Quirks of the arXiv
symmetrymagazine.org
symmetrymagazine.org
Don't get me wrong. I like Plato (quite a bit). But dialogues seem as approachable to me as poetry. They might be approachable in the sense that, since they simulate a conversation between two people who might not know eachother, they necessarily lead to a much clearer exposition of whatever is the topic at hand. It's indeed as if you were reading two people try to make their ideas across when they're complete strangers eachother. But it takes completely different kind of "reading" from the one a person might use when reading prose or when reading a pure exposition.
Two cents.
It's interesting that we're even having this discussion: it wasn't so many years ago that the exact opposite discussion was common, i.e. that the actual AI researchers that think this is even a possibility are such a minority and are generally side lined that we shouldn't take their view much into account. In fact, I'm pretty sure that Bostrom's survey was done in part just to give evidence that there were real researchers who thought that human level AI was possible in the not-that-distant future.
As I understand it, he intended to analyze the resulting data set for patterns. Meta-analysis of said scientific literature, so to speak.
Of value in itself, for several reasons. Scientific. Personal interest -- interesting language and rhetoric.
One very important one -- that can be lumped under the important work of science as well as that of understanding human endeavor in all its aspects: Fraud detection.
We all have been reading about both mistakes and deliberate mis-representation in scientific publications. Including in some very influential works, subsequently retracted.
ArXiv is a step in the right direction. When we have all these scientific results locked up to the point where such meta-analysis and subsequent science is impossible, we've greatly shackled the process of scientific research and our own human endeavor and progress.
By the way, with respect to recent public conversation with respect to economics, some view this as another form of rent-seeking. People who don't produce but rather gather the "rights" to the results of production, and then divert as much as they can of its value into their own pockets -- often diverting it away from investment in the actual work from whence it comes.
Or, eating your seed corn.
http://backreaction.blogspot.de/2006/07/stupid-title-list.ht...
EDIT: I started reading it and it gets into reeeally good stuff:
Simp – There are predictions from string theory as well.
Sal – Like?
Simp – Like large extra dimensions. Supersymmetry. Transitions that cannot happen in the standard model.
Sal – You mean that if we do not find the experimental consequences of large extra dimensions we conclude string theory is wrong?
Simp – Of course not, large extra dimensions exist only in very special models.
Sal – So, the experiments on extra dimensions cannot kill string theory?
Simp – No they cannot.
Sal – And if supersymmetry is not found at the scale we expect, we do not abandon string theory?
Simp – No we don’t. It will be at a higher scale.
Sal – So, which experiment could kill string theory, in principle?
Simp – Nothing I could think off. The theory is very strong.
Sal – Seems to me is very weak. A good scientific theory is a theory that can be falsified.
Simp – I am not a philosopher ...
I'm rooting for Sal!
So, I guess, you can falsify that string theory can't ever be falsified. Or are you just riding the bandwagon?
Honestly I don't understand the specifics of the theories, and I wouldn't know if string theory is actually not falsifiable.
On second read I realise that this is a straw-string-theorist ready to be knocked down. It was still an enjoyable read though.