Tax breaks, gender discriminative bathroom laws, climate protection deregulation, and "appeals to traditional values" do not seem to be improving the lives of these people very much.
Tax breaks, gender discriminative bathroom laws, climate protection deregulation, and "appeals to traditional values" do not seem to be improving the lives of these people very much.
There's a few things going on here:
1) Many in these communities see success and virtue as intertwined. The idea here is that a person with the correct traditional values plus hard work and faith will have a good economic outcome. If God is present, and God commands us to act in certain ways, surely he will reward us for our faith in all aspects of our life (including the economic dimensions).
2) A person living in an economically depressed area won't have money to hold onto, and his life is usually just a few ticks away from financial ruin, losing his home, losing his car, major health episode, etc. It's an ugly and chaotic state. Traditional values provide constancy and a psychological anchor. I may be in a chaotic state but God is in control, even if things go horrifically bad. The trade-off here is that God sets the rules that everyone has to abide by.
But I think Al Gore probably has the best solution to this, which he talks about in his new documentary: if you focus on real economic benefits of certain "liberal" ideas, then you seem to have a chance. e.g. if wind energy is shown to be cheaper than natural gas, people will adopt it.
Democrats (and fact-believing republicans) really need to include more economics in their messages. Like how expanding Medicare actually helps small businesses and rural communities. Like how higher taxes on the rich help fund education and infrastructure projects that lead to greater prosperity.
I understand it is a somewhat skeevey way to do it, because if you're a democrat, you probably also believe in other non-economic democratic values (e.g. diversity, womens' reproductive rights etc.) and to win the support of people who don't believe in these things might seem uncouth.
https://www.amazon.com/Democracy-Realists-Elections-Responsi...
TLDR: People vote based on identity (self image), then adjust their beliefs (positions) as needed.
Liberal policies in the US are highly correlated with high population density. Even in red states, the cities are mostly outposts of blue politics; even in California, the rural landscapes are dominated by red politics.
Communities seem a bit like ponzi schemes, or are at least creatures of inertia. If the community is growing, it exudes promise and hope and more people are interested in moving there. Growth leads to job openings, which leads to more growth. The inverse is dire. When cities go bankrupt or when rural areas lose residents faster than they replenish them, it becomes a downward spiral and a self-fulfilling prophecy.
Rural areas don't sustain themselves. Urban or "hip" suburban areas have a much better chance at sustaining. College towns constantly have fresh blood (so long as the college stays out of bankruptcy).
I think cities thrive despite the friction created by more socially liberal policies and higher taxation. It's far easier to pivot your business and there are more serendipitous events in densely populated areas with highly educated people. I suspect people would prefer to move to a place with a reasonable social safety net as religious institutions lose the prestige they once had in the US. Perhaps in liberal areas people don't have to fear the social darwinism of the similar situation in a state+county with no funds to help the poor/homeless.
The obvious counter-example to "liberal policy places thrive" is Detroit. Detroit had very liberal policies in a state with very strong labor laws. After car manufacturers moved their manufacturing to cheaper labor areas (the US south and other countries), Detroit's population collapsed to less than 50% of it's peak.
And its economic collapse was also the product of broader right-wing attack on the political/economic power of working class people in the US. Under the guise of “free trade,” they were forced to compete with labor of poorer countries, while the wealthy and their administrators were largely exempt from the same pressures.
No, liberal tax policies are not the answer. The piper must be paid eventually.
California has significantly below average, for a US state, combined state and local public debt to GDP ratio.