Does anyone else on HN have more resources like this, applying data science to poker. I will google, but on forums like this one, I find personally recommended resources to be very helpful.
Does anyone else on HN have more resources like this, applying data science to poker. I will google, but on forums like this one, I find personally recommended resources to be very helpful.
Even for your own hands, where you see every result, there's so much noise on the individual hand level that it's hard to do good direct comparisons. You can easily have a million hand sample where, for example, you make more money with 22 than 88. Some people will (most likely erroneously) conclude that they there's something wrong with how they play 88. The more likely explanation is that even with a million hands, once you break out how often you get dealt 22, choose to play it preflop, flop some hand where you'll continue (most likely a set), have the other person in the pot have enough hand where they'll continue far enough to generate a big pot, and then play some sequence where you actually do generate a big pot, you're down to maybe a dozen instances, so a single outlier influences your results a ton.
tl;dr - don't worry about data science. If you play online, use one of the standard HUDs, look at VPIP, PFR, WTSD, and ignore everything else except overall win rate and standard deviation until you're damn sure you know what you're talking about.
You were meaning nail? Or was it intentional?
It is most useful for analysing your own game - you have access to your entire hand history so it is extremely valuable for finding out your weaknesses.
Databases of IRC poker matches hands: http://web.archive.org/web/20110205042259/http://www.outflop...
(Actually uses web-archive and handhq.com data.)
For reading: http://poker.cs.ualberta.ca/publications.html