And so on. The early web was really fucking useful as it started to mature. It solved a lot of real problems.
What is cryptocurrency going to help these people do that they can't do already today?
International payments confirmed and spendable in minutes not days. Escaping inflation in Venezuela/Argentina/whoeverisnext. Sending remittance to family overseas without 10% wasted in fees. Receiving monetary donations for organizations that might be victim of oppressive censorship. Participating in modern e-commerce for the unbanked/underbanked. Allowing merchants to save 2% in credit card fees (which doubles their profit margin if it was 2% to begin with). Allowing merchants to sell in industries prone to credit card fraud. Etc.
Gosh it's so easy to find many benefits in cryptocurrencies.
(Answer edited. Yes merchants care indirectly about fees.)
Appealing to the common person is going to involve larger exchanges how will digital coin grow and still keep digital currencies decentralized?
I apologize for my ignorance in advance. I'm really just trying to learn more about this, and can't find any consensus, even within blogs/articles authored by the same people.
As a merchant I absolutely disagree: the cost of my product is how much it costs the user, which includes the complete costs to the user, not just my price.
When was the last time you made an international payment? I never made a payment outside of the EU and inside the EU I already have free wire transfers. For most people this is not interesting.
> unbanked/underbanked
You have the right to a bank account in the EU.
> Allowing merchants to save 2% in credit card fees
Currently Bitcoin is more expensive for typical transactions. And there's direct debit which is practically free at least here in Germany.
You and I are not the user demographic ;)
That strikes me as an appealing use case.
Some of the top receiving countries include France, Germany or Belgium (over $1000 per inhabitant) and the top sending countries include Luxembourg ($12B for a population of 575K).
So the numbers probably include cross-border workers. People living in France/Germany/Belgium but working in Luxembourg. Transferring euros within the SEPA region (for free) for at least $50B out of the $560B mentioned.
About an hour ago. I'm on holiday ftw.
But even not on holiday ... Quite often. With an extortionate credit card fee.
I love that you asked this question! The very reason it doesn't happen often is because of friction inherent to legacy payment systems. Cryptocurrencies remove this friction in cross-border trade, hence are making such transactions more commonplace.
It's like you saying in 1890 "Why buy cars? People don't travel that much." But the invention of cars is precisely what increased the desire to travel.
"You have the right to a bank account in the EU"
What about the rest of the world? 6.6B humans?
"Currently Bitcoin is more expensive"
Not for transactions above approximately $100.
This argument presupposes what it tries to prove: the utility of cryptocurrencies.
There's no argument in there on why, if it was trivially possible due to cryptocurrency, the desire/need for international payments would increase.
Perhaps I'm misunderstanding what is meant by "international payment", but surely for a majority of people this is just an irrelevance? I can't imagine my parents have ever needed to make an international payment, for instance.
I have an employee in Iran and my goodness was it hard to work out how to pay him (Iranian banks don't have SWIFT and IBAN and helpful things like that), and Bitcoin did actually seem like a legitimate option at one point, until we realised that between business banking and accounting, it was also going to be really hard to do - so I would love for this new wave of currencies to make international payments easier. But I just don't think it's of very much significance to many people in the grand scheme of things. 54% of Americans apparently don't have a passport; are these people really going to be making regular international payments, more than about once a lifetime?
(The significant number of "digital nomads" on HN who work from a beach in Thailand are really not representative!)
However, if we're taking "international payment" to mean "an easy way to take out/spend money when you're on holiday without getting stung by exchange rates and assorted complexities" then I will certainly grant you that this would be broadly regarded as a mainstream benefit (though, again, I guess those 54% of Americans would probably disagree).
My parents are also moving abroad in the next few months and I'll be very surprised if we don't end up struggling to move money around at some point, even if it's only a minor issue.
“Banking the unbanked” is much discussed in international development circles. Around 2013, Bitcoin advocates started claiming that Bitcoin could help with this problem. Unfortunately:
* The actual problems that leave people unbanked are the bank being too far away, or bureaucratic barriers to setting up an account when you get there.
* Unless they use an exchange (which would functionally be a bank), they’d need an expensive computer and a reliable Internet connection to hold and update 120 gigabytes of blockchain.
* Bitcoin is way too volatile to be a reliable store of value.
* How do they convert it into local money they can spend? Pretty much nobody accepts bitcoin.
* 7 transactions per second worldwide total means Bitcoin couldn’t cope with just the banked, let alone the unbanked as well.
* A centralised service similar to M-Pesa (a very popular Kenyan money transfer and finance service for mobile phones) might work, but M-Pesa exists, works and is trusted by its users – and goes a long way toward solving the problems with access to banking that Bitcoin claims to.
Advocates will nevertheless say “but what about the unbanked?” as if Bitcoin is an obvious slam-dunk answer to the problem and nothing else needs to be said. But no viable mechanism to achieve this has ever been put forward.
Some of your points are well thought out, but I couldn't leave this one alone.
The vast majority of bitcoin users don't use a bitcoin exchange to store their coins. They also don't download the entire blockchain.
SPV wallets exist (like electrum or the android bitcoin wallet) that give the user complete control over their private keys without needing a copy of the blockchain or using substantial bandwith.
https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Electrum
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bitcoin_network#Payment_verifi...
I couldn't find numbers on this when I went looking, but that's a numerical claim. Do you have numbers on this?
Blockchain.info claims to be the most popular web wallet with 10M users and users have control of their own keys without needing to run a node. Their android app has 1-5M downloads.
The Mycelium wallet for android has 100k-500k downloads.This is an SPV wallet like electrum, where users have control of their keys without needing to run a node.
Bitpay's wallet for android also has 100k-500k downloads, which is an SPV wallet.
The generic bitcoin wallet for android (also SPV) has 1-5M installs.
Multibit (also SPV) is the only desktop client that posts statistics but it claimed 1.5 million downloads in 2014. Now that multibit is discontinued (and bitcoin has gotten more popular since 2014) it's fairly safe to assume that electrum has numbers quite a bit higher than that. I suspect (although I can't prove) that electrum is more popular than all of the android wallets--It's even packaged in TAILS by default.
For comparison, the only popular wallet where users DON'T have control of their keys is the coinbase wallet with 9 million accounts. Other exchanges exist, and may have higher volume, but they don't market themselves as wallets to users.
There are less than 10,000 full nodes running at any given time--and a large amount of that is running 24/7. Its safe to say full-chainers are in the minority if you do some guesstimation.
I got most of these figures from the google play store.
Bitcoin, being electronic, precisely helps with people being far away from bank branch offices.
Bitcoin SPV wallets run on $10 Android smartphones. No need for an "expensive computer".
"Bitcoin is way too volatile to be a reliable store of value" Still better than being unbanked/underbanked. Also, volatility has been decreasing: https://mobile.twitter.com/lsukernik/status/8649208737189519...
"How do they convert it into local money they can spend? " As Bitcoin adoption increases, there is less and less need to convert it. Today 160k+ merchants accept it. 8 years ago it was 0.
"* 7 transactions per second worldwide total means Bitcoin couldn’t cope with...*" This limit is obviously not set in stone and will increase one way or another: segwit, block size increase, payment channels, etc.
I think the reason it doesn't happen often is that most people have no need to send money internationally when all the things they might want to buy are readily available locally or online. Of course there are people who do it all the time, but it's not "mainstream" and I don't see it becoming so.
All these fees are wasted money from my point of view, and the sooner I can stop paying them, the better.
A world where Bitcoin was the default currency would rob nations of control over their own monetary policy, which is one of the most important tools for controlling the economy. Not to mention we'd be living in a world of persistent deflation (due to the ceiling on the maximum number of Bitcoins) which would have interesting consequences on the economy too.
The only cryptocurrencies that would be allowed to gain widespread usage would be those controlled by the central banks.
So cryptocurrency is a niche app for crashing economies in the developing world and those needing to do international payments through unofficial channels?
Other countries impose capital controls which force their populations to hold devaluing currencies or restrict how they can spend their money. Think India, China. No surprise that China is one of the world leaders in Crypto right now.
Currency is used as a form of control by governments. It is never in control of the people. Look at what happened in Cyprus, and what almost spread across Europe. Banks went bankrupt, people's hard earned money was taken away, simply due to mismanagement at the highest levels.
Properly used cryptocurrency cannot just be taken away. You are in control of your money. Your government does not control its value. Bitcoin as an entity cannot take out loans which its holders are on the hook to repay. Governments can't freeze your wallet with the flick of a switch.
Money is power, and when people are in complete control of their own money, they take back some of the power that has been consistently taken away from them.
And how would you bypass that with cryprocurrency, except by breaking your country's law?
Just because it's a grey area now doesn't mean it will be forever.
> Allowing merchants to save 2% in credit card fees (which doubles their profit margin if it was 2% to begin with).
In the EU those fees are capped at 0.2% for debit cards, 0.3% for credit cards [1]. It'll be helpful if the crypto currency fees gets even lower than those, but 0.2% starts to get pretty low.
[1] http://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2015/...
Unless bitcoin transactions are clogged this week, and ignoring its extreme volatility and difficulties in conversion at both ends.
> Escaping inflation in Venezuela/Argentina/whoeverisnext.
The Venezuela case is made-up BS, and the same for slotting in some other country. Worked example: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=14552819
> Sending remittance to family overseas without 10% wasted in fees.
Instead, they lose it in volatility and delays, and the difficulties cashing out at the other end - the latter was so bad for rebit.ph that they literally had to start an exchange just to have enough pesos on hand.
You're reciting cut'n'paste talking points that are largely refuted, like a Gish gallop in a single paragraph. This is not good argumentation.
You can always choose to have a tx confirmed in 10 minutes if you choose to pay the appropriate fee.
"difficulties in conversion at both ends."
You are really stuck in the mindset that one "must" convert to spend coins. But as Bitcoin adoption increases there is less and less a need to convert it. Example: my brother in France sent me BTC and I spent it instantly in the US at NewEgg, a retailer who accepts BTC.
"The Venezuela case is made-up BS"
It's real. Yes journalists exaggerate on how much Bitcoin is used. But it is growing, and quickly: https://coin.dance/volume/localbitcoins/VEF
"Instead, they lose it in volatility"
Statistically, volatility (which has been greatly decreasing by the way: https://mobile.twitter.com/lsukernik/status/8649208737189519...) causes users to lose money half the time and win half the time. So, meh, not a real problem. It averages to zero. On the other hand traditional remittance companies screw you over every single time with a fee averaging 7% worldwide (https://remittanceprices.worldbank.org/en). Clearly I prefer my brother sending me BTC than using Western Union.
But could you expound on this part here
> Participating in modern e-commerce for the unbanked/underbanked
From my experience, the unbanked hardly have a chance to own cryptocurrency because they don't even have internet. In my country, MPesa is pretty much ubiquitous and that is because it doesn't need the internet to work.
Are there any ideas on how to overly SMS functionality over cryptocurrency in order to truly bank the unbanked? One idea that is bouncing in my head is a sort of agency model where agents can actually have the internet set up in physical premises and they can be the ones to set up crypto-wallets and withdraw/deposit fiat. The unbanked users can simply continue to use SMS based systems to operate their crypto-wallets.
Only problem is that they wouldn't necessarily truly own their coins - most users on HN may care about that but these folks wouldn't. If it works, it works and that's all they'd care about.
I just thought about the idea now when I read your comment so it isn't necessarily refined.
I just looked at TransferWise, and it seems like the rate is about 0.7-2.5% depending on the pair of currencies.
I found this post of transferring 1000 USD -> EUR via BTC which claimed to have done so for $14: https://bitcoin.stackexchange.com/questions/25583/does-it-ma...
TransferWise asks $10 for this. So in the same ballpark, but not necessarily any better.
> Escaping inflation in Venezuela/Argentina/whoeverisnext.
Who is going to sell you Bitcoins for Venezuelan Bolivars? The only people who want Bolivars are those who need it to purchase goods in Venezuela, and are only going to buy enough Bolivar for their spending in the next week tops because keeping any more in Bolivar would be crazy. It also assumes that the people with capital (eg Bitcoin) haven't already just fled the country, e.g. https://www.economist.com/news/americas/21721944-latin-ameri...
And how do they get Bitcoin anyway? I mean, you could use your subsidised electricity to mine it, but then you get arrested because it's sort of obvious: http://reason.com/blog/2017/02/03/venezuela-surbitcoin-arres...
> Allowing merchants to save 2% in credit card fees (which doubles their profit margin if it was 2% to begin with).
Well that would be cool, but Bitcoin has it's own fees, and an unacceptably long delay for any IRL purchases and inherent currency risk on every transaction.
>> Allowing merchants to sell in industries prone to credit card fraud. Etc.
WRT fraud, merchants certainly want transactions to be irreversible, but since we're all terrible at security, being able to reverse transactions is quite useful for dealing with criminals who would try and steal your money.
It's more a point about how the horrible service from the current transfer processors is opening a niche for different kinds of transfers to prosper. Somehow, that niche hasn't attracted good quality processors (I blame it on widespread corruption), so it's left open for unofficial money.
That's an opportunity, yes. But I am nor sure it can be fully taken before official processors close it.
Average remittance fees, worldwide, are ~7%.
"Who is going to sell you Bitcoins for Venezuelan Bolivars? "
No Bolivars involved. Venezuelan bitcoiners typically acquire BTC by selling services or products (sometimes internationally) while receiving payment in BTC.
"Well that would be cool, but Bitcoin has it's own fees, and an unacceptably long delay for any IRL purchases"
Fees are low: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=14926127
There is no delay, IRL merchants usually accept 0-conf tx.
"we're all terrible at security,"
Hardware wallets have largely solved this. There has never been a single case of BTC stolen from a hw wallet.
Internet money, true international internet money. That's what I like about it. If you just ever care about USD and everything you do in your life is in USD and you live in the US, there's little value in bitcoins. When I got started getting paid for IRC math tutoring, from people I had never met, whose identity I didn't know and didn't care about, but who could send me money if I just gave them a bitcoin address; that's when I really started to like bitcoins.
I think bitcoin's utility is a separate question from regulations and taxes. Unlike most other bitcoin proponents, I like regulations and taxes, and I would be happy for whatever laws society thinks we need around bitcoins. I've paid sales tax with bitcoins when I've bought stuff with bitcoins from online retailers who accept them.
The problem I have with banks is that I just think that they are awfully inefficient. Their security features are awfully inconvenient and theatrical. I mean stuff like password requirements and website design, not stuff like being able to roll back incorrect or fraudulent transactions (which, btw, didn't work for me; the one time I had my debit card skimmed the bank didn't do me a whit of good in getting my money back).
Sending Bitcoins is as easy as sending email. Some banks in parts of the world let you do almost that, but it's just not as easy and convenient, and it's certainly not international.
After all that was the original idea: Anybody can verify transactions without asking a central authority. But this is mostly not happening.
Why?
It's too difficult. To really trust blockchain on your own you have to understand game theory, cryptography and networks. You have to read source code and compile your clients yourself. Almost nobody does that.
So what's the point?
People are mostly in it for gambling or because they don't have a choice, for example illegal transactions. A honest answer whether they trust bitcoin would be a resounding no! And the banks? They see a way to reduce costs. Then the customers will trust the bank telling them to use it (or not).
It's quite a perversion. I predict: Blockchain will succeed not because of its trustless nature but because it helps reducing transaction costs.
Poor Satoshi Nakamoto would roll over in his grave (if he is dead).
I do like the Jaxx interface and if they can adapt more currency wallets and integrate them with ShapeShift, that would go along way to more widespread adoption.
"I want to play investor and get filthy rich but don't have enough money to be an accredited investor, playing stocks feels too hard, and angel investing seems too risky."
It's solving that problem.
What about a deed or title for property? Which of countless organizations and public records sources has the document? If it was entered on the Ethereum blockchain, there's no doubt as to ownership.
There's also tracking of goods; outbreak of salmonella? If the trail is available on a blockchain then it's easy to find the source and anything else that might be tainted.
The only reason crypto is volatile right now is due to speculation on which blockchain(s) will be most successful, just as TCP/IP was not always the foremost protocol. It is the nature of growth to be uncertain and wild, and be certain that there is no going backward: Bitcoin and blockchains are here to stay.
One additional note is that they are incredibly powerful tools for control and tracking - a deep state's wet dream, in the process of being willfully adopted by the masses and soon to be the delineating mark between the haves and have-nots. Make no mistake: blockchains can be manipulated by institutional forces. Huxley and Orwell could not have imagined this in their worst nightmares... beware.
I've heard this one many times. Bu everyone now still has to agree to enter the transaction on some specific block chain. Even if you limit things to just the us. The issue isn't that we don't have the tech to have a national database. It's that the records are scattered all over dusty county and town clerks offices in thousands of jurisdictions for all sorts of historical and political reasons.
Most municipalities have digital records available. It ought to take less time to translate those to blockchain records than the time it took for paper documents to be digitized.
As for the selection of blockchain, that's part of where the current speculative wave in the technology comes in. Competition will persist until there are only a handful of well-defined players, at which point it will be reasonable for governments to tie records to them. All it takes is time.
!. Open a robinhood account. 2. By AMZN.
Come back in a year. Double your cash.
The problem is, that's so boring! :-)