Scientists Edit a Dangerous Mutation in Human Embryos
nytimes.com
nytimes.com
This seems like the most remarkable part of this entire article. It sounds like a huge discovery. There's a lot of ethical concerns that can be laid aside if the embryo is simply replacing genes from the other parent. That's still just a healthy baby, not a "designer" baby.
[1] https://books.google.com/books?id=I1ACBAAAQBAJ&pg=PA9&lpg=PA...
In general, I was really stunned at the insane complexity and fervor of development. I mean, you go from one tiny little cell and one tiny little sperm, and then you end up with a trillion little cells all different and all really specialized in under a year. And it mostly all works! Some of those cell migrate a very long way (from a baby elephant's head to it's toes with some nerves) almost perfectly. Some of the time, tons of cells are born, shepherd other cells about, and then die off in about a day (like apoptosis in breast-feeding). Why? No clue. Maybe evolutionary 'holdovers', dunno, more funding please. Really, the shear complexity and energy of the system, with things crashing into each other, traffic jams of cells in a neural cleft, all going about all at once, it is stunning. I can understand a lot of researchers that are in that field and how deeply religious they are, seeing and 'understanding' it all can be moving.
1a) One male who was heterozygous for a certain mutation donated his sperm:
-"only three adult heterozygous patients were identified by OHSU Knight Cardiovascular Institute physicians and referred to the research team, one of whom agreed to participate in the study."
1b) X females donated Y amount of eggs:
- I didn't see these numbers discussed anywhere
2) One sperm each was matched to each of Y eggs for Intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI). It isn't clear whether any selection for sperm went on here:
-"Oocytes were fertilized by ICSI using frozen and thawed sperm. Fertilization was determined approximately 18 h after ICSI by noting the presence of two pronuclei and second polar body extrusion."
3) Z zygotes were found at the end of the above 18 hours:
-"zygotes were collected 18 h after ICSI and placed in a micromanipulation drop...Injected zygotes were cultured...for up to 3 days to the 4–8-cell stage"
4) 131 embryos formed from those Z zygotes that got injected with CRISPR-Cas9, consisting of 830 cells total:
-"A total of 830 blastomeres were isolated from 131 embryos, including 19 from control, 54 from zygote-injected and 58 from M-phase-injected groups."
5) A sequence was attained for 730 of those 830 cells:
-"Of 830 blastomeres, 730 (88%) resulted in successful libraries and produced PCR products for MYBPC3 while the remaining 100 blastomeres (12%) failed to generate PCR products and were excluded from the study."[2]
I mostly wanted to know Z, how many and what percent of zygotes survived the CRISPR/Cas-9 treatment. It seems to be missing. I would also like to know X and Y (initial number of women and eggs donated) though.
[1] http://nature.com/articles/doi:10.1038/nature23305
[2] Elsewhere (the reporting summary) they say "no data were excluded"
If America doesn't do it, China will, and in a generation will be swollen with a population so much more fit as to make the question of the US standing toe-to-toe laughable. If China doesn't, Russia will.
I want genetic engineering because it's logical that as humans learn to exert control over their environment, it's inevitable that we also learn to control our own evolution. Rejecting this seems like tying our hands behind our backs unnecessarily. But I get that huge swathes of the population reject it for religious reasons or what have you. I argue that the "arms race" argument could work well to sway these people, and then before we can send super-soldiers into battle, our much more intelligent children will realize total species improvement is a better investment than squabbling over arbitrary borders, and carry on the race without these disputes.
>> They injected a synthetic healthy DNA sequence into the fertilized egg, expecting that the male genome would copy that sequence into the cut portion. That is how this gene-editing process works in other cells in the body, and in mouse embryos, Dr. Mitalipov said. Instead, the male gene copied the healthy sequence from the female gene. The authors don’t know why it happened.
That best case is still a horrible future.
And then the next thing to debate is whether he really had a heart condition or not. People come down on both sides.
That is one of the reasons why I love that movie, Ethan is the bad guy. Though that's probably not what the director was going for.
He and his compatriots were dealt with as any other traitors would have been while being caught in mid coup.
We don't really have evidence for what happens when a generation of much-stronger, much-smarter than average humans are born, and subsequently give birth to another generation of even stronger even smarter kids. I'm hoping it's not a bunch of sociopathic Khans and that if we can figure out how to make smarter babies, we can also avoid making sociopathic murderous ones.
EDIT: On the other hand, I'm seeing the fear now - we create 100 of these superkids, and it turns out sociopathy is simply more fit than non sociopathy. They use their superior intelligence to out-perform "normal" humans, breed more of themselves, take over the world, and "normal" humans are gone.
Bad for normal humans, good for... whatever humans are after?
I guess it comes down to whether you're willing to accept that the continuance of some version of the human race is better than the potential extinction of all of the human race (which I believe is inevitable if we don't start making changes like this).
ASOIF is fiction. We live in reality. The problem is far more often that we're held by obsolete and suffocating rules than that we're moving too fast. I'd rather try new things than hunker down in fear of the unknown.
I think GRRM very carefully made by both the positive and negative parts key to the framing of Qyburn; he's quite clearly both a brilliant scientist who rebelled against obsolete and conventional ideas which did not work, and, a monster who is utterly indifferent (or so nearly so as makes no difference in practice) to the suffering inflicted on the pursuit of his research, either directly or in his efforts to maintain the support he needs to continue his work.
GRRM tends not to make unidimensionally good or evil characters in ASOIAF (there's a few that seem that way on the evil side, but they are mostly also ones we don't know as much about.)
We are all utterly innocent and unwilling participants in being born. You can either take the random cards that nature deals you, or we can try to act to have better outcomes. Just because you refuse to take action doesn't absolve you from taking a suboptimal action.
It's actually very saddening to watch a completely avoidable & preventable problem, whose N-amount of obvious solutions end up being shoved under the rug because we refuse to draw the line.
Very few people are honest with themselves and admit the end goal is not making better, its making more controllable/more in aim with how the rulers want their population to be.
"I detest the precautionary principle."
Sometimes, a little bit of caution is what keeps someone alive long enough to reproduce. Plenty of Darwin Award winners could have used a little more caution.
Even if it isn't down-right engineering/splicing/etc, and using only the parents' egg/sperm combinations, they can still offer to "move our society" forward at a snail pace.
I personally see no reason to be against it, as it's the logical extension of natural evolution. It's just more refined, scientific, guided, and devoid of some of the randomness or trial-by-error properties that are inherent with natural evolution.
This kind of proof is of course impossible, and in practice it means "never do anything".
The fun thing about is that people only advocate applying it to things they don't want to do, never on their own favorite projects
So it happens that genetics doesn't have to catch up - we can have this knowledge without knowing it.
And also. People will question genetists' judgement. Some of the changes they're proposing have never passed statistically significant testing. But nobody ever questions neural network.
> I'm pretty sure that if we threw a lot of genomes, healthy and defective, to a neural network, and then showed it a genome and told "make it healthy", it would.
It's not quite that simple.
In order to use ML on actual organisms, you'd need a way to try a lot of different modifications and then evaluate them after actual growth.
Doing that kind of experimentation with human embryos, fetuses, and beyond has huge ethical minefields as well as many biological engineering challenges.
You're optimizing in a space of millions of discrete dimensions (one for each base pair), with little knowledge about independencies. This is in contrast to tasks like image recognition, where we can make use of the spacial structure of the pixels to build effective models like convnets.
Additionally, medical datasets, especially ones with genetic data, rarely contain more than a few hundred datapoints, which is not where you want to be for deep learning.
Machine learning is still useful in this area, especially to find genes or gene combinations with high correlation to certain diseases. But we are very far away from having a model that maps genome -> healthiness.
This is changing at an astonishing rate, though. The development of GWAS combined with huge genetic datasets and associated IQ test information has opened the floodgates to finding more and more genes that predict the variation in IQ. Of course, it's still an open question whether these have other effects, and whether their effects are additive (linear), but the field does seem to be making extremely rapid progress...
'gwern has put together some links on genetic associations with IQ:
How in the world did you make that leap? What's the one gene we can edit that reconfigures human physiology to run off of CO2?
Seriously? Why wouldn't you make that leap? and why would you assume they would presume to know what gene or if it was even one gene?
It's nothing to do with religious reasons for me - I just categorically reject the idea that many of the categories of "disorder" are things that humanity would just be better off without. Is life harder with, say, Down's syndrome? Sure. Is life harder as, say, a homosexual? In many places, sure. Would the world be a better place if we managed to eliminate these traits? You really wanna make that statement? I'm really curious to know where you see a completely objective line to draw here.
I suppose one difference with the article is that pregnancies are actively being terminated based on the presence of Down's Syndrome in the fetus.
I prefer the Star Trek view of gene-editing, for genetic diseases, ok. Otherwise, no. Arguably, there is nothing to make better, or faster than what evolution is naturally doing.
Unchecked genetic engineering is what will bring about mono-cultures, fads, and me-too traits. Does any parent want to put their child through something like that through their entire life? Is it better to build a hab on Mars and breath air, or to genetically engineer yourself to possibly breath what is in the martian atmosphere/ground? What genetic trait trade-offs are you going to make when you can't have certain traits and are at the limits of biology? What trade-offs is the population going to make? I think the answer to all of these questions leads to less freedom for the individual, and a worse society. The parent doesn't have the right to take away or add traits, however benign or meaningful they seem, unless fixing a genetic disease.
I don't understand what "halting" evolution means. Evolution as a process, through natural selection, is at work and will still be working when you have or don't have genetic engineering.
Also, trading personal and societal freedom for some notion of "increased chance of survival" isn't a trade-off you want to be making. Would you rather be free or live longer?
Once again, I have no idea what you mean by halting, or "less fit" or anything else in your rambling comment. The fact that you focus on the traits you think matter, makes the comment even more idiotic. People who have no fucking clue what evolution is, should not be a part of this conversation and should be ridiculed and ignored.
Evolution is not survival of the fittest, it's natural selection. It is working on earth, on humans, and will continue to work with or without genetic engineering. Like I said, the decrease in natural genetic diversity from unchecked genetic engineering will hurt every species on earth. What we've done to cultivated plants in reducing biodiversity, should be more than enough evidence of what will happen with genetically engineered humans if we ever get there.
And evolution hasn't effectively halted either. It's hard to tell that sure (because evolution on a massively noticeable level is a slow process and human history is short) but the whole process of genetic mutations arising and people doing better because those mutations make them slightly better for their environment is still going on.
And the traits selected for aren't random nor a crapshoot, they're just kind of overshadowed by social situations and hierarchies. If there were two kids from the exact same background and one was 'more intelligent' than the other, the more intelligent one might do better. But it's very rarely that simple in society now.
So what? They win more Olympic medals? Or what, they invade like in Red Dawn? Or they take all the places in our elite colleges?
While its not an argument against, fear-mongering a ludicrous, purely hypothetical bioengineering arms race is not a particularly good argument for.
> I want genetic engineering because it's logical that as humans learn to exert control over their environment, it's inevitable that we also learn to control our own evolution.
If something is inevitable, it's irrelevant whether you want it or not.
> But I get that huge swathes of the population reject it for religious reasons or what have you.
I honestly don't think you do get it. I think you accept your own moral imperative naively and uncritically without even a casual attempt to understand the thought of those who are a little more circumspect.
As someone more circumspect, can you illuminate me?
Technological and military power also fundamentally depend on the quality of people.
Full-scale war is not likely in the near future, but will people accept being an underdog after a century of dominance?
Really this post is what is already happening. Nothing to do with genetic engineering, everything to do with neoliberalism.
If China doesn't do it, USA will, and in a generation will be swollen with a population so much more fit as to make the question of the Chinese standing toe-to-toe laughable. If USA doesn't, Russia will.
Maybe it is time to start thinking about an international agreement to limit unethical genetic engineering. A "Paris Accord" for "Genetic Engineering" if you will...
The endgame of my argument is that I hope EVERYONE will do it, and I frame it as "us" vs "them" as an attempt to find a way to overcome typical ethical concerns about genetic engineering, most of which I disagree with (so I myself don't need convincing).
My objective is a united human race. Whoever takes us there is fine by me.
Bold claim.
On the other hand, humans are the apex predator of the known universe, the output of 4.5 billion years of evolution driven by relentless, unceasing violence. It's not clear that a genetically improved species would abhor violence.
But I also have to preach some caution about meddling with human genetics. At this point we have what I think you can agree is a relatively poor understanding of the potential consequences of splicing DNA in a human zygote. Crashing headlong into an age of careless modifications could be disastrous for the survival of the species.
I just finished reading the Firefall duology by Peter Watts (http://rifters.com/) and one of the themes in the second book is that "baseline" humans are in some ways hardier than modified transhumans. Natural selection has fixed a lot of the bugs in us baselines over millions of years, and that's a hard-won legacy that we shouldn't be too quick to discard for barely-understood alterations.
It's natural for the GP to assume that his or her morals are the most correct. How could they behave be otherwise? If they believed that Chinese morals were a higher standard, they would adopt them. Everyone reads the article from their own perspective.
Er, that would be more characteristic of Catholicism. There's a reason for this Monty Python skit: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ifgHHhw_6g8.
Francis Galton, a product of a thoroughly Protestant society, was already worrying about the negative correlation between socioeconomic status and fertility very shortly after the Industrial Revolution.
https://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/31/world/asia/china-us-women...
> According to the National Health and Family Planning Commission of China, assisted reproductive technologies are denied to “single women and couples who are not in line with the nation’s population and family planning regulations.” Even married women must provide proof of marriage, a license to give birth and evidence either of infertility or of medical treatments that could impair fertility, such as chemotherapy.
It's just the nature of where we live and our propaganda.
We have been told over and over that we are the light of the world and we represent good. China/Russia/Muslims/others represent bad.
> If China doesn't do it, USA will, and in a generation will be swollen with a population so much more fit as to make the question of the Chinese standing toe-to-toe laughable. If USA doesn't, Russia will.
I'm sure there is. Human beings are human beings.
In the future, maybe instead of national/racial demarcations, we'll have "valid" and "invalid" demarcations a la "Gattaca".
Do you honestly believe there is a single "intelligence" gene we can edit to turn up intelligence like a knob, without impacting anything else about the person? Do you want your baby to be the first one its tried out on?
First, what is intelligence? Is it simply math & science? What if we lose other hard-to-measure, essential traits?
How much happiness is "better"? Should we "switch on" a gene that makes someone perpetually happier, given the option?
What happens when a set of traits becomes popular? Will diversity be lost? Will everyone choose lighter shades of skin?
There is in them a perfectly sincere hope and enthusiasm; but it is not for us, but for what they might learn from us, if they could rule us as they can rabbits. They cannot tell us anything about heredity, because they do not know anything about it. But they do quite honestly believe that they would know something about it, when they had married and mismarried us for a few hundred years. They cannot tell us who is fit to wield such authority, for they know that nobody is; but they do quite honestly believe that when that authority has been abused for a very long time, somebody somehow will be evolved who is fit for the job. I am no Puritan, and no one who knows my opinions will consider it a mere criminal charge if I say that they are simply gambling. The reckless gambler has no money in his pockets; he has only the ideas in his head. These gamblers have no ideas in their heads; they have only the money in their pockets. But they think that if they could use the money to buy a big society to experiment on, something like an idea might come to them at last. That is Eugenics."
G.K. Chesterton, Eugenics and other Evils.
I recommend reading this book, as Chesterton was one of the few voices against Eugenics in its prime, and the arguments still are good.
Another point of discussion: in the article there was talk of de-valuing disabled people. But surely the point of all this is to eliminate disability - if possible. Can anyone give any reason why this would be considered a bad thing? I'm not talking about devaluing existing disabled people (although evidence seems to suggest that we barely value them as people at the moment, though things are gradually improving). But surely anyone given the choice of being born with a disability or being born without the disability would choose the latter?
I don't agree with that, violating ADA specifications is a sure fire way to be slapped across the face with massive fines and lawsuits, and every school I've attended bent over backwards to facilitate the disabled. Were there some cases or general biases you meant that I can read about?
Regarding your light vs dark skin, it would be an interesting question - if the laws allowed for "form" choices rather than purely "function," what sort of different kinds of children would we see from different cultures? Taller, tanner, blonder women from Sweden? Stouter, tanner, thicker men from America? Thinner, whiter, effeminate men from Taiwan? It'd be interesting if nothing else.
This is why diversity is important.
Given the Chinese example, I'm immediately reminded of the folly of The Great Leap Forward and Chinese steel production quotas, and their results.
Both of these are (massively?) out-competing groups (one of them through "no fault of their own") who are maintaining existence.
Even a bit more of a deliberate effort on the part of the competitive majority to support any (and again, feel a bit monstrous) "baseline reserve population" would probably succeed enough.
Or, in a generation they'll be suffering under the crushing burden of unintentional side effects of to-early mass adoption of a novel technology.
More likely, in a generation, they'll have a slight lead in research.
or rich americans will even if the general public doesn't
External tools will still provide orders of magnitude more advantage than any gene-edited maximum human body.
Your soldiers can bench press a hundred more pounds than us? Big deal, ours can just press a button and launch a nuke.
An entire population with 10 extra IQ points on average? That's just background noise against a cloud of supercomputers grinding calculations 24/7.
The Soviets and others have tried this with things like steroids and regimented schooling, and it didn't make much of a difference.
Russia has a lot of good engineers and scientists but they don't have the industrial capacity to compete with the US. China's current capacity may already be double that of the US but its technology is still catching up (fast).
Winning wars requires intelligence not raw calculations. A nation with 10 extra IQ points on average would have many times more people with 130+ IQ needed to build and improve on advanced robots.
Btw, have you checked the list of top supercomputers in the world? The top two are in China. The top one has 4-5 times the power of the top American machine, which is #4. It also uses Chinese built microprocessors.
( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GlobalFoundries ) The firm manufactures integrated circuits in high volume mostly for semiconductor companies such as AMD, Broadcom, Qualcomm, and STMicroelectronics. It has five 200 mm wafer fabrication plants in Singapore, one 300 mm fabrication plant in each of Germany and Singapore, and three fabrication plants in the United States: one 200 mm fabrication plant in Vermont (where it is the largest private employer) and two 300 mm fabrication plants in New York.
Fab 8, located in Luther Forest Technology Campus, Saratoga County, New York, United States is a new 300 mm fab. This fabrication plant was constructed by GF as a green field fab for advanced technologies. It is capable of manufacturing 14 nm node technology. The plant's construction began in July 2009 and the company started mass production in 2012.[5][10] It has a maximum manufacturing capacity of 60,000 of 300 mm wafers/month, or the equivalent of over 135,000 of 200 mm wafers/month. In September 2016, GlobalFoundries announced it would make a multibillion-dollar investment to refit Fab 8 to produce 7 nm FinFET parts starting in the second half of 2018.[11] The process is planned to initially use deep ultraviolet lithography, and eventually transition to extreme ultraviolet lithography.[12] Technology: 28 nm and 14 nm. 7 nm planned.
Fab 9,[13] located in the village of Essex Junction, Vermont, United States, near Vermont's largest city of Burlington, became part of GlobalFoundries operations with the acquisition of IBM Microelectronics. The fab manufactures technologies down to the 90 nm node and is the largest private employer within the state of Vermont. The site also hosts a captive mask shop, with development efforts down to the 7 nanometer node.
They are building a fab in China, but not for AMD stuff.
( http://www.anandtech.com/show/11117/globalfoundries-to-expan... )
GlobalFoundries operates 10 fabs worldwide with four of them processing 300 mm wafers. The company’s most advanced fab is the Fab 8 located in Luther Forest Technology Campus (Saratoga County, New York) where the chipmaker produces flagship processors for AMD and some other leading developers of chips. To keep the Fab 8 up-to-date, GlobalFoundries spends billions of dollars on development of new manufacturing technologies and production equipment. Back in September, the company already announced plans to invest several billion in new tools to produce ICs (integrated circuits) using its 7 nm fabrication process and this week GlobalFoundries said it would invest in the expansion of the Fab 8’s manufacturing capacity.
Also, re: the Intel-using sites in the Top500 (the vast majority are using Intel or AMD processors, see https://www.top500.org/statistics/list/ ) those are largely made in the USA too: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Intel_manufacturing_si...
In China, they do not have religious reasons against improving humans. And parents rely on kids to take care of them when they are old. Intelligence often predicts earnings. So if it's safe, they will do it.
China already spent a generation letting people shoot themselves in the foot with specifying genetic preferences in children. Don’t know what I mean? I’m talking about the gender trait. This is something determined by genetics and something that genetic engineering can allow people to specify, albeit China’s previous method of discarding female newborns is a bit of a low tech way of accomplishing it,
The great thing is we have a clear example of the dangers of unchecked genetic manupulation. Mobs are stupid, and also tend to reduce diversity as everyone wants to pick the obvious good traits. They thought being male was a better trait, and giving people the power to choose the trait let them shoot themselves in the foot as a society. You end up with the massive gender imbalance and that’s the least worrisome of repercussions if we get rid of diversity in the gene pool.
PS: China M:F ratio is 106 to 100. By comparison India is 108 to 100 but 90 to 100 over 65 the population is simply young. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_sex_ratio
I view this as a fallacy which is close kin to the "algorithms are neutral" fallacy. Scenario: we, with our incredibly poor understanding of genetics vs. the total impact of those on a fully-developed organism do this:
1. Make more "intelligent" humans, but oops the genetic modification we make reduces empathy. E.g. the "high-functioning autistic" stereotype. Now we have "bright" humans who are less capable of understanding and mirroring emotional impacts on others.
2. Second oops: the empathy reduction above doesn't also reduce instincts governing human tribalism.
3. Coup de grace: now we have a "race" of perfect little fascists, capable of incredible feats of rationalization to cover for their poorly-understood desires, a stronger than ever in-group vs out-group anathema, and with barely a twinge for the others their actions are now crushing.
Society crumbles due to lack of social cohesion and mass genocide. Thanks for playing! Please enter 25¢ to continue.
I'll digress with an example from medicine: humanity made amazing, world-changing strides in health care on two important fronts: antibiotics and trauma surgery. These areas, the pill and the scalpel, then grew to encompass the vast part of the mindshare of modern Western-style medicine. But at some point the model fails to meet with the real world: pharmaceutical companies spend vast resources trying to create pills that alleviate symptoms, but don't address root causes. Surgeons invent surgeries we don't need, which have no effect on end outcomes. Here, the slowly growing field of "functional medicine" is seeking to move forward with rigorous, evidence-based approaches to diagnosing and addressing many previously intractable (or only superficially treated) conditions by tackling underlying root causes.
Back to the eugenics thing. It presumptively answers the question of "why, as a society, aren't we a whole lot smarter than we are?" with a generic "Better genetics FTW!" I have a counter-hypothesis: humanity is currently terrible at maximizing the potential of the members of society we have right now. I'd go so far as to say that the idea that eugenics-for-smarts is even useful is built on little more than a whole bunch of terrible classist, racist belief systems. Worse, it's like some junior dev ratholing for weeks optimizing the heck some function which uses .001% of the app's resources. There are bigger problems to solve, start with those.
A breadcrumb in that direction: we've now had multiple examples of fantastic high-school level math instructors who pop up, take an underserved student body that an "honors" class series wouldn't touch, and turns them into star math students, knocking down AP Calculus exams with aplomb. Yet the school districts they're in invariably end up fighting these teachers tooth-and-nail. We should be sending in people like field anthropologists to understand and document the personal, social, and pedagogical methods at play here, and figure out how to train teachers and build schools to make these wins fully replicable.
So basically deus ex machina :P
Any country that does widespread "gene editing" anytime soon will either:
1) See no difference at all, since it doesn't actually do anything more than selecting for sperm/eggs.
2) Have an insane onslaught of health problems that appear in 10+ years due to unforeseen consequences.
Our understanding of the human body is so rudimentary that your claim really is laughable.
Like you say, your understanding of the human body as a software developer is rudimentary. Luckily there are a vast number of people whose understanding of the body is less limited than yours.
Actually, I bet there are very few people who actually have a better understanding of the human body than me, just because I have the appropriate skepticism.
The idea we can control evolution is fairly ridiculous, when we barely even understand it. Most humane people don't want to experiment on generations in the hopes to see that we can.
There is no way that gene editing will give you "control over the environment" or that we need to start interfering with embryos to win some kind of non-existent arms race. Where is the evidence to suggest that these "super intelligent" children will grow up to ignore borders etc?
One doesn't have to be religious to feel as if some of these ideas are ethically questionable.
There is nothing wrong with the children we have today, we just don't look after them or their environment properly. Super smart children won't do much good with us for role models.
The problem here is the pronoun "we" and "our". It isn't "we" who are going to control evolution. It is a select group of wealthy elites.
Also, just because china and russia might do it doesn't mean that we necessarily should do it. After all, the pioneers of illegal human experimentation was the US and britain but most of the world didn't follow along.
I agree with you that genetic engineering ( controlled evolution? ) is inevitable. But that doesn't mean we should ignore the ethical concerns and other such pitfalls.
However, a big challenge that makes this work extremely difficult to bring to fruition is that you have to let an embryo develop fully to figure out to determine if the therapy actually produces a healthy human. At which point the consequences of failed experiments become increasingly difficult to work with for obvious ethical and moral reasons.
There's nowhere near consensus on that issue in society. Also the ethics of abortion wouldn't be the same as the ethics of such experiments; in abortion the rights of the mother are at play, minimally, and there are reasonable discussions about when an embryo obtains rights as well as whose rights reign supreme.
Even if considered legal, given that law != ethics, the balance of rights is not the same as abortion.
I would also expect the scientists to deal with this pretty conservatively because if they push those limits, the likely cries to stop funding, etc, etc, would become much more pronounced and the likelihood of the work hitting a political wall much higher.
http://www.nature.com/news/embryology-policy-revisit-the-14-...
Will be interesting to see the moral and ethical debate on any change here.
You might be able to develop them longer than five days, but then you hit the ethical issues. The entire moral argument for abortions is based on bodily autonomy of women, and that those rights trump the rights of an unborn fetus. But for raising a fetus in an artificial environment there is no body autonomy argument.
Another issue is murkier, and is based on the circumstances. Generally abortions are used by women who did not intend to get pregnant as a last resort form of birth control. When you're performing abortions for scientific purposes it's different, and there are different ethical standards to consider.
One shouldn't trump the other.
Even if we did obtain it, it doesn't follow that Jo Slow would be worse off. We're all of us already better off living in a world with smart people in it. We're obviously better off living in a world with healthier people in it (reduced healthcare costs)
Futhermore it doesn't make sense to be personally jealous of smart people. It seems that being smart can be a significant burden; you're an outsider at best or you veer into mental disorder at worst. Only rarely do smart people flower into creative geniuses, the kind of people who contribute to progress. Most people use their smarts to be more normal than the norm...
I cannot explain how weird it feels to read front page headlines that scientists have "fixed" me, that its a huge breakthrough that scientists will be able to remove part of what makes me ME from future generations.
I'm all for it, of course. HCM, most frequently diagnosed in people by their sudden death, is bad. But at a personal level, this feels unnerving.
A lot of tolerance is predicated on things being out of our hands, practically. That goes away if we can change them.
So what if the optimum for humans is to have both variants? It would seem appropriate to move the newer CF gene variant to a different place on the chromosome so that doesn't need to displace the original gene. I imagine nature may eventually figure this out, but embryonic DNA editing could bring it about sooner. Of course this is speculative on my part and people would obviously debate taking such action even if the science really suggests it's a good idea.
The human body isn't a config file
This is also the guy who says that "Activism does not work. Grand social movements do not work." But I guess the Civil Rights Movement, women's liberation, and the LGBTQ movement don't count?
This is a serious problem I see with many tech / CS inclined people: in which useful abstractions become the map in which they see the territory.
I know it doesn't feel like it when you get on Twitter or turn on the news, but human beings are far nicer to each other today than they have ever been in history.
Violence, poverty, and bigotry are all on gargantuan, multi-century downward trends.
The evidence is clear that human behavior can change.
And one person's gut check should be ok, right?
Rich people having expensive gene edited kids. They're stronger, smarter, more driven, and healthier than your kids. They are better looking. They'll be more advanced than kids their age. They'll have all sorts of built in advantages.
The social and economic gap will widen. Opportunities come easier to the people who look great, are crazy smart, and are driven to attain them. So the rich kids become richer and more powerful.
It's one thing to get a head start in life because your parents give you money. It's a much bigger advantage when your parents can also afford to give you built in physical and mental advantages far beyond other people.
Imagine being the kid who realizes he's slower than his classmates because his parents are poor, and that it's too late to ever change that.
Limit it to diseases and genetic anomalies so it doesn't become a race thing and voila. Why would getting rid of things like my disease be a bad thing?