There are approximately 3x10^28 molecules of water per cubic meter (assuming pure water, which is obviously not the case).
A third of the way to the moon, there are approximately 7x10^6 molecules of hydrogen per cubic meter[0].
From high earth orbit (assume 60k km), it's about 300k km to the moon.
The average depth of the ocean is about 3.5km.
For simplification, let's assume that a molecule of water and a molecule of hydrogen have the same density (which they don't)
From high earth orbit, in a straight line to the moon, there would be about 2x10^12 hydrogen molecules in the way.
From the ocean surface to the average depth, there would be about 1x10^32 water molecules in the way.
Not getting into the optical properties of water vs hydrogen, or the fact that the math is much different for a probe orbiting the moon, there's just more "stuff" between the ocean surface and the ocean floor, and a satellite and the moon.
[0] - http://www.physicsoftheuniverse.com/facts.html