Young People Need Another Gold Rush
bloomberg.com
bloomberg.com
So America needs another slot machine we can present to our youth to appease their cognitive biases?
Same as you'll never get me to give up delicious food by handing me a bottle of Soylent.
So yes, things have changed for many reasons. Our middle class, outside of those in a few booming sectors is struggling, if not outright choking. College is becoming a no-win proposition for some and at 33, I certainly am not expecting a life like that of my grandparents or great-grandparents, for better or worse. So I get it. I was just pointing out that there is a middle ground between those two viewpoints on either end, and perhaps, just perhaps a solution is somewhere in that terrain.
I'm not holding out hope though, as there are so many forces at work right now and...yeah our leadership is making me a bit nervous.
^These observations is all America-centric, I know that. I don't pretend to know how things are for every young person globally and don't want to act like I do.
The problem though is survivorship bias: plenty of people in the '50s and '60s were poor, or didn't buy their own house, or etc... and likewise plenty of "kids today" are doing well.
Yeah, and you don't even own the 4 walls, nor the land. And companies like uber and others seek to extract the leftover and skirt employment regulations. And your stuff keeps failing as you try to fix it. And automation is an ever-present downward force that makes your degree into a $10/hr grind.
But, you know, progress?
WTF, do today's kids just expect things to land on their laps?
That said, I know lots of people in near blue collar jobs who do work hard and don't take things for granted and don't carry a woe is me attitude. So, not everyone lacks resilience.
Current kids do what they can in an economy with less jobs, more expensive cost of living, more regulations, increasing state surveillance and the worst leaders we had for decades, controlled and dumbed downed news, culture promoting stupidity/violence/money/consumption... And the only map they get to navigate this is the old one from their parent's time were you could pay your college tuition with a side job and being a doctor was the solutions to all your problems.
Our economy would have recovered by now but we live in an even more distorted world. Risk is not priced correctly because interest rates are too low. Take Amazon for example. They can borrow at low rates to acquire an overpriced company in Whole Foods. Had Amazon borrowed at say 8% then the transaction is a lot riskier. This miss pricing of risk is radically distorting the economy throughout the country and there will be bad consequences. Those at the bottom of the economy will have the worst time and that includes recent high school and college graduates who will be looking for the few entry level positions.
But the reality is, while it's true the internals of the finance system is complex, the big picture is not. You have a bunch of people trying to make money no matter the cost, and some other people helping them not paying the cost when it fails. And they are faster and more powerful than the people trying to prevent them.
They are not genius mastermind. They are not evil people neither. Just regular humans wanting more and caring less.
No, all these butthurt old people are creating a fantasy about young people so they don't feel bad about what they've created.
"Spare some change we can believe in Sir?"
"Not today, old Scooter, not today."
This is one of the things that are very wrong with a lot of people in charges: they want magical solutions, quick fixes for the next elections.
It's true the real solutions, the long term ones, the ones that matter most, are hard to set up right: education, research, building trust, leading by example...
And it's far easier to sell a new gold rush: people love those stories, it gives hope, it's fun and simple to comprehend. Even better, it puts the blame on the people instead of the leaders since if they don't live the great life, it's because they failed to grab the opportunity. The American dream in essence.
The fact that there can be only so many gold rushes, so many factions that will have the control of it (and the others can go to hell), and so many people from those factions that will actually benefit from those are not issues that will occur to the minds of the targets of this strategy. It's why it's such a good one.
The problem with such kind of events in the future seems to be that the workers would require a high degree of education to participate. e.g. if there is an AI gold rush, the demand would seem to be mostly for people who know CS fundamentals, math and AI principles. But maybe I'm underestimating people; a lot of wildcatters started off as oil workers, learned skills and then moved up the chain.
Sure a gold rush is always good.
However one's life should be based on the normal, not the exceptional. Otherwise it's completely unstable. You should definitely embrace the exceptional when it happens, you may even look for it or try to trigger it, but it should not be a sine qua non condition for you having a decent life.
> in the future seems to be that the workers would require a high degree of education to participate
It may be a good thing. Right now, society promote art and sports are mean to become rich. We communicate value about violence, sex, money, owning stuff, power...
If suddenly the media see a gold rush and promote "hey, to become rich, educate yourself and try to make a dent in the world." that would not be so bad. After all, the 2000 bubble did a HUGE service to all the nerds. We are way cooler than we used to be, and our life is way easier now.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bread_and_circuses
Superficial means of appeasement, distractions, diversions, or the mere satisfaction of the immediate, shallow requirements of a populace. These things have been a staple of peace since time immemorial.
> This phrase originates from Rome in Satire X of the Roman satirical poet Juvenal (circa A.D. 100). In context, the Latin panem et circenses (bread and circuses) identifies the only remaining cares of a Roman populace which no longer cares for its historical birthright of political involvement. Here Juvenal displays his contempt for the declining heroism of contemporary Romans, using a range of different themes including lust for power and desire for old age to illustrate his argument.[5] Roman politicians passed laws in 140 B.C. to keep the votes of poorer citizens, by introducing a grain dole: giving out cheap food and entertainment, "bread and circuses", became the most effective way to rise to power.
Humanity generally waxes and wanes between bread and circuses and political involvement. One could feasibly say they are diametrically opposed, but suffice to say it should to be clear that the pendulum has swung from the former to the latter and it will be difficult to reverse it forcefully.
https://www.livescience.com/56740-facial-feedback-hypothesis...
I get a new business opportunity every month. The fact that I'm not a millionaire is not because of the lack of it, but because I failed in some way I could clearly see after the fact.
Without addressing this, millennials are right to think capitalism screwed them. Safe bet: someone here will say it's the fault of heavy handed government regulation.
My big "oh oh" moment was when I started to play the "return to your 10 years old self with your current mind" game. I realized I could have earned much more money than my parent's allowance, use much better my time and freedom, improved my health a lot, but couldn't see the opportunities.
It's the same now. We have opportunities everywhere. As long as people have problems, you have opportunities to solve them and charge for it.
I think the authors are suggesting, "people are not being paid in line with what they produce."
I think the chart may show something else, which is "an increasing amount of work is being automated (and goods are produced by no one in particular), and this benefits owners rather than workers."
If I make widgets and you build a robotic cog factory, why should my wages go up?
Does the local community deserve to benefit from the automated cog factory? Does the state? Do all Americans? All humans? Those with coercive power?
It bugs me sometimes that you can argue "let's all share the wealth" but do it in a self-interested way by making a choice about who deserves what.
This article claims that without some kind of vivid lottery capitalism that makes people think "I'm not being screwed, I'm a temporarily embarrassed millionaire" people might become jaded regarding a US-style economy and choose a more socialized system that produces, for example, Germany-like income distribution rather than US-like income distribution.
Economies produce what they are designed to produce. The design and implementation of the US economy has been captured by capital, and produces results optimized toward the advantage of capital. That's a brittle situation, and a "gold rush" is a cynical response.
https://www.minneapolisfed.org/publications/the-region/where...
>Safe bet: someone here will say it's the fault of heavy handed government regulation.
And why would that position be inherently wrong?
I know, risk is something that is most easily taken by the young, the uninhibited, the unindentured, but many of us are indentured to loans, inhibited by our memories, and too busy trying to get old safely to act young.
Until WW1, war was seen as a part of life, and for serving in the military was seen as brave, noble thing for young men to do. Even now, we expect most young people to start at the bottom and move up "through hard work" while the scions of the rich start at great positions and build a career without ever having to do minimum wage (exception is certain careers that require skills and are booming, such as technology).
And while the young people are struggling to meet ends meet, they have even less time for politics, participation etc.
1) A functional healthcare system like any of the other half a dozen good alternative approaches in other developed nations.
2) For the government to stop inflating the cost of education by enabling universities to raise their prices outside of market forces (eg income growth) via perpetually greater government loan backing. Compare the median income vs median tuition costs, just from the late 1990s vs today, the government made that imbalance possible. For a century the US had very reasonably priced universities (40 years ago you could pay for an Ivy League education with a part-time job), that ended in the very early 2000s when the government inflation run took off (exactly in tandem with healthcare inflation and dollar debasement under the Bush Administration, which you can see represented in the commodity bubbles, housing, gold and the dollar GDP of every other nation soaring simultaneously from the year 2001 to 2008).
3) Significantly improved cities. More people from rural America need to be encouraged to move into urban centers, to resolve the opportunity & quality of life gap (such as falling life expectancy in rural US) that is widening between the two. That includes improving infrastructure, transportation, and available housing supply (entailing, among other things, pushing back against overly aggressive zoning laws used to restrict housing). Urban improvement / renewal, would benefit basically every demographic, including poor black communities that are being persistently hammered by extreme violence.
A possible #4 candidate, would be to continue ending the war on drugs, shifting to treating addiction as a health matter and decriminalizing or legalizing all drugs. Sentencing reform and police reform would also go with that item.
Doing these things would radically improve the circumstances for America's youth as a whole.
America has a long and proud socialist tradition. It'd be a shame to stop now.
Well at least we can agree on something.
It's like two parties arguing about football. One side is saying, we need to abolish referees, the players should sort problems out themselves. The other party is saying the referees need more power and instruments in order to better control the game.
The simple truth is, people need to make sure that the referees work for them and not for the individual players who hand them the most money.
2) I don't understand how government reducing their backing of student loans is "bigger government". Could you explain that?
3) I agree that improving infrastructure is bigger government, but it is widely seen as an acceptable role for government, not "a manifestation of a communist/socialist society." On the other hand, "pushing back against overly aggressive zoning laws" is clearly the opposite of bigger government.
In addition to all this, your statement that "all of those are manifestations of a communist/socialist society" needs an explanation for why this matters. Why is it necessarily true that a manifestation of a socialist society is a bad thing?
https://www.reddit.com/r/drunk/comments/6wnp9r/last_night_of...
Cancer patients, both 33.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15022525
35.
The main issue is that when problems crop up, you're less likely to get them checked out if you're uninsured. Even $100-200 is 15% of a monthly rent payment. Many people end up taking a "Better ignore the symptoms and hope they go away" approach, which is exactly the wrong thing to do.
I agree that "regular checkups" is a stretch, but think of it more like "on a regular basis, you need the ability to go see whether you have serious problems." We call that health insurance in the US, but it sucks for people who can't afford it.
-Creating a technology startup / business
-Becoming YouTube famous and selling 'your own brand'
-Bitcoin, Ethereum, Cryptocurrencies
I personally didn't feel like it was a good idea so we didn't but it was like the Gold Rush. She was ready to rush into it.
I know a few different people who quit jobs in finance to go do a marijuana-related startup.
Whiny idiots will complain though. As they always had.
As long as there’s a gold rush somewhere in the economy, people will focus on getting rich without thinking if they are doing is sustainable and long term positive for the economy, without thinking if structural changes are needed to secure their well-being, which is correlated to the general well-being.
Entrepreneurs don't create gold rushes. Scientists create gold rushes. Forward-looking politicians create gold rushes. Strange devils sitting alone in their rooms create gold rushes. But these rushes happen 20, 30, or 40 years after the initial investment is made.
So we're not going to see many gold rushes in the next few years. Sorry. Hope you have some rents to draw.
Do you feel that cryptocurrency is still available to the individual as a gold rush?
But the trade, and the price fluctuations aren't over by long, new cryptocurrencies launched daily by respectable instances and companies. So in this way, I still see a lot of 'rush' potential, even today.
And like the goldrush, it was the people selling the shovels and things making the good steady profits. And there are also a lot of hardware things to change/improve on the cryptocurrency market.
there's a lot of money being made in ICO's
It doesn't require any mining to create a token and raise funds. Just copy pasting token contract and crowdsale code (generally on Ethereum), and putting up a website with a whitepaper. The total market cap of tokens is now approximately $10 billion:
Of course, for governments these digital coins are problematic. It's much more difficult to estimate someone's wealth if one keeps coins in more or less anonymous digital wallets. Also, digital coins make it easy to transfer wealth oversees without fees, which is probably something that banks won't like (the usually subtract a fee through the exchange rate), so banks might try to lobby against Bitcoin.
I wouldn't be surprised if in the future we don't use our conventional bank accounts anymore for payments, but use some ATM card connected to a digital wallet. Again, this would be bad for banks.
A few weeks ago I bought my first digital coins as well for around 12.000 EUR. I expect the value of these coins to still rise quickly over the coming years.
I'd say BTC, ETH, NEO and OMG are safe bets for now.
In the beginning, anyone with a pan/computer could go to a creek/their home PC and pull out gold/bitcoins.
But now, the money's in selling shovels/ICOs/exchanges.
You're not going to outmine a Chinese farm built at the bottom of a hydroelectric dam.
And while it's hard to do, you could try riding the waves of bitcoin, sell when it reaches an all-time-high, and buy during the inevitable correction, slowly increasing how many coins you have without spending any extra money along the way. Bitcoin is volatile enough that it's difficult to time, though, and personally I just buy a little bit every week and hold.
But that's the same in a gold rush, not every person who went to California to pan for gold found anything worth a damn. It's risky as hell, but if you can afford a little risk, and are willing to immerse yourself in the world a bit so you can increase your chance that the risk you take will be a profitable one, you could still make a lot of money here.
And if you can build a service to wrap around cryptocurrency that doesn't already exist or has a bad solution, you could potentially make good money there too. (Sell the shovels, as it were). Coinbase makes a percent every time someone buys or sells coins on their service, no matter what the price is, they don't care, as long as people keep coming to them.
There's also alt-coins that are low enough on everyone's radar that you can mine them, and hope that at some point they catch on, or get targeted for a pump and dump (which I've seen happen for many coins). Just mine coins in it and keep an eye on it and wait until it shoots up in price and sell before it has a chance to drop again. I don't really recommend this, but it's an option.
And finally, ICOs are hot right now. Do your research, come up with an idea that could be funded with an ICO, and take a shot at building a company funded with your own ICO. Stupid risky, but yet another opportunity that clearly some people are taking advantage of and quickly getting a jumpstart on their companies with them.
Just because one opportunity is no longer feasible doesn't mean that all opportunities have disappeared. In fact, there's a lot more different approaches to finding success with cryptocurrencies than there was 6+ years ago, where you pretty much could only mine a bunch of coins and struggle to find anybody who would give you money for them.
The quote is apocryphal but sums up the article.
2. ???
3. PROFIT!!!*
*For the companies that build rockets and launch them...
https://www.theguardian.com/society/shortcuts/2017/aug/21/am...
We are currently living in a gold rush.. Make something and sell it online. Or support those that do.
"Filecoin Suspends ICO After Raising $186M in One Hour" https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=14988132
Wha~~~t? Who says so?
Let's deal with this new mental-drug-war first before any Gold Rush suggestions, as the kids then young people ignore anything else, even traffic lights...their eyes are too busy on the screen these days.
I also do believe I received bad parenting, but eventually I turned out OK.
The difference though is that somebody looking at a smart phone is seen as antisocial, where is someone buried in a book is not, although of course the person in the phone could be reading a book! Most of this is with the politicians call "optics" you know?
parenting is a profession without a degree and you have to learn by doing, and hard to get it totally right all the time. games are indeed a true headaches(if not the biggest headache) for many families, it is getting much worse because of the powerful smart phones and tablets these days, it is just the reality.
The question is, what difference is there in incentives for those "boys" and "girls" to cause the difference in choice. What gains do young adult men get in getting a early income?