the system work better. They want me to drive a hybrid, I want them to do the job I"m paying them to do: take care of the fundamental infrastructure.
Some states (mostly costal states) have rules that vehicles have to be inspected regularly. Some states inspect vehicles for safety reasons, other states inspect vehicles for emissions compliance, and a few states look for both.
It's well intentioned, but the checks leave something to be desired. In some states, a check engine light is an automatic fail regardless of whether or not the rest of the car is okay to drive. As the parent comment mentioned, it can be really expensive to fix check engine lights.
I have a car hobby and one guy I know spent like 30 hours diagnosing / repairing his 2000 Honda minivan to fix the check engine light. He tried to get a waiver, his car was producing a legal amount of emissions, but he couldn't get the check engine light to clear until he replaced a fuel pressure regulator - it's a total crock of crap. He's an older guy who only used the van to pick up his grandkids after school.
He couldn't get the minivan certified, so he had to pick up his kids in his pre-emissions car or else run the risk of a ticket he couldn't afford.
In this case, the law coerced him to drive kids in a car without seat belts or any emissions equipment than a safe car with a check engine light. IMO the laws are total failures.
You're asking the emissions testing people to: believe that random guy X is going to keep his car, that he's only going to use it for one short trip a day, that the check engine light only means one thing, that it's within legal limits despite the check engine light being on, and on and on and on.
You're asking them to make an exemption--or somehow modify the laws to account for "Grampa says he will only drive short distances"--on a whole host of things they have no way of verifying or even knowing, and that makes the laws total failures?
I guess I can't see how you're proposing that vehicle emissions be regulated at all, if "this car hobbyist says..." and "grampa says..." are relevant factors in determining the road-worthiness of a car.
Because the conversation in the right hasn't been about what policies are the best, it has been about getting rid of the government.
Most right wingers you would talk to (IRL - not on the internet that skews libertarian) are interested in cost effectiveness. Some of them say the current levels of 'quality' are alright and we should find ways to reduce the costs. Others say that we're spending enough but not getting good enough results.
I'd be fine with spending a lot more in welfare if the results were better. However, I would disagree with many left-wingers on what good results are. I think left wingers' ideal welfare state would be like a magical feeding trough, my ideal welfare state is one that invests in people so they can the State and humanity to the best of their abilities - if they stop serving the State and humanity, I think that merits less investment. A person who helps the less fortunate is more deserving of welfare than someone who plays WOW full time because they like crushing noobs.
I have no tolerance for young men who play video games in their parent's basement. If they have a disease, I'd chip in to help treat them. If they're just lazy, then that's on the parents who enable them. I'd also be concerned about pretending their personal failures are medical problems - which is one of the reasons I'm mostly opposed to SSI/SSD.
For people with gumption, we should try to find a way to make them productive. My pet proposal is to give these people priority for government jobs. DMV clerks can't such much more, we could at least give it to someone who's down on their luck. For people without gumption, I think we should put them on a nice beach and make sure they have food and access to basic health care.
The empirical evidence would suggest the opposite:
https://static01.nyt.com/images/2013/01/16/us/politics/16fiv...
https://static01.nyt.com/images/2013/01/16/us/politics/16fiv...
In any case, the largest area of spending growth has been social and entitlement programs, even if one excludes veterans-related social spending and controls for the effect of demographic changes on entitlement outlays.
Who set up that deal? How did they get a certificate of occupancy without a toilet?
Consider this person: https://news.ycombinator.com/threads?id=hestipod
> I made an account just to comment on this issue after lurking for a long time but it's surely just another pointless action because it's the same story over and over. Empathy is not common.
Three (at this time) comments that seem to be very relevant to this topic and discussion, yet all [dead].
> Most people ignore me, some give useless advice that makes them feel like they did something, and nothing changes.
Indeed.
That's not quite right. These comments were killed by anti-spam software. When this happens to legitimate accounts we rely on the community to vouch for them or email us at hn@ycombinator.com.
I find that this is a good balance to keep the well-written comments that add to the discussion and deserve a second chance.
I thought all three were well-written and illuminating.
At the moment, two of the three are no longer dead.
..."went to the already-crowded Dollar Store and Dollar General and bought dog food, dog treats, Slim Jims, three six-packs of Milwaukee’s Best, pruners for digging roots and a backpack to carry it all."
I have been on the poverty line, I'm damn close to being there again. You have money for dog food and beer? Also earlier noted in the article smoking.
I'm not sorry to say, fucking pull your head in.
I have had to grow my own vegetables and cut lawns to feed my family (when I was 14!), None of us had money to mnoke, drink or have pets.
Oh you spent your day digging up roots? Why not plant something then?(if you're already stealing from public land, why not at least try and utilise it somehow?)
“I worked underground until I started having anxiety and I couldn’t stand to go back underground,”, I sure hope that doesn't deserve a disability payment, there are many more deserving than that. Shit I don't like underground either, doesn't mean I'm disabled, just means that I don't like the idea of that much mass over my head. I can still do other work.
My opinion on this piece is that the author was trying to pull heart strings without actually being objective.
I'm just guessing but the author may be referring to ginseng roots, which my low-income friends occasionally collect here in Appalachia. They could make hundreds of dollars in a single day.
Planted ginseng takes 2+ years until you can harvest it. I asked them about planting/cultivating, which they said wasn't really viable but they did try to harvest the wild ginseng in a sustainable way.
I argue that the author of the piece is either being dishonest(if they were regularly digging up ginseng or similar), not performing enough research or just plain not actually researching for his article.
(Although there was a part about how much the root purchaser had spent that day, and it does seem as if they had either purchased massively under market value(for ginseng), or the roots were all low value.
Also planting for sale is different than planting for consumption, a few dozen fast growing consumption based plants would have a much better outcome if you were concerned about health and saving money. It does take effort and planning though.
The bottom line is that, if the people in the article were mentally and physically able to do what they needed to do to get out of poverty, they probably would have done so already. But they aren't so they're stuck trying and failing to meet very basic needs.
I have been there, I grew up not knowing where each meal was coming from. I have lived next to and interacted with people who can't make logical decisions about what to do.
I have seen people pull themselves from there, to actually attain something worthwhile, (I'd like to believe I am one of those people), and I have seen and interacted with those who will use any excuse to avoid actually working, or bettering themselves.
So again, would you like to have a discussion about it? I'm more than willing.
I am disappointed about the downvotes without a good reason though, this is why we come to hn after all.
If Democrats want to change the current political landscape in this country, they might start by addressing some of these peoples' problems while they're campaigning on everyone else's problems too.
Trump (and conservatives) aren't going to do a thing for these people, but at least they mentioned them.
[1]: http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president/...
One of Trump's campaign promises was to cut back environmental and business regulations and get the coal industry rolling again. He actually did pull out of the Paris climate accord.
Is this the right approach? Will Trump's actions help these communities? I'm not sure. But it's simply not true that he's doing nothing about the issue.
https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2017/06/pruitt-...
(You can click through the links to see the raw data, but the article provides important context.)
The coal sector employs only around 50,000 people, so the added jobs represent a 2% increase. And it is unclear how much of that was a result of, or even encouraged by, Trump's policies. We do know one thing though: most of those jobs are being replaced by, or will soon be replaced by, natural gas mining jobs. Coal as a whole is a dying industry and cannot be "saved" by killing a few regulations.
For someone to have "done" something, I'd want to see some kind of difference in the before and after pictures.
I'm not sure coal can compete with fracking so the coal jobs are moot.
Coal is still cheaper (pre-regulations to kill the industry). Fracking is a response to a) offshore drilling restriction regs and b) OPEC raising its cost per barrel to the point where it becomes economically viable. Coal is even better, albeit a dirtier fuel, from a cost perspective. But it has been regulated into economic impracticality, by the previous administration.
OPEC tried to kill fracking, after their proxies in the US failed to get it turned off, by driving the price per barrel down to levels where it was economically infeasible to use fracking. However, they didn't count on technological development and newer field discoveries. Which actually enabled fracking to reduce the crossover to profitability point below where OPEC was aiming. While this was happening, we all enjoyed the benefit of competition and lower prices for fuel.
OPEC has since cried UNCLE and has given up this direction.
The point for coal being, that, had the regulations not been enacted, much of what is discussed in this story would not be the case. But they were enacted, because some people felt that their connection to the environment was far more important than other peoples livelihood. Yes, it really is that simple.
While I'd love to see us transition to cleaner tech over time, I recognize that there is economic momentum in existing energy tech. Losing this economic momentum means that we consign a non-negligible fraction of our neighbors to effectively an economic dustbin.
The rust belt was a prototype for this from an economic view ... it became less expensive to manufacture out of country, so we did. Manufacturing naturally flows to the lowest cost areas, to maximize profits and margins. Manufacturing employs large swaths of people who learn niche jobs, and aren't mobile to find new jobs, when old ones go away.
Generally speaking, you can't fight economics. You can distort it with regulations and taxes. But it will eventually settle on an equilibrium.
And karma is, as it were ... painful ...
> Coal is still cheaper...
This is only true when you socialize the long-term costs incurred by coal. Regulation is an attempt to push some of those costs back onto the companies that incur them, and then it turns out that coal isn't so cheap after all.
I suppose that since "regulation" is becoming a dirty word in politics, and especially with the influence from fringe libertarians, we could instead provide government-funded lawyers to sue any coal-producing company on behalf of any individual or community that can provide any evidence that coal production harmed them in some way. We could set up expedited courts for it and allow any coal-producing company to be litigated against even if they weren't directly responsible for the injury, and remove the other various loopholes that massive environment-exploiting companies use to make money at the expense of people's health.
Then, there wouldn't regulations, and coal would still be expensive.
It's a shame that the focus is on conservation - energy abundance is better for humanity.
There certainly are environmental (and human) costs associated with producing electricity from solar energy, but the costs between that and coal production and combustion are not exactly the same.
I hope there will be a day when the production of conventional PV will be a concession we're no longer willing to make because something even better has been developed.
In the meantime, in a discussion about the socialized costs of coal and whether that's being fairly factored into arguments about its price, I think "but solar..." is a bit of a red herring. Relevant, but only barely.
There are some Obama era regulations I support, there are many more that I don't support. You have to concede that coal ash is a big issue and mountain top clearing mining is a disaster on a small scale though we can argue about its merits.
My personal opinion is that we should plow all energy subsidies into nuclear fission power, fusion research, and basic science for batteries / capacitors. Build massive nuclear plants for each power grid and let the states bid on who wants the plant investment. People who want it can buy their own renewables.
To the extent that's true, she did an incredibly poor job of communicating it, and it was certainly not a visible, central theme of her campaign.
And, it probably didn't help politically (whether or not the association is warranted) that her husband also, in living memory of many voters, made similar promises tied to NAFTA, with little substantuve result in that area (and then cut pre-existing long-term safety net programs to rub salt in the wound.)
But for most people outside the beltway and campuses, the economy and their daily expenses were a more pressing issue.
Thus that the Democrats decides to hitch their horse with Clinton, even though her campaign focus seemed off target or ill focused, and she already had a negative reputation from the Obama years, and being the wife of a former President, effectively sunk the campaign from the word go.
Even afterwards it seems like the main way Democrats can find to attack Trump is on trying to tar him as a misogynist. Of all the things that the guy can be attacked for, that is what they decided to focus on???
She didn't campaign on a jobs program, or at least not one that would matter like a jobs guarantee.
Sometimes reality is not appealing.
What's the objective?
I think the retraining is a neoliberal dog whistle for 'these people deserve their current lives'. If the objective is to run a campaign that's consistent with (or an affirmation of) elite coastal values, then harping on retraining is exactly the right thing to do.
If you want to want the most votes, you have to appeal to the most amount of people. Making coastal elites the outgroup is smart because there aren't that many of them and they probably support one of their own anyway.
I have to agree with you here. You see this implied in comment threads like this one too, that they're making choices that are ultimately causing their own situation.
Contrast this with similar articles involving impoverished people in urban environments, especially those with other skin colors, and the difference is stark.
I think Democrats have largely written these people off, and they've lost a lot of political power because of it, and they're still running around and looking for fault everywhere else but in their own politics.
From an impoverished rural perspective, "the government will bring you jobs" and "the government will provide retraining programs" are exactly the wrong messages and goes to show how out of touch Democrats are with these voters. From these peoples' perspective, the government is the source of many of their troubles. The government gives them a disability check that isn't enough to live on, and then threatens to take it away for any of a vast number of reasons; the government shut down the companies that gave them jobs; the government provides all kinds of programs for other people, but not for them (e.g. affirmative action). The moment a politician says, "the government can fix your problems, and I represent the government", they lose this audience.
Unfortunately, that would be labeled "socialism" and made political suicide in seconds. An alternative would be to heavily subsidize housing, food, gas, healthcare, medicine and do that disguised as an attempt to bootstrap a local self-sufficient economy. It'd actually be a lot more socialist than UBI but politics is the art of the possible and not all state transitions are allowed.
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/30/business/energy-environme...
Better than minimum wage, but isn't it hard for somebody with a family to train for two years without a salary?
What Democrats needed was to nominate a better populist. I doubt Sanders would have won WV, but I think he might have done better than Clinton in red-areas of states she should have won like Florida or Michigan.
Can you elaborate on that?
Yeah...she seems to be ignoring the heart-attack risk she is pumping into her lungs while she says that. I get that it's an addiction that is hard to kick, but come on. If you've already had quintuple bypass surgery, maybe it's time to give up smoking?
- Failing health, already has nearly died. - No safety net. - Risks life every time this voyage is made. - Doesn't have access to many resources.
Here you have someone who doesn't have (what appears to be) working plumbing. Doesn't even have a _kitchen_ (just a hot pad). No assets or finances to speak of. Likely no support network. On top of all of that you want them to tackle a nearly impossible task of giving up addiction? I'll note that many many people with all the resources in the world cannot break addiction, let alone someone with nearly no resources.
Definitely not wise for her to continue with her habits as they are. But given the amount of stress and pressure, along with impending doom, some semblance of mercy should be exercised. It's not like she already doesn't have other major problems requiring her attention
I found this to be the same reason why many of my fellow shipmates smoked during my time in the Navy. It was a kind of pre-watch "bonding" session of sorts...We'd smoke our cigs, grab a quick bite from the galley, then relieve the watch...our pre-watch smoke was a kind of "shoot-the-shit" before we had to be serious and formal operators.
This is when I first started smoking. First I was bumming here and there, then in order to not feel like a bum I bought a pack and slowly the pack would disappear faster and faster... I smoked for four years (At peak a pack a day) and gave it up cold turkey. Lots of wasted money.
Those cigarettes and that beer is what keeps her going every month. They are likely her only real source of meager happiness.
She doesn't have Netflix. Internet. Literally, a toilet to piss into. She doesn't smoke them because she's addicted, she smokes them because they make her life, for a short term, a little tiny bit better.
Y'ever notice how, the poorer people are, the worse their habits are? How they tend to eat more junk food, exercise less, spend more money on trivial things? Yeah, that's why. Healthy living is a luxury and an awful lot of folks have forgotten about that.
At a root level, living brings on a level of expenses. It varies from place to place, but no matter how frugal you are, there are some expenses you simply can't run from. Once you've passed that level, it's easy to save.
This kind of sentiment is exactly why more [conservatives] need to read more articles like [some other expose about being poor, but in the city instead]. If you've never lived that life, it's easy to sit back and proclaim for someone else how much better things might be for them if only they didn't do things the way they do. It makes it easy to dismiss their problems as entirely their own fault while we get to feel good about giving out some solid advice.
Those cigarettes and that beer is what keeps her going every month. They are likely her only real source of meager happiness.
She doesn't have Netflix. Internet. Literally, a toilet to piss into. She doesn't smoke them because she's addicted, she smokes them because they make her life, for a short term, a little tiny bit better.
Y'ever notice how, the poorer people are, the worse their habits are? How they tend to eat more junk food, exercise less, spend more money on trivial things? Yeah, that's why. Healthy living is a luxury and an awful lot of folks have forgotten about that.
I'm pretty sure medical science would say she is smoking because she's addicted.
If she didn't smoke, she would be less likely to die of a fucking heart attack so she could actually work and be actually healthy. I'm not shitting on all poor people making poor decisions, just this lady who has at least one easily solvable problem (smoking while being a heart surgery survivor).
Healthy living is not a luxury. Not drinking soda/eating junk food every day and walking are quite free if I recall...
For the next six months, give yourself just $10 a day after basic expenses (rent, utilities), and be grateful that you've got that much. Your $10/day budget will have to buy you gas, food, entertainment, and anything else you want to spend money on beyond only the most basic of necessities. Your gym membership will need to come out of that budget, too.
I've lived on a budget like this one. I know a few other folks on HN have similar backgrounds. That's why I tend to participate in threads like this one, because there are an astounding number of people that come out of the woodwork claiming that they understand a complex situation better than the people living in it.
I'm not ignorant of the science and biochemistry behind nicotine use. I'm telling you that the only things that people like this really have are cigarettes, booze, and junk food (and heroin or meth, depending on the region), and you want to take those things away from them too, and for their own good in your opinion.
Maybe. How many cigarettes a week would be needed for that assessment? Because I'm pretty sure she's not nursing a pack-a-day habit.
I suspect that avoiding heavy labor is just as likely to reduce her heart attack chances. For that matter, a healthy balanced diet would likely do even more to help.
And where is she supposed to work? Let's see, poor education, limited access to bathing facilities, history of health problems, well into the age range where the college educated tech industry folks on HN complain about ageism and the difficulty of getting hired. Oh, and in a region of the country that's suffered from massive job and industry loss. I'm sure things will improve as soon as she stops smoking.
Even if we ignore for a moment that healthy food can be more expensive than soda and junk food, you have to take into account the necessary time investment. Those things take more time and time is money.
One might reasonably argue that someone on disability payments should have more time than money, but habits like smoking and eating junk food were probably acquired when they were not on disability and needed to work as hard and as long as possible to make ends meet. No time for healthy cooking and exercise.
If I have the storage space and cash, I can buy a 20 pound bag of rice on sale for $7 or less and use it over time - or I can go to Costco and get a 50 pound bag and maybe even make a little money dividing it up and selling it to my neighbors. If I'm living in a tiny shack with $1.50 to spend, I can instead pay $1+ for a pound bag of rice. A lot of other staples are like that - if you can get a little bit ahead just for a little while it can start a cycle that lets you keep getting a little bit better off as time goes by. That'll last until the emergency, which will put you right back down there gathering roots for $0.20/your. Oh, and the emergency that started this for some folks is birth, and there's no place they can even get to that has bulk items like that to start with.
Now extrapolate that to pain pills, sleeping pills, risky behavior of any sort. When you live day to day and have no safety any pleasure or escape has an immense draw. There is also an element to "who cares I am screwed anyway" that we face every single day. In the end you are judging people on some sterile, elevated point of view and it's not real life.
I am middle aged. I was strong and healthy and worked multiple jobs serving the community. I paid taxes and believed that if I needed help it would be there. I was ruined by unneeded and poorly done surgery I was scared into having and since then everything had rotted and faded as systems failed me and people turned on me. I live in severe pain daily with no healthcare beyond an income based primary care clinic for once or twice a year nonsense. I live trapped in the middle of nowhere with no public transport with the last people who will offer a bed and they did so to lord it over others and resent me daily. My meager partial pension covers my food and medication and the big expenses like a CT scan or surgery I have put off for years are ignored. I eat Walmart branded canned goods and cheap fresh stuff. I don't even have a computer anymore as mine and the backup from when I had a life gave up. Once someone donated an old one to me but it had issues and cost too much to fix. I use an external HD on a borrowed laptop I have irregular access to just to get online and have some exposure to the outside world. BTW the internet here is 1mpbs and irregular so add that to the mess. Imagine thinking daily of ending your life or deciding to run away to a cheaper place knowing it will be a dead end too sooner than later but you have no other hopes.
Now...if you read all that. Imagine living that way. With nothing but scraps. Imagine seeing no hope. Imagine years go by losing more and more. Now imagine how buying some junk food or a beer or a lottery ticket or some other "waste of money" brings you just a tiny little escape or joy or moment to not suffer and hate everything. Imagine when you DO that people jump all over you judging you and making you feel worse. I don't know if you even can truly imagine living like that...but I hope you do and reconsider. We are human beings and not abstract objects. We want lives as much as you do. Please consider this next time you encounter this topic or someone you are put off by...despite what you probably think it could be you next.
I am well off by most standards, and though I've made quite a few good decisions, there is no doubt that luck played, by far, the biggest part.
The one positive thing I have to say to you is this: I hear you, and quite a few others hear you too, though we may well be a minority. We know that the foolish, smug attitudes displayed by many are largely attributes of genetic and environmental history.
The only advise I can give you is straightforward: life will always be surprising, often in bad, but sometimes in good ways. It's virtually impossible to know what's coming up. So hang in there, if only to play the entire game that is, though unknown, before you.
The question that plagues me is: can I give her a job? What could this woman do, online or off, that would be valuable to society? Is Mechanical Turk, marketed to the rural poor, a solution?
They may be dumb as a brick in American terms, but they're able to function at a higher level than the average Indian call center employee, at a comparable salary, and they have the right accents.
A T-1 around that area is almost $700/mo.
A 100Mbps symmetric connection is several thousand dollars per month.
For example, would you accept this woman as a remote personal digital assistance, willing to pay for her phone, internet, and an extra $100/mo to do stuff for you? What is the quality of the work you might expect? What sorts of work would she do? Answer the phone? Argue with your credit card company? Keep an eye on your projects? Are people that capable really hiding in the countryside?
Super expensive LTE or satellite connection, or overpriced Shentel cablemodem, or DSL, where upload will be less than 1Mbps.
In some cases, they'd be preserving authentic folk art.
Edit: To those downvoting me, can you please explain why? Because I'm just trying to maintain the productive, thought-provoking culture that HN contains.
This is the same argument that I've heard from people (mainly young tech workers) that losing 1.5M truck drivers will just require "re-training". The reality that we can simple "turn a knob" and re-train people is extremely myopic.
Edit: That's not to say there aren't a few capable folks that fell on rough times or came from a rough background and never quite got a good enough opportunity to make something of themselves. Certainly it would be nice to have programs to help those folks reach the full extent of their capabilities. But that's definitely not a solution for the broad majority of people in this situation.
It's sad that people like that can't have a little dignity and make a living doing what they're capable of, but that's where we're headed.
1) Lack of knowledge of options. Let's say you wanted to get into the oil business. Without Googling anything, what job would you want? What skills and credentials would you need to acquire to get that job? How would you go about getting those?
2) Lack of education - Imagine trying to learn how to program without knowing what variables are. And then let's say you struggle and become capable of doing junior web dev work. What happens when you encounter even an easy interview question like "Write a program to find the first n prime numbers"
3) Lack of time - Most adults don't have time to focus full time on training, even if they aren't working. Children and elderly family members can suck up a lot of time.
The sad truth is that there will always be lower and lower-middle class jobs, because not everyone is capable of joining the upper-middle class. Should those people continue to experience a declining quality of life just because they haven't been genetically or socioeconomically blessed?
and what you were charging was almost $5/hr for your labor. maybe more if you can invest in capitol equipment like a water jet.
skilled technical labor (machinist, welder, cabinetry, jewelry, etc) isn't much of a growth industry either. but people are still hiring if you already have experience
smt rework is a thing, but that seems like its inherently limited in volume.
i think its pretty tough for someone in a garage to make it work..if anyone has any ideas though..
Juggling was the farthest thing from your mind growing up, and you aren't particularly talented or skilled in manual dexterity. So for you to try to be one, you need to put in a LOT of effort, and it may be for something that you aren't good at, and will lose the few permanent positions as a employed juggler to some kid at age 20 who has made juggling his whole life and has the talent for it. You might also need to accept that you might be a contract juggler even if you do manage to retrain, and that it might all be wasted because you might be too old to be hired, or that they taught you to juggle pins when you needed to constantly update your repertoire and juggle chainsaws.
This is what retraining for STEM looks like for someone who has never considered it. Most programmers never really get that they in essence like juggling, and that's what enabled them to do their career...there is so much winnowing out even at the college level that STEM has selected for people who not only like STEM and have a lot of talent for it, they willing spend their off time working on STEM related stuff, often for free. If you don't have that powerful motivation from a young age, and need to learn or retrain for it, it's a lot grimmer, even if you are intelligent or successful in other areas. I use juggling because for most people, it's probably about as hard to be a professional at as computing is for non-STEM inclined.
No, that's not true of STEM in general, and actually AFAICT not particularly true of programming outside of the startup scene and top tech firms; the spare-time programmer is much less common, AFAICT, in the legions of programmer outside of those places, and the parallel phenomenon is no more common in non-programming STEM fields than in non-STEM fields.
This would need to be an education process beginning with encouraging birth control + providing quality education for the children who are born in these regions... and providing enough family financial support so the children didn't have to quit school early just to help their parents survive.
Oftentimes, the problem is age. Older people just finishing training still won't get a job.
Other times, the problem is that they refuse to relocate to another part of the country to get the job they trained for.
It sounds great in theory, but it requires a lot of flexibility that not everyone can have.
Re-skilling the entire mid-west is impossible. Jobs are currently a game of musical chairs. There isn't room in our economy for 15 million engineers, technicians, and shopowners.