Where in Europe is electric car a good idea?
jakubmarian.com
jakubmarian.com
For example, around 50% of the UK's electricity production is from low-carbon sources (renewables and nuclear). But a much higher percentage of off-peak power is low-carbon. After midnight, close to 100% of the grid is low-carbon because the gas turbines spin down while the wind turbines and nuclear reactors keep running. EVs and smart chargers/smart grids will help us make better use of clean off-peak power!
Also, grids will continue to get cleaner over time. An EV purchased today will have lower and lower emissions as it ages, but a combustion vehicle will only get worse!
PGE has an EV rate plan [1] which charges a lot less during off peak (midnight to 6am) than during the day.
[1] https://www.pge.com/en_US/residential/rate-plans/rate-plan-o...
If I had an electric car, I'd charge it overnight. I don't get different pricing at different times. There has been talk of introducing that for decades now (in Germany), but I'm not sure it is coming soon, nor that I'd like it. Probably, it would become just more expensive when I need it most, without being able to change my usage patterns much.
Why?! Two-rate meters have been around for decades, long before they went digital.
Never actually used an economy 7 tariff myself so I don't know the details but the point is most houses in the UK aren't equipped to have one. However a home-owner choosing to install a charging point for an electric vehicle will probably switch to a suitable metering setup for economy 7 whilst they're at it.
All homes in Britain will have smart meters installed by 2020:
https://www.smartenergygb.org/en/smart-future/about-the-roll...
These support Economy 7, as well as whatever other variable tariffs that energy companies dream up in the future.
There is no "talk of introducing this for decades" since it exists since decades.
Here's all you need to know: https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Niedertarifstrom
Apparently the wind producers don't experience anything like that.
https://www.llnl.gov/news/power-generation-blowing-wind
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/wind-power-turbin...
Surely if the pollution is killing thousands of people a year this is an issue.
I would wear a gas mask to work, but they're no use.
BTW a large source of ozone in the Bay Area and LA (both of which have big problems with it) is emissions from internal combustion vehicles.
So, overall, electric vehicles are a big decrease in ozone in the inhabited areas of the West Coast.
Perhaps an Atmospheric Chemist can support this?
And by then there will be a market for commercial charging stations, if they are necessary.
Aerosolized tire particulates are mostly a problem in tunnels, where they keep getting thrown up into the air by passing vehicles and recirculating.
They move the pollution from a tailpipe feet away from people to a large smoke stack specially optimized to lower the effect on air quality in the immediate area.
Dismissing any solution that doesn't 100% fix everything is a great way to never accomplish anything.
The comment above was referring to local pollution in cities (which directly kills thousands through diseases related to particulates in that pollution). Relocating that pollution does solve that problem.
(PH)EVs also produce much less particulate pollution from brake dust due to the use of regen to brake (which is why they can go several times the normal replacement interval for brake pads).
The creation of pollution is a separate problem from the location of that pollution. Yes, EVs don't magically prevent the creation of pollution, but they can severely limit the creation of pollution in population centers, where they have the most immediate effect.
When the majority of pollution is coming from large trucks anyway, will swapping a few cars even matter?
Do you have a source for most pollution coming from large trucks?
Lithium batteries still can't approach 10% of gasoline's energy density, so gasoline is mandatory for trucks, and will be until yet another new battery technology is not only discovered and brought to market, but mass-produced to the point that we have a battery-pollution problem.
> the low standards for pollution controls
Why don't they increase the standards? If people are dying there must be public outrage. Does Universal Healthcare cover pollution injuries?
> European governments being willing to ignore automakers who break the rules.
Are people protesting or working to change their governmental leadership? Or are they content to see their loved ones perish? If diesel cars are such a problem, why not outlaw these? Then only outlaws will drive them.
Do you have a source for particulates killing children in cities?
Too bad that correct number to look at is entire power system energy density (engine+fuel+transmission). Electric engines are a lot lighter so batteries do not need to have same energy density.
> Why don't they increase the standards? If people are dying there must be public outrage.
Your expectation of public outrage happening doesn't mean it happens. Even if people are dying.
> Do you have a source for particulates killing children in cities?
For Europe's special problem with diesel cars, try Googling [europe air pollution diesel]. It brings up a bunch of good news articles.
Lithium batteries don't have to approach gasoline energy density to handle local deliveries. Also, these trucks don't use gasoline, they are diesel.
Again, where is your source for "the majority of pollution is coming from large trucks"?
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/oct/21/diesel-c...
> It found that heavy-duty vehicles tested in Germany and Finland emitted about 210mg NOx per kilometre driven, less than half the 500mg/km pumped out by modern diesel cars that meet the highest “Euro 6” standard. However, the buses and trucks have larger engines and burn more diesel per kilometre, meaning that cars produce 10 times more NOx per litre of fuel
That is atrocious - that a single car could pollute 4x more than a large truck or bus - and it's a side of the VW emissions scandal which never occurred to me.
How did independent emissions testing not catch this - or were OBDII outputs simply accepted as accurate? The Seattle region used to have mandatory emissions testing by an independent agency, where they probe the tailpipe. This was recently ended. Were VW cars programmed to fool this testing too?
Also, what does this have to do with the VW scandal?
Your own article explains why the cars generate more NOx per mile. They are held to lower standards than the trucks and busses after those were "reigned in" in 2011. It's not some kind of defeat device, the cars are still within regulation
The entire point of the VW scandal is that their cars pollute way more than they tested. Their diesels especially - the same diesels that have been popular in Europe for decades are the ones polluting the most. And their apparent low emissions was a passive way of fighting electric cars.
And this is still all NOx emissions, not total emissions.
And this whole tangent really has nothing to do with the original point. If anything is emphasizes the benefits of moving pollution generation for cars to centralized points out of the hands of the manufacturers
You can't move non-existent pollution. It hasn't occurred yet, so there's no "movement". Electric cars create pollution displaced from the location the car is used in.
Electric cars can be (and are) charged with power generated with low pollution methods (solar, wind, water turbine...), while a gasoline, or worse, diesel powered car, will always pollute. Additionally, e-cars are more power efficient, even after subtracting line and charging heat losses.
Coal burning power plants are a problem on their own (e.g. high mercury emissions), so those should be shut down entirely IMO, and not be used to cover e-car power demands. They are problematic anyway because they can not change their output much, making them inflexible for modern requirements.
I making the pedantic point that saying "electric cars move the pollution" is technically inaccurate. It is better to say "electric cars pollute in places physically displaced from where they are used".
You seem to be oblivious to the fact that electric cars are replacing cars powered by an internal combustion engine.
If you replace an IC engine with an electric motor then that source of pollution is removed, don't you agree?
Furthermore, electric cars typically get their power from the national power grid, which generates power in a much more efficient way than your typical IC engine.
On top of that, nowadays any power grid is being supplied by sources other fossil fuels. This shift away from fossil fuels towards renewable energy sources is being spearheaded by the European Union and reflected by their national action plans. This already resulted in some EU member-states breaking green energy records such as:
* covering around 35% of their national power generation from renewable sources
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/germany-green...
* running the entire country over 4 days straight on renewable energy alone
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/may/18/portugal...
This is the energy production that is powering electric vehicles.
Although I guess it's negligible to gas exhaust.
As my mother pointed out, going electric is removing money from the pockets of the Saudi so-called 'royal family', thereby reducing their capacity to buy bombs and weapons from Western arms companies.
The death toll in Yemen is allegedly 10000 and every motorist with an old fashioned car is currently funding that, albeit by proxy.
The "total lifecycle CO₂-per-Km footprint" is a pointless and deliberately misleading figure when its basis of calculation is (almost completely) independent of the distance driven, but it suggests that driving the vehicle is subject to a high amount of emissions per Km. The opposite is true: EV lifecycle CO₂/Km becomes lower the more you drive.
Besides, deliberately including highly speculative CO₂ amounts from vehicle production and refuelling should be done in all cases: how much CO₂ is emitted by ships and satellite launches used in detection of crude oil reserves?
But if it turns out that we'll need an active (as in "needs manpower") care-taking of this waste for several thousands of years, we get into the compounded interests area.
Also, there's the immediate (last 50 years) issues such as barrels of waste being treated in silly manners; e.g. thrown into the ocean near the coast and shot to pieces by air-planes if they surface...
Politicians and corporations will do anything to save money, if they think they'll get away with it. That makes nuclear waste much more dangerous than it should be.
It's not a problem, we'll have clean fusion in 20 years :D /s
There's an interesting rebuttal to his episode here that is worth reading: https://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesconca/2017/08/24/please-jo...
We don't. Dig a shaft half a mile deep in bedrock in a tectonically stable area, and anything you put there will be safe for the next million years.
But that's kind of expensive, so we keep dumping the shit in the ocean or in shallow graves in the backyard.
Out of all wastes to be mismanaged, higher radiation would probably be the easiest to detect - simple detectors are widely available commercially.
Yes, we need ways to store, or recycle - there are ways to do that too - nuclear waste, but that doesn't seem to be an intractable problem, and I don't think this is the main hindrance to the wider spread of the nuclear energetic. Irrational fears of "radiation" and political issues seem to be more prominent there.
(2) Every coastal towns, cities, estuaries, and natural preserves will be wiped out within a thousand years. Across the globe. Including entire nations. (Well, to be fair, they will cease to be nations long before that.)
There's really no comparison.
For arguments regarding (2), see: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long-term_effects_of_global_wa...
> A study in 2015 found that assuming cumulative fossil fuel emissions of 10 000 gigatonnes of carbon, the Antarctic Ice Sheet could melt completely over the following millennia, contributing 58 m to global sea-level rise, and 30 m within the first 1000 years.
Per Wiki:
> According to the World Health Organization in 2011, urban outdoor air pollution, from the burning of fossil fuels and biomass is estimated to cause 1.3 million deaths worldwide per year and indoor air pollution from biomass and fossil fuel burning is estimated to cause approximately 2 million premature deaths.[14] In 2013 a team of researchers estimated the number of premature deaths caused by particulate matter in outdoor air pollution as 2.1 million, occurring annually.[4][5]
And see: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_accidents#Fatalities
Nuclear is safer and better in every way even if you multiplied all the past disasters by ten. There really is no comparison.
Where to store some icky stuff isn't really a huge drawback, its a political problem because humans have no sense of scale.
Sure we did. We close them down where ever it's possible. Just like we should do and do with nuclear power plants.
> Nuclear is safer and better in every way even if you multiplied all the past disasters by ten. There really is no comparison.
What a brilliant argument you have there. Oh wait. No it's not. You actually did not bring anything up to counter the problem caused by nuclear plants: nuclear waste. Just some juicy whataboutism.
> its a political problem because humans have no sense of scale.
People have enough sense of scale to realize that the waste will be there forever and while some are safely away from it, others can watch your rusty barrels go to hell and pollute the environment. Funny because John Oliver had a piece about that just last week:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZwY2E0hjGuU
What's good about that at all?!
When I was a kid, living in the equivalent of Kentucky, a nuclear accident in the equivalent of the Bahamas made it so we couldn't eat wild berries from the woods anymore.
Now a middle aged man over 30 years later, sheep from my home area still measure levels of radioactivity too high for human consumption.
That's why I feel most options are better than nuclear power, for any purpose except perhaps space probes.
The thing is that there are long living isotopes in the upper soil of the forests. As they are long living, they have not decayed yet enough and are not going to in the next decades. Something does not need to kill 80% of the population to be a significant health risk. With the isotopes relevant in Bavaria, they are only dangerous when eaten. So there is nothing dangerous about living in those regions. However mushrooms tend to aggregate the radioactive particles and so do the wild boar eating from the mushrooms. Not every animal is contaminated, but every single one has to be scanned for radiation, before they can be eaten, and quite a few have to be destroyed every year.
Edit: Now I'm wondering (and doubtful) if the same precautions were taken in the rest of Europe.
Bavaria had been contaminated the most, other parts of Germany have less residual radiation - the weather situation (wind, rain) created very inhomogeneous distribution back then. I found this map about the distribution: http://files.abovetopsecret.com/files/img/gz54e7a9f2.png
200 grams of mushrooms with 3,000 becquerel cesium-137 per kilogram corresponds to a load of 0.008 millisievert . This corresponds to the radiation load on a flight from Frankfurt to Gran Canaria.
And:
If wild game or wild growing fungi are consumed in conventional quantities, the additional radiation load is comparatively low, but it is avoidable.
In other words, there is no danger to one's health - no more that one is exposed to by living regular life and being subject to various low-level radiation sources present in the environment. The regulations have very low acceptable level, just to be safe, but there is very little actual danger from the levels present right now.
From Wikipedia[1]:
For comparison, natural radiation levels inside the US capitol building are such that a human body would receive an additional dose rate of 0.85 mSv/a.
So, working in a granite building for about 4 days is as dangerous as eating a meal of "contaminated" mushrooms. Thousand of people do the former every day. Or about the same as one dental xray. I think my conclusion that it is done out of overabundance of caution still seems to be correct.
Anyway, I have not claimed, that occasional eating of mushrooms is going to kill you. Still, the doses are high enough to warrant an official warning not too often to eat these mushrooms (you have a dental X-ray not every day either), and enough animals are contaminated high enough to be destroyed.
Overall, the life in Bavaria is not impacted by the radiation. But I find it startling, that over a thousand kilometers away from Chernobyl, the Bavarian landscape is contaminated and will be for decades. It shows me, that we do not want to risk a reoccurrence of such events.
Why wasn't it safe ? Because that type of reactors creates a lot of high pressure radioactive gassses , and in the case of an accident, those gases spread far.
But we now have reactors types that (a) can't physically blow up , their temperature is limited, and (b) contain very little to no radioactive gasses , so even in the worst case scenario, we'll be just left with an enclosed pool of radioactive material, which is safe.
So please don't judge nuclear by it's past.
Interested in learning more about these reactor types. I hear different reactor names discussed, but I'm not sure what's right on the cutting edge.
The most dangerous types of reactor is graphite moderated ones. (Because graphite burns lot more readily than water.) Practically all of the actually severe accidents happened with those. They have not been built since Chernobyl.
(Also, as a Kentuckian I'm curious what "the equivalent of Kentucky" is.) :)
He's probably in Eastern or Northern Europe and talking about Chernobyl.
I also want to transition to clean energy, but I'm much more afraid of global warming than nuclear disasters.
> Nuclear waste is treated securely enough for now in Europe, and future may bring us scientific development to resolve this problem in future.
No it's not. We have quite big problems with storage in Germany[1]. Other waste is stored next to the nuclear facilities who created it or on the road to and from La Hague where radioactivity is leaking into water and air[2,3].
[1] https://www.ndr.de/nachrichten/niedersachsen/braunschweig_ha...
[2]http://www.taz.de/!5154538/
[3]https://www.greenpeace.de/node/11699
Or hey, don't forget Sellafield where 2014 the employees have been asked to stay at home but everything is totally OK. Unfortunately nobody told that to the birds who were drinking contaminated water from open SFPs.
E: how is the wikipedia artikel solving the problems we already have and which resulted from the current nuclear waste storage?! I've asked that above. This whole thread results from a quasi "roses and butterflies" comment.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Breeder_reactor https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radioactive_waste#Transmutatio...
You are free to continue believing that nuclear power is too dangerous afterwards, it's certainly not all roses and butterflies.
Right now your comments sound extremely confrontational and rude, at least on my end of the pipe.
I'd say "where [..] are electric cars a good idea" or "where [..] is an electric car a good idea". Am I crazy?
(This OT grammar nazi question was triggered by the author pushing his grammar book right at the page top)
Where in Europe are electric cars a good idea?
edit: Also I think we'd have something that breaks Betteridge.
That being said, for cities, cars in general are problematic since the consume so much space. I'd say electric bicycles and public transportation is the way to go for cities.
Not feeling forced to participate in Middle East shenanigans is a major one from my point of view.
I.e. electrical power is already relatively cleaner by not supporting horrible regimes (cf. Saudi Arabia or Nigeria).
No, modern cities desperately need good public transportation.
CO2 is not the only pollutant that matters. NOx and sulfur emissions are arguably worse in term of quality of life in cities.
This sound is spread 10km in each direction from a highway, the areas which are truly spared the noise of cars are hard to find these days.
In built-up cities, like London, these vehicles are usually traveling at relatively low speeds anyway, so it's really engine noise that is the problem.
A Nissan LEAF - which is not particularly efficient - uses 175Wh/km and burning coal for electricity produces ~1000g CO2/kWh, so even after factoring in grid losses(8%) and charging losses(another 8%) the number is still 204g/km.
That's approximately how much a similarly sized car emits in dense urban traffic(assuming 7,5l/100km).
Even if the power they use is dirty now, upgrading the power sources that feed the grid is a lot easier than upgrading millions upon millions of cars. It is for many reasons a much easier problem to solve.
A bigger problem is that the Baltic states (worst electricity prospects in this study) don't have a whole ton of renewable energy potential. It's dark, not (that) windy, not mountainous or volcanic...
Click on any country to see the flows: https://www.electricitymap.org/?wind=false&solar=false&page=...
So why not try to create a map that takes the nuclear waste/accident problem into consideration.
For example France would look at lot worse since they are mostly run on nuclear power and the northern European countries would look more like an "environmentally friendly lighthouse". Which they are, mostly because some of them get to use easily exploitable geothermal energy.
It would also be great to get an insight in the source of your data you've based this map on.
Is this true? My understanding is that EV’s power by electricy generated from natural gas is better than gas powered cars.
This Scientific American article gives a lot of detail on where EV’s are better in the US
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/electric-cars-are...
(Of course, I know that you get the same electrons - electricity is fungible. But you do increase demand for renewable energy, and in the long term change the energy mix.)
I'm afraid I can't find a link to that article right now.
It's unclear on a first skim whether the (constantly rising) energy costs of fossil fuel extraction are included.
Also, pretty sure he is not considering the rapid increase in photovoltaic electricity production as the cost is dropping below that of coal, the current cheapest source of electricity.
EDIT: Also carbon capture at the powerplant is definitely easier than at the tail pipe.
There's far more to a specific car being a good idea considering the differences between EVs and ICEVs (but of course the needs vary inside countries as well). However, an electric car is much less attractive in a land of long distances where you often need to keep the batteries pre-heated to provide even reasonable range (and even keep your warranty!) – even if the country's electricity production is not dominated by fossil fuels.
(And why is Norway so rich to begin with, you don't need to wonder.)
The first obvious failure is not accounting for the electricity that already goes into refining oil to gasoline and diesel. A comparison that stops at the exhaust pipe for ICEs is straining credibility.
In the wider picture, EVs still have such big lifecycle CO2e footprints that we'll still have to drastically reduce private car use. Focusing on EV technology is a major distraction from recognizing this as a society.
It's all in the subsidies.