How far you can get if you leave the largest U.S. cities at rush hour
washingtonpost.com
washingtonpost.com
You can see the middle yellow dot is about equal distance between the red and teal ones. Recently (say 2013-) when I've gotten on the freeway at about 8:30pm in Culver City (near the 10/405 heading east), I've been shocked to see it's light rush-hour style traffic (generally under 40mph + cars keeping close distance + lots of brake lights). Honestly it's about 9:30/10pm when it starts to free up.
In the morning time, commute starts about 5:30 and goes to 10/10:30am and then the home commute starts up again around 2/2:30pm and goes until about 9:30pm.
I have a place about 250 meters from the freeway and I can hear the pickup in the ambient freeway noise starting around 5:00 in the morning until about 5:30 where it reaches approximately its maximum background noise.
People do the same "rush hour driving" at this time. There's a small distance between cars and large density of vehicles, but nobody has made a mistake to slow everyone down yet so people are doing this at a "let's beat the traffic" speed of around 80mph. It's so enormously dangerous. Take the 405 from the valley to santa monica once at this time and you'll understand why there's multiple accidents every day.
This is different from when I was in high school in the 90s. I went from essentially Agoura Hills to Encino. The freeway was empty until about 6:30 and then when I was lucky enough to have a free period where I wouldn't have to show up until I think 930? I could leave at 8:30 and it would be a breeze on in.
So in 20 years at least from my observation, the rush hour window maybe has increased about an hour either way.
That could be it. I left the Los Angeles area in 1988, so have no idea what is going on now, but just going by my memory of what it was like when I lived there I'd have guessed a different explanation.
That would be that at 4 PM you are limited by the traffic from people going home from work. By 7 PM that's largely gone, but now you are running into all the people who going out for the evening to eat, attend concerts and movies and sporting events, do evening shopping, and so on. In Los Angeles, those kind of excursions usually involved a freeway trip.
The west side in particular is basically the land of "rush hour never ends" to an unbelievable extent compared to my experiences in the Bay Area, Seattle, Atlanta, and Austin (all which have plenty of people stuck with terrible commutes) - it's just a different magnitude of practically-never-ending-pain on every possible route.
Also, of course, the article has neglected other modes than cars. If you leave on a rush hour Acela train from Boston you'll be in Providence in 33 minutes, well outside even their 10pm driving radius for Boston.
This is a city that just replaced the Sellwood Bridge, an aging bridge that was a huge bottle-neck because it was only a single lane both directions. They spent $324M to build a brand new Sellwood bridge that is still only a single lane both directions.
Regarding Sellwood, I have heard that the new bike lanes on the bridge are an improvement. That is just second hand information though -- I don't ride on it.
Edit to add photo...
You can see the old span alongside the new bridge here:
More photos here:
And worse, eventually PDX is going to wake up and realize they need to widen key surface streets to address their traffic hell. That will be expensive enough on it's own. But after you already blew $300M on a bridge to ensure it will always be the bottle-neck, it will be far more expensive.
One stopped car on the shoulder, a cop handing out tickets, or worse a 'standard' accident or stopped car...
There are many ways to double the commute time.
Day trips are more interesting because of the South Shore Line.
http://www.mysouthshoreline.com/tickets/maps-stations
It's a electric rail that runs from South Bend, IN to Millennium Station in Chicago. Take something like a Cubs game. I drive 2 hours to the Dune Park station
https://www.google.com/maps/dir/Marshall,+Michigan+49068/Dun...
From there I park for free and ride the train to Chicago and then hop the Red Line to Wrigley. Even if it's a night game I can still make it back to Millennium Station for the last train out at 12:45AM.
The South Shore Line is also great for conventions on the weekend because it stops right at McCormick Place.
I don't know what it is for Boston to Providence
$29, one way, 33min. Northeast Regional is $12 for 40min, MBTA is $11.50 for 63min.I rarely take it but MBTA commuter rail has really gotten pricey. There are passes but I'm almost $30/day to commute into Boston by train between parking, the ticket, and the subway on the other end.
the pattern repeats almost every day: https://monosnap.com/file/jHAuLrr1JqOxM6lSNN8H0DGFSoCcJb
1st wave starts at 5am and at the top of it at 8am then it's getting better. there's a spot between 10:30 and noon when you can drive within 40 to 50 minutes, then it's getting worse (2nd wave). if you would decide to drive at 5pm it would take almost 1.5 hours to drive to Sunnyvale
the best time to drive from SF to the Valley is after 8pm, there is a small increase in between 10pm and midnight - roadworks while traffic is still present.
it's interesting that the pattern is accurate up to the minute, it's 10:30, not 10:15 or 10:45 when there's a spot to drive, almost every day
"Using billions of anonymous measurements from cell phones and vehicle sensors, Here Technologies, a location platform company, calculates how traffic conditions change throughout the day"
Emphasis on the word "billions". I find my own can be quite variable too. Large sample sizes should make that number more predictable.
I'll always remember election night when after much confusion and sadness, MSNBC found somewhere a stock market chart from Japan or maybe after-hours trading showing the market was headed down. They printed it out to make it look official, the mood lifted and they excitedly talked about how Trump will blow away everyone's 401k accounts and people will be starving during their retirement. Of course stock market bounced back up next day and was doing ok since. But what was interesting is how excited and happy they were talking about retirement accounts going up in flames just as long as it fit the story they have been supporting and building up.
Note that the URL reveals the title "escape time".
And, in such circumstances, your best bet is to drive west. Barring that, either north or south. East will generally be downwind.
Of course, there are areas in which westward road travel is somewhat limited.
(I was going to make a similar comment, found yours.)
Hmm. Given that public transit stations are deep below the earth, and many huge buildings have deep underground space: would it be more effective to wait 8h underground and then try to escape over the fallout-laden city than to be aboveground, stuck in traffic and perish with the fireball?
After 7 hours: 10%, after 49 hours (~2 days): 1%, after two weeks, 0.1%.
This is highly influenced by blast yield, type, elevation, and prevailing wind direction.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_fallout#The_Seven_Te...
The other problem with being in tunnels is the shock wave itself. That can collapse the tunnel, of course, but also kill directly through blast trauma. Blast is attenuated as the cube of distance, so an increased range from the blast itself will tremendously reduce those effects (and similarly the prompt radiation and thermal effects).
As a society we need to get over the ass-in-chair-9-5 mindset and allow remote work and weird hours to combat rush hour.
(How bad is rush hour traffic in major European cities? I'm not sure.)
We need to actually reduce our transit needs (build taller buildings closer together) and spread out our commute times.
This is Phoenix, which continues to build out it's freeway system and continues to falsify the "fundamental law of traffic congestion".
I'm sorry to say that at least for Minneapolis this map is wildly inaccurate. My 25 mile commute would take me, not accounting for unusual weather, at best 1 hour and at worst 2 hours.
I wish I could live in whatever fantasy world they pulled the data from.
Most roads in Texas cities are extremely unfriendly for bike traffic.
it's a lot friendlier than NYC where folks will honk at you
There do exist huge and long bike trails, but they only connect arbitrary points of the city - imagine New York, but with all but two subway lines suddenly removed.
1950s civil defence urban evacuation plans are the prior art here.
http://annewhisnant.web.unc.edu/home/civil-defense-during-th...
(see image half way down on the right) http://geographylaunchpad.weebly.com/the-friction-of-distanc...
[1] http://anna.ps/blog/train-times-v-house-prices-graphing-the-...
A passenger car and a long-haul airliner are about equivalently efficient, on a fuel-per-passenger-mile basis (assuming a high load factor for the aircraft, and a single occupant for the auto).
Rail is far more efficient, and time-competitive with air for modest to fair long trips (given high-speed rail).
Shipping is the most efficient form of transport by far, but also one of the slowest.
Automobiles require roads of some description, though they can flexibly shift routes across these. Aircraft and ships require ports, though have freedom of movement exclusive of these (with some choke-points: straights and canals, mostly, for ships).
Rail is almost the equivalent of "ships on land", though the right-of-way itself is required. The requirements for these are comparatively modest for basic service, though high-speed and high-capacity routes, and switching, increase requirements.
It's an interesting field.
http://www.slate.com/articles/business/the_juice/2014/07/dri...
The actual efficiencies depend tremendously on the range of the trip, the loading of the aircraft (or car), and base vehicle efficiency.
But ~30 - 40 passenger miles/gallon are possible in either.
For cargo, the (again, very rough) numbers are:
Ship: 514 ton * mile / gallon
Rail: 202 ton * mile / gallon
Truck: 59 ton * mile / gallon
Air: 13 ton * mile / gallon
Something I had cause to look up the other day as I was trying to figure out how to ship my M-1 Main Battle Tank.
https://plus.google.com/104092656004159577193/posts/MZ5Pi7AT...
* Amtrak
* LIRR
* Metro North
* NJ Transit
Are you including wait time? Or assuming best case scenario?
Depending on where you're leaving/coming from, a car can be a good option (no traffic, you live near the edge of Manhattan and get out of the borough quickly + hit little traffic once you leave) or horrible (I've taken cab rides that took nearly an hour completely inside of Manhattan).
My sole point was that, in certain situations around rush hour, a train departing from Grand Central or Penn Station can probably get you at least as far, if not farther, than a car could in the same amount of time. At certain times, you can even get from Penn to Philadelphia on the Acela in about 1h15m!
Consider that it's very rare that people car commute into lower Manhattan in the first place (at least, compared to the USA average of car commuting), the whole premise and investigation is a bit flawed. The majority of garages in that area don't park your car in a spot that is immediately accessible, so you could even wait 20 minutes (or call ahead) just to be able to start your car and drive away!
For example, Kiel-Berlin is 4 hours by car, assuming no traffic. Or around 1 hour 30 by train, which runs every 30 minutes. Getting to and from the station to any place in each city is another 30 minutes, in the worst case.
So the worst case scenario door-to-door train travel time is the same as the best case scenario door-to-door car travel time. And the comfort in a train is much nicer (so much leg space, and you can walk around, and eat stuff, and use a laptop nicely, just look at this: [1])
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[1] https://www.fotosvonunterwegs.de/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/...In all the rail cities I've been in, the distance/duration equation does not change based on when you leave.
Travel time is effectively constant.
This article was about what constitutes rush hour and how it mutates travel time.
For rail, it looks like the answer is "there isn't really a rush hour and it doesn't change things".
Or does it? I've certainly had to pass on an overpacked train on the London Underground and on SF Bart. Also in Barcelona the path to leave some stations can be circuitous and get congested at times. I haven't been to Tokyo yet but I've heard stories...
My commute is what it is. 45 minutes to drive 12 miles sucks, but it only really bothers me when I'm going somewhere other than home.
I wonder if "Friday Light" occurs in the other cities mentioned in the report.
That being said leaving at 7pm is a valid strategy any day of the week here in Los Angeles.
Great reporting.
Here's the data from my Automatic Pro GPS OBD2 dongle, on a "good day":
Trip started August 10, 2017 at 06:20PM
Trip ended August 10, 2017 at 06:58PM
I do have to deal with the 59/610 interchange, which they're getting ready to re-do in the next few years.. the detour/re-route for that project is going to cause hell for quite a lot of people.
I live around Boston and while I agree I will say that Boston like the rest of New England is extremely seasonal and even then it's week by week and based on weather. I'm typing this while on my iPhone after just traveling to Cape Cod this Friday evening and it only took 1.25 hours and left at 4pm.
I hope to make two points:
1. you can see hell of lot more interesting things in 5 hours or less from Boston than almost any other city in the Midwest or even California.
2. Boston is extremely high variance particularly because it is a college town and has "4 seasons". If you know what you are doing you can use this to your advantage.
There's also a reason traffic to the cape is high during the summer months — the cape sucks in the winter. Not sure how you're using that to your advantage.
Yes the map is correct! I'm saying what most people probably missed is that New England is highly compressed and has many factors such as complicated roads and seasons.
However because its compressed you do not need to travel 5 hours! Five hours gets you past NYC even with traffic.
> There's also a reason traffic to the cape is high during the summer months — the cape sucks in the winter. Not sure how you're using that to your advantage.
No its exactly as the article points out that timing is big deal and I was saying its even more of a big deal seasonal. I said I left at 4 pm. to the Cape Not 5 pm. That is a big deal for Boston as the article clearly shows. In other cities it is not. In other cities such as Atlanta for example you still have to drive 4 hours to get Savannah.
However cursory look of the article makes it appear cities like Atlanta are great commuting cities because of how far you can drive regardless of the time.
Within 5 hours of LA, I can get to both the lowest and highest point in the continental USA, I can see deserts and forest mountains, not to mention oceans, surfing, beachside houses that make cape code look cheap. Vegas is only 4 hours away, at most 5...
I have no doubt you can see many things with no traffic in LA in 5 hours or less. Every time I have been there it's been horrendous that it makes Boston traffic look like a joke.
With New England it's not necessarily the traffic its the fact that the roads are smaller and not straight shots.
As far the Cape looking cheap which was a poor taste comment I would take it over any pacific beach :P .
The pacific coast beaches while do have surf are for some reason so cold with the some minor exceptions.
Over all I meant certain parts of cali and not LA specifically.
My point about Malibu vs. Cape Code was just about price, not value.
I'm annoyed that I said "parts of California" at all and probably should have said Texas (I clearly got downvoted for mentioning Cali didn't have things to do).
Also lol @ the assumption that there's only interesting things within 5 hours from the epicenter of Boston (I couldn't even type that with a straight face).
I didn't say that. But for sure Boston has much more dramatic seasonal change than many of the cities on the list.
> Also lol @ the assumption that there's only interesting things within 5 hours from the epicenter of Boston (I couldn't even type that with a straight face).
I picked Boston but it applies to the top cities (from the article) as they are more compressed:
1. Boston - has intense seasons
2. Los Angeles - do noes not really have seasons
3. Miami - ditto
4. Chicago - extreme seasons like Boston
5. San Francisco - mild seasons
6. San Diego - no seasons whatsoever
I only picked Boston because I know it well. I don't want to get into the all natural hiking granola see the earth shit. Yes clearly areas like Las Vegas win at that.
The article even sort mentions my point: "Twenty miles might not seem like much, but in tightly packed New England, it’s the difference between being stuck in Massachusetts or escaping to neighboring Rhode Island or New Hampshire."
Otherwise why the hell do you think its so congested? More people and more stuff = more compact. Often this equals more things to see and do.
People in Massachusetts do not have to drive 60 miles to get to their job because stuff is more compact. In Atlanta they do!
I pick Atlanta because I have lived there and let me tell you have to drive quite a bit even to get to a reasonable body of water (Lake Lanier) let alone the ocean.
In SF it is more complicated because there are big traffic problems in almost every direction so if you leave at 4pm and are still driving somewhere at 5pm, then you'll get stuck in traffic. Still 4pm seems like an odd time to pick.
The fact that all the cities look the same speaks to this fact. The only restriction seems to be geography/geology.