NTSB Issues Investigative Update on San Francisco Airport Near Miss
ntsb.gov
ntsb.gov
They overflew an Airbus A340 on the taxiway, tail height 55 feet.
I've had three accidents where my vehicle was hit from the side by another, moving at ~100 km/h. In two of them, the other vehicle hit crumple zone stuff, and I hardly felt the impact. In the third, there was frame-frame contact, and I experienced extreme angular acceleration. It almost ripped my head off.
UPDATE: tolerances around GL are 20 ft https://www.ecfr.gov/cgi-bin/retrieveECFR?gp=&SID=&r=PART&n=...
A few feet lower and there would have been a collision.
AGL (elevation above ground level), not MSL (elevation above mean sea level). The runway/taxiway elevation is already taken into account. They were 59 feet above the taxiway.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MnzNvhQxu90
The pilots should not have mistaken the taxiway for the runway. There simply are too many differentiating features between the runway and the taxiway.
This isn't acceptable piloting.
Wait for the NTSB report. This one will be closely analyzed for years.
http://www.mercurynews.com/2017/07/18/watch-exclusive-animat...
I wonder what the procedure is in a near Miss like this. It looks like not enough of the 'process' to capture evidence kicked in soon enough. Judging by the photo and distances this looks like it was an imminent disaster, which hadn't been clear to me previously.
Source: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/aug/03/air-canada-...
Edit: Sorry, I meant 28L. Just dyslexic, I guess.
But apparently he didn't file the requisite NASA report.[0]
The last time this story was on HN, I vaguely recall links to several such landings.
0) https://generalaviationnews.com/2017/03/22/taxiway-landings/
They probably got stuck in several cycles of that before the contrary evidence was overwhelming enough to break them out of their off-by-one mental model.
On approach you should be looking at the threshold and the numbers. That's right around where the X was, so it would be clearly visible to anyone trying to land on the closed runway. They were not trying to land on that one, and since they were over the taxiway the X was actually two "lanes" away from where they were. I don't think the X is terribly relevant to what happened here.
Anyway, score one (more) for the robots, who would have picked up the correct ILS localizer.
In the words of the investigation: "At 2346:30 PDT, Northern California TRACON cleared ACA759 for the FMS bridge visual runway 28R approach."
What we need is better computer guidance. The tech is available, our legislature is not. Look at the incredible "taking out freedoms" pushback against adsb to see what I'm talking about.
Also, due to the common airport design of runways and parallel taxiways, it isn't uncommon to fly either near or over waiting planes on final approach, so this may not have been cause for alarm even if they were equipped with ADS-B In.
"Runway 28L was closed to accommodate construction; its approach and runway lights were turned off, and a 20.5-ft-wide lighted flashing X (runway closure marker) was placed at the threshold. Runway and approach lighting for runway 28R were on and set to default settings, which included a 2,400-foot approach lighting system [...]
Both pilots said, in post-incident interviews, they believed the lighted runway on their left was 28L and that they were lined up for 28R. They also stated that they did not recall seeing aircraft on taxiway C but that something did not look right to them."
This site doesn't let me link to the search results. But search for SFO and you'll see plenty of notices about the runway closure. https://notams.aim.faa.gov/notamSearch/nsapp.html#/
This literally could have been one of the worst accidents in American aviation history had the pilots of the landing airplane failed to react in time. There were 4 fully loaded and fueled passenger jets directly ahead of them.
This incident as well as the previous ones shows that pilots need better support in these conditions. Lots of airports are set up with multiple parallel runway configs. It wouldn't be all that difficult to add computer driven confirmations of the runway an aircraft is approaching on. Given the frequency of these incidents as well as the cost of the consequences it seems like a reasonable addition. Such an addition won't end the problem, but will add another safety catch.
The problem with these things is how do they interact: what do you do in the cockpit when several alarms are going off at the same time? Just adding "one more alert" seems easy but... This is actually a deep problem with automation, how do the parts interact. When writing software this is a constant battle, between modularity and connection.
Information overload in the cockpit is a very real thing, particularly in an already task-saturated time like the landing approach. It's entirely unclear that adding yet another alert chime requiring the pilot's attention would help anything.
[0] https://buy.garmin.com/en-US/US/p/545578 , see SurfaceWatch at the bottom.
The final NTSB report will probably calculate this, but I'm guessing if they had waited another second or two before shoving those throttles forwards they would have hit a plane (or three).
Whats even more scary, is I get the impression that the pilots only shoved the throttles forwards because the tower told them to abort.
Driving school treats people like idiots by default.
Professional training assumes people have the capacity to evaluate situations and make their own decisions on the appropriate course of action.
Comparing training intended for the general public and training for professionals is very much a stretch IMO.
o At 2356:04 PDT, ACA759 reappeared on the local controller’s ASDE-X/ASSC display as it passed over the first airplane positioned on taxiway C.
o About 2.5 seconds after advancing the thrust levers, the minimum altitude recorded on the FDR was 59 ft agl.
o At 2356:10 PDT, the local controller directed ACA759 to go around. The airplane had already begun to climb at this point (see figure 4).
This means that if they hadn't acted until they heard from the tower, it would have almost certainly been a disaster.
This kind of information is important for determining the available safety margin and the proper changes to recommend in order to prevent similar incidents in the future.
> The flight crew of the first airplane in queue on taxiway C (UAL1) transmitted statements regarding ACA759, one of which mentioned the alignment of ACA759 with the taxiway while ACA759 was on short final (see figures 2 and 3).
> The flight crew of the second airplane in queue on taxiway C switched on their airplane’s landing lights as the incident airplane approached.
This was discussed in detail here:
http://www.salon.com/2002/03/28/heterodyne/
The author states that there is a feasible technical solution that, at the time of the article (2002) had not been mandated. Does anyone know if the situation has changed?
https://www.google.com/maps/@37.6265932,-122.3812022,15z?hl=...
28L is longer than 28R. Similar to how 28R (or at least its lighting) is longer than taxiway C. The general geometric appearance of the lighting was probably similar enough to what they were used to that it looked mostly correct. As for the X, it was 20 feet wide and about 1000 feet away from where they were aiming, so it would not be relevant to the incident.
You are looking at it wrong. 280 degrees from north would be approaching from the upper right heading down and to the left on the map. From the pilot point of view 28L would be to the east and extends further out into the bay.
With the wheels down, they would just tear through the hull of the lower plane, right?
They’d have flattened onto each other in a big squash that blew fuel everywhere.
It would have probably continued due to momentum as a fireball towards the 3 other fully loaded planes.
Basically it could have been a 5 fully loaded plane bowling alley of flaming metal at 150mph
OTOH, he could have very well collided with the other Airbus on the taxiway rapidly halting his forward momentum and exploding into a fireball subsequently taking out everything for half a mile ahead.
What's alarming her is the distance of the Air Canada jet to the ground, less the tail of the Airbus = this guy was FEET AWAY from clipping that jet.
That said, I suspect the following three crashes give _some_ indication of what might have happened:
USAir 1493 - 737 collides with a turbo-prop on landing; the smaller plane is essentially crushed by the 737
Asiana 214 - Landing gear and tail clip seawall on approach
Tenerife disaster - 747 strikes the side of a second 747 a few seconds after leaving the ground on takeoff; engines, lower fuselage and main landing gear struck the plane. 583 fatalities.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USAir_Flight_1493 / https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asiana_Airlines_Flight_214 / https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tenerife_airport_disaster
Hulls are so fragile that they've often shred up in flight (De Havaillan, DC-9). Landing is around 200-250kmh only, but planes have caught fire just sliding on runways or terrain. The quantity of jet fuel immediately means catastrophe.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y33N0raKZBo
[EDIT: fixed link]
The NTSB has obtained a security camera video from SFO of the incident approach that will be released along with the other factual information when the public docket for this incident is opened in the next several months.
I mean that if your GPS sees you're aiming at the wrong runway, why can't it alert the pilot (and/or tower) that it's going to miss.
If you read the Guardian article from planetjones' comment:
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/aug/03/air-canada-...
Quoting:
The investigators said that as the Air Canada jet approached the taxiway just before midnight after a flight from Toronto, it was so far off course that it did not appear on a radar system used to prevent runway collisions.
The next paragraph states they are working on improving that.
> The first landing of a scheduled U.S. passenger airliner using ILS was on January 26, 1938, when a Pennsylvania Central Airlines Boeing 247D flew from Washington, D.C., to Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, and landed in a snowstorm using only the Instrument Landing System
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Instrument_landing_system
Presumably they must have done a visual approach or something, because their ILS would have been outright incapable of directing them down the taxiway, as it's for obvious reasons not equipped for ILS approaches.
The signals are transmitted from the ground and used for guidance by the aircraft. No part of ILS could alert ATC to anything since the ground stations are only transmitters.
I don't suppose I would call such stress "undue", since every commercial flight ideally ends with a landing. But the probability of helmet fire is directly proportional to the degree of cockpit stress, and the ILS alignment indicators are very easy to overlook. I suspect the user interface could be improved, but I'm not nearly familiar enough with the subject domain to imagine how.
Actually they can autoland but not everywhere and then you still need to tell them where, basically tune them in on the right glide path. Then you really need to be prepared to take over any second, which is a dangerous position on its own. (Just like all self driving cars right now.)
It's still possible to select the wrong ILS beacon or entering the wrong speed or whatever, and something can still show up in front of the plane.
It's just better in low visibility where you otherwise manually have to follow the ILS 'needles'.
Didn't a plane crash there killing some chinese schoolgirls just because the pilots forgot to set the correct speed. Either it was set too low or they set it but did not activate it. And then the monitoring pilot forgot to monitor the speed since the autopilot never fails...
Why can't the ATC or Pilot guide the computers to the right glidepath? And most importantly, if you're not going in that glidepath, you should get a major alarm, with ATC warned (so they can manually tell the pilot to abort).
There are automated warning systems such as ACAS and separation warnings, but I don't think it would be possible to program something that could understand what's going on with all the traffic all the time and just generally warn if it's not looking right...
"Over-reliance on automation and lack of systems understanding by the pilots were cited as major factors contributing to the accident."
They accidentally turned off auto-throttle and took far too long to react to the falling airspeed.
On one hand, a fully automated landing leaves less room for human error (you can still instruct the plane to land in the wrong place), but you're more reliant on things working as they should. If the automated systems fail for any reason, you've got pilots who are less practised at landings needing to take over at a moment's notice
I also suspect that a pilot making a active landing would react quicker to things than shouldn't happen (and thus may not be picked up by an automated system), such as a ground plane being in the wrong place, or some sort of mechanical failure.
I think the orientations in the subsequent screens where UAL-1 looks turned around are probably a case of the radar over-extrapolating from its heading from the turn and then not being able to tell its heading while it's parked.
> Runway and approach lighting for runway 28R were on and set to default settings, which included a 2,400-foot approach lighting system, a precision approach path indicator, touchdown zone lights (white), runway centerline lights (white at the approach end), runway threshold lights (green), and runway edge lights (white at the approach end).
Taxiway: centre green along length, blue edge lights. Can have planes on it. Runway: centre white along length and edges (also landing zone), perpendicular green at end thresholds. Should not have planes on it.
Both runways would be painted and lit up completely differently with large lettering explicitly saying take off and landing.
I know that space restrictions make this very tenuous but I must admit that looking at the overhead on https://ntsb.gov/investigations/Pages/DCA17IA148.aspx that the taxiway marked C looks a lot more like a runway than the one marked F. (due to the width maybe?)
Can't the taxiways be not straight, like have a slight zig zag to them, so that they're easily distinguishable from a runway? Not ridiculously zigzagged, but maybe 3 or 4 angles of 15 degrees along the length or something would do it.